8-K ·Filed Apr 17, 2026

TOVX

Theriva Biologics, Inc.
BULLISH
Impact 7/10
Horizonweeks Processed5mo ago SEC0001104659-26-044906
8-K context-dependent: Items 7.01, 8.01
Actionable Insight ▲ Bullish

The positive Phase 2b data significantly de-risks the VCN-01 program and strengthens the company's position for partnerships, funding, or a potential acquisition. Traders should monitor for updates on the planned Phase 3 trial and any subsequent partnership announcements.

DirectionBullish
Confidencehigh
Horizonweeks
Final — all horizons settled through T+60d
TOVX ▼ -40.76% at T+60d
LONG call ✗ call lost -40.76% · α vs SPY -47.53% · entry $0.4100 → $0.2429
Entry anchored
Apr 17, 04:15 PM ET
via exchange tick
T+1d
-17.07%
call -17.07% · α -16.42%
$0.3400
settled 6mo ago
T+5d
-14.63%
call -14.63% · α -15.55%
$0.3500
settled 5mo ago
T+20d
-26.83%
call -26.83% · α -31.03%
$0.3000
settled 5mo ago
T+60d
-40.76%
call -40.76% · α -47.53%
$0.2429
settled 3mo ago

Price Chart

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Executive Summary

Theriva Biologics announced positive results from its VIRAGE Phase 2b clinical trial, showing improved overall survival and progression-free survival in metastatic pancreatic cancer patients treated with VCN-01 plus chemotherapy. The data, to be presented at the AACR 2026 meeting, supports an immune-mediated mechanism of action and demonstrates consistent benefits across subgroups, including those with liver metastases.

Key Facts

  • Patients receiving VCN-01 + chemotherapy had improved overall survival (OS) and progression-free survival (PFS) compared to chemotherapy alone.
  • The survival benefit was maintained across subgroups, including patients with liver metastases.
  • Patients who received a second dose of VCN-01 showed a greater benefit in OS and PFS.
  • The company has achieved alignment with both the FDA and EMA on a proposed pivotal Phase 3 trial.
  • The data presentation is scheduled for the AACR Annual Meeting on April 20, 2026.

Financial Impact

No direct financial figures provided, but the positive clinical data significantly increases the potential value of the VCN-01 program.

drug development timelineregulatory pathwaymarket potential

Risk Factors

  • The data is from a Phase 2b trial and must be confirmed in a larger, pivotal Phase 3 study.
  • The company is small (market cap $12M) and may face challenges in funding and executing the Phase 3 trial without a partnership.

Market Snapshot

Exchange
NYSE
Sector
Pharmaceutical Preparations

Investment Themes

Biotech & Drug Discovery

Documents Analyzed

This report is based on 6 SEC documents filed with EDGAR.

DocumentAccession Number
8-K Filing (Primary)0001104659-26-044906
Document: tm2612012d1_ex99-1.htm0001104659-26-044906
Document: tm2612012d1_ex99-2.htm0001104659-26-044906
Document: 0001104659-26-044906-index-headers.html0001104659-26-044906
Document: 0001104659-26-044906-index.html0001104659-26-044906
Document: 0001104659-26-044906.txt0001104659-26-044906
8 reports for TOVX
Performance horizon
67% Hit rate 2 of 3 directional calls best @ T+1▲ +2.13%Aug 4, 2026
Filters
Rows
Reports for TOVX — sortable, filterable
TypeNow
Aug 11, 2026
7w ago
8-K
NEUTRAL ★ 4/10
$0.2300 $0.2490▲ +8.26%▲ +9.32%$0.2306 (+0.26%)
Aug 11, 2026
7w ago
Press Release
NEUTRAL ★ 5/10
$0.2300 $0.2490▲ +8.26%▲ +9.32%$0.2306 (+0.26%)
Aug 4, 2026
8w ago
8-K
BEARISH ★ 4/10
$0.2300 $0.2490▼ −8.26%▼ −9.50%$0.2306 (−0.26%)
Jul 7, 2026
12w ago
8-K
BULLISH ★ 5/10
$0.2354 $0.2227▼ −5.40%▼ −6.73%$0.2306 (−2.04%)
Jun 11, 2026
16w ago
Press Release
BULLISH ★ 7/10
$0.3070 $0.2345▼ −23.62%▼ −25.51%$0.2306 (−24.89%)
Apr 17, 2026
23w ago
8-K
BULLISH ★ 7/10
$0.4100 $0.3000▼ −26.83%▼ −31.03%$0.2306 (−43.76%)
Mar 12, 2026
29w ago
8-K
MIXED ★ 6/10
$0.1800 $0.2300▲ +27.78%▲ +25.80%$0.2306 (+28.11%)
Mar 12, 2026
29w ago
Press Release
MIXED ★ 6/10
$0.1800 $0.2300▲ +27.78%▲ +25.80%$0.2306 (+28.11%)
Showing 8 of 8

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