8-K ·Filed Aug 11, 2026

TOVX

Theriva Biologics, Inc.
NEUTRAL
Impact 4/10
Horizonmonths Processed1mo ago SEC0001104659-26-093782
8-K Item 2.02: Earnings release
Actionable Insight • Neutral

This is a routine quarterly update for a pre-revenue clinical-stage biotech with no material financial surprises. The VIRAGE2 dosing and retinoblastoma protocol design are incremental pipeline progress but do not change the fundamental risk/reward. Monitor for FDA feedback on the retinoblastoma protocol (expected Q3 2026) and VIRAGE2 data (Q3 2027). Cash runway into Q1 2027 suggests a financing event is likely within 12 months.

DirectionNeutral
Confidencemedium
Horizonmonths
Latest settled — T+20d ⚠ clustered
TOVX ▲ +8.26% at T+20d
NEUTRAL call ✓ call won +8.26% · α vs SPY +9.32% · entry $0.2300 → $0.2490
Next anchor: T+60d in 5w
Latest observation: T+35 +44.95% FF3 residual α
Entry anchored
Aug 11, 2026
via day open
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call +4.35% · α +4.10%
$0.2400
settled 7w ago
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$0.2255
settled 6w ago
T+20d
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call +8.26% · α +9.32%
$0.2490
settled 23d ago
T+60d
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Executive Summary

Theriva Biologics reported Q2 2026 financial results with a net loss of $3.2M ($0.07/share), compared to a $13.1M loss ($1.93/share) in Q2 2025. The narrower loss was driven by a $9.2M prior-year contingent consideration adjustment that did not recur. Operationally, the company dosed first patients in the VIRAGE2 Phase 2a trial of VCN-01 in metastatic PDAC and completed the design of a Phase 2/3 retinoblastoma trial. Cash burn continues, with $11.3M in cash providing runway into Q1 2027, but no revenue was reported and the company remains a pre-revenue clinical-stage biotech with no near-term catalysts that would change the fundamental valuation story.

Key Financial Metrics

EPS
$-0.07
Revenue
$0.00
Rating
in line

Key Facts

  • First patients dosed in VIRAGE2 Phase 2a trial of VCN-01 in metastatic PDAC; enrollment expected to complete H2 2026 with data by Q3 2027.
  • Cash and cash equivalents of $11.3M as of June 30, 2026, down from $13.1M at Dec 31, 2025; cash runway into Q1 2027.
  • Net loss of $3.2M ($0.07/share) for Q2 2026 vs $13.1M ($1.93/share) in Q2 2025; prior year included $9.2M contingent consideration adjustment.
  • No revenue reported for Q2 2026; $300K license revenue recognized in Q1 2026.
  • Completed design of proposed Phase 2/3 clinical trial of VCN-01 in retinoblastoma; plan to discuss protocol with FDA in Q3 2026.

Financial Impact

Cash burn of $1.7M from Dec 31, 2025 to June 30, 2026; net loss of $5.3M for H1 2026

cashnet lossoperating expenses

Risk Factors

  • Cash runway only into Q1 2027; likely need for dilutive financing within 12 months.
  • All pipeline candidates are pre-commercialization; no approved products or revenue stream.
  • VIRAGE2 is a 6-patient single-arm trial; results may not support Phase 3 design as hoped.

Market Snapshot

Exchange
NYSE
Sector
Pharmaceutical Preparations
Analyst Consensus
88% bullish (8 analysts)

Investment Themes

Biotech & Drug Discovery

Documents Analyzed

This report is based on 6 SEC documents filed with EDGAR.

DocumentAccession Number
8-K Filing (Primary)0001104659-26-093782
Document: tm2622636d1_8k.htm0001104659-26-093782
Document: 0001104659-26-093782-index-headers.html0001104659-26-093782
Document: 0001104659-26-093782-index.html0001104659-26-093782
Document: 0001104659-26-093782.txt0001104659-26-093782
8-K Data (Synthetic)0001104659-26-093782
8 reports for TOVX
Performance horizon
50% Hit rate 2 of 4 directional calls best @ T+1▲ +2.13%Aug 4, 2026
Filters
Rows
Reports for TOVX — sortable, filterable
TypeNow
Aug 11, 2026
7w ago
8-K
NEUTRAL ★ 4/10
$0.2300 $0.2490▲ +8.26%▲ +9.32%$0.2306 (+0.26%)
Aug 11, 2026
7w ago
Press Release
NEUTRAL ★ 5/10
$0.2300 $0.2490▲ +8.26%▲ +9.32%$0.2306 (+0.26%)
Aug 4, 2026
8w ago
8-K
BEARISH ★ 4/10
$0.2300 $0.2490▼ −8.26%▼ −9.50%$0.2306 (−0.26%)
Jul 7, 2026
12w ago
8-K
BULLISH ★ 5/10
$0.2354 $0.2227▼ −5.40%▼ −6.73%$0.2306 (−2.04%)
Jun 11, 2026
16w ago
Press Release
BULLISH ★ 7/10
$0.3070 $0.2345▼ −23.62%▼ −25.51%$0.2306 (−24.89%)
Apr 17, 2026
23w ago
8-K
BULLISH ★ 7/10
$0.4100 $0.3000▼ −26.83%▼ −31.03%$0.2306 (−43.76%)
Mar 12, 2026
29w ago
8-K
MIXED ★ 6/10
$0.1800 $0.2300▲ +27.78%▲ +25.80%$0.2306 (+28.11%)
Mar 12, 2026
29w ago
Press Release
MIXED ★ 6/10
$0.1800 $0.2300▲ +27.78%▲ +25.80%$0.2306 (+28.11%)
Showing 8 of 8

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