PRESS-RELEASE ·Filed Mar 12, 2026

TOVX

Theriva Biologics, Inc.
MIXED
Impact 6/10
Horizonmonths Processed6mo ago WireGlobeNewswire
Press release: earnings
Actionable Insight ◆ Mixed

Monitor upcoming FDA End-of-Phase 2 meeting for VCN-01 in PDAC in 1H 2026, which could de-risk the pivotal trial design. The SYN-020 licensing deal de-risks development costs but removes a potential pipeline asset.

DirectionMixed
Confidencehigh
Horizonmonths
Final — all horizons settled through T+60d ⚠ clustered
TOVX ▲ +44.44% at T+60d
NEUTRAL call ✓ call won +44.44% · α vs SPY +33.75% · entry $0.1800 → $0.2600
Entry anchored
Mar 11, 03:59 PM ET
via exchange tick
T+1d
0.00%
call 0.00% · α +0.60%
$0.1800
settled 7mo ago
T+5d
+5.56%
call +5.56% · α +6.53%
$0.1900
settled 7mo ago
T+20d
+27.78%
call +27.78% · α +25.80%
$0.2300
settled 6mo ago
T+60d
+44.44%
call +44.44% · α +33.75%
$0.2600
settled 4mo ago

Price Chart

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Executive Summary

Theriva Biologics reported its 2025 financial results, highlighted by a $9.0 million contingent consideration charge tied to VCN-01's Phase 2b trial success, reduced R&D spending, and a licensing deal for SYN-020 that brings $300,000 upfront and up to $38 million in potential milestones. The company has $15.2 million in cash as of February 2026, providing runway into Q1 2027.

Key Financial Metrics

EPS
$-2.08
Deal Value
$38.0M

Key Facts

  • VCN-01 achieved primary survival and safety endpoints in Phase 2b trial, triggering a $9.0 million contingent consideration expense
  • Licensed SYN-020 to Rasayana Therapeutics for $300k upfront, up to $38M in milestones, and tiered single-digit royalties
  • R&D expenses decreased 28% YoY to $8.6M due to trial completions
  • General and administrative expenses doubled to $15.4M, driven by the contingent consideration adjustment
  • Cash balance increased to $15.2M as of February 26, 2026, funding operations into Q1 2027
  • Audited financials include a going concern qualification from auditors

Financial Impact

Net loss attributable to common stockholders was $25.2M in 2025 vs $25.7M in 2024; $9.0M non-cash charge from VCN-01 trial success inflated G&A expenses

net_lossgeneral_and_administrative_expensecash_runwaycontingent_liability

Risk Factors

  • Going concern qualification in audited financials indicates liquidity risk despite current cash runway
  • Heavy reliance on successful clinical development of VCN-01 with no near-term revenue prospects
  • Market cap of $8M appears disconnected from fundamentals given lack of revenue and ongoing losses

Market Snapshot

Exchange
NYSE

Investment Themes

Biotech & Drug Discovery

Documents Analyzed

This report is based on 1 press release from GlobeNewswire.

DocumentAccession Number
PRESS-RELEASE Data (Synthetic)press-3254568
8 reports for TOVX
Performance horizon
50% Hit rate 2 of 4 directional calls best @ T+1▲ +2.13%Aug 4, 2026
Filters
Rows
Reports for TOVX — sortable, filterable
TypeNow
Aug 11, 2026
7w ago
8-K
NEUTRAL ★ 4/10
$0.2300 $0.2490▲ +8.26%▲ +9.32%$0.2379 (+3.43%)
Aug 11, 2026
7w ago
Press Release
NEUTRAL ★ 5/10
$0.2300 $0.2490▲ +8.26%▲ +9.32%$0.2379 (+3.43%)
Aug 4, 2026
8w ago
8-K
BEARISH ★ 4/10
$0.2300 $0.2490▼ −8.26%▼ −9.50%$0.2379 (−3.43%)
Jul 7, 2026
12w ago
8-K
BULLISH ★ 5/10
$0.2354 $0.2227▼ −5.40%▼ −6.73%$0.2379 (+1.06%)
Jun 11, 2026
16w ago
Press Release
BULLISH ★ 7/10
$0.3070 $0.2345▼ −23.62%▼ −25.51%$0.2379 (−22.51%)
Apr 17, 2026
23w ago
8-K
BULLISH ★ 7/10
$0.4100 $0.3000▼ −26.83%▼ −31.03%$0.2379 (−41.98%)
Mar 12, 2026
29w ago
8-K
MIXED ★ 6/10
$0.1800 $0.2300▲ +27.78%▲ +25.80%$0.2379 (+32.17%)
Mar 12, 2026
29w ago
Press Release
MIXED ★ 6/10
$0.1800 $0.2300▲ +27.78%▲ +25.80%$0.2379 (+32.17%)
Showing 8 of 8

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Report published Mar 12, 2026