PRESS-RELEASE ·Filed Aug 11, 2026

TOVX

Theriva Biologics, Inc.
NEUTRAL
Impact 5/10
Horizonmonths Processed1mo ago WireGlobeNewswire
Press release: earnings
Actionable Insight • Neutral

The VIRAGE2 enrollment completion (H2 2026) and initial data (Q3 2027) are the next key catalysts, but the $11.3M cash runway into Q1 2027 creates financing overhang. Monitor for partnership, grant, or equity offering announcements given the 88% analyst bullish consensus but $11M market cap.

DirectionNeutral
Confidencemedium
Horizonmonths
Latest settled — T+20d ⚠ clustered
TOVX ▲ +8.26% at T+20d
NEUTRAL call ✓ call won +8.26% · α vs SPY +9.32% · entry $0.2300 → $0.2490
Next anchor: T+60d in 5w
Latest observation: T+35 +44.95% FF3 residual α
Entry anchored
Aug 11, 08:00 AM ET
via 1-min bar
T+1d
+4.35%
call +4.35% · α +4.10%
$0.2400
settled 7w ago
T+5d
-1.96%
call -1.96% · α -1.55%
$0.2255
settled 6w ago
T+20d
+8.26%
call +8.26% · α +9.32%
$0.2490
settled 23d ago
T+60d
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call — · α —
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in 5w

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Executive Summary

Theriva Biologics reported Q2 2026 financial results with a net loss of $3.2M ($0.07 per share) vs $13.1M ($1.93 per share) in Q2 2025, driven by a $9.2M decrease in contingent consideration fair value adjustment. The company dosed first patients in the VIRAGE2 Phase 2a trial evaluating more frequent VCN-01 dosing in metastatic PDAC, but cash runway extends only into Q1 2027 with $11.3M on hand, raising financing risk for a clinical-stage company with no revenue.

Key Financial Metrics

EPS
$-0.07
Revenue
$0.00
est $0.00 · 0.0%
Rating
in line

Key Facts

  • First patients dosed in VIRAGE2 Phase 2a trial of VCN-01 in metastatic PDAC; enrollment expected to complete H2 2026 with data by Q3 2027
  • Cash and cash equivalents of $11.3M as of June 30, 2026; cash runway into Q1 2027
  • Net loss of $3.2M for Q2 2026 vs $13.1M in Q2 2025, primarily due to a $9.2M decrease in contingent consideration fair value adjustment
  • General and administrative expenses decreased 82% to $2.0M from $11.2M; R&D expenses decreased 35% to $1.3M from $2.0M
  • EPS of -$0.07 vs -$1.93 in prior year period, but weighted average shares increased from 6.8M to 45.9M
  • Proposed Phase 2/3 trial for VCN-01 in retinoblastoma; FDA discussion planned for Q3 2026
  • Phase 1 HNSCC results published in Clinical Cancer Research showing prolonged OS with VCN-01 + durvalumab

Financial Impact

Net loss of $3.2M in Q2 2026 vs $13.1M in Q2 2025; cash burn of $1.7M in H1 2026; $11.3M cash runway into Q1 2027

cashnet lossoperating expenses

Risk Factors

  • Cash runway only into Q1 2027 with no revenue; likely need to raise capital within 6-9 months
  • VIRAGE2 is a small 6-patient proof-of-concept trial; results may not support Phase 3 design
  • SYN-004 enrollment paused pending grant/partnership funding
  • Historical stock volatility: 4 of last 5 reports saw T+20 declines >20%

Market Snapshot

Exchange
NYSE
Sector
Pharmaceutical Preparations
Analyst Consensus
88% bullish (8 analysts)

Investment Themes

Biotech & Drug Discovery

Documents Analyzed

This report is based on 1 press release from GlobeNewswire.

DocumentAccession Number
PRESS-RELEASE Data (Synthetic)press-3342623
8 reports for TOVX
Performance horizon
50% Hit rate 2 of 4 directional calls best @ T+1▲ +2.13%Aug 4, 2026
Filters
Rows
Reports for TOVX — sortable, filterable
TypeNow
Aug 11, 2026
7w ago
8-K
NEUTRAL ★ 4/10
$0.2300 $0.2490▲ +8.26%▲ +9.32%$0.2306 (+0.26%)
Aug 11, 2026
7w ago
Press Release
NEUTRAL ★ 5/10
$0.2300 $0.2490▲ +8.26%▲ +9.32%$0.2306 (+0.26%)
Aug 4, 2026
8w ago
8-K
BEARISH ★ 4/10
$0.2300 $0.2490▼ −8.26%▼ −9.50%$0.2306 (−0.26%)
Jul 7, 2026
12w ago
8-K
BULLISH ★ 5/10
$0.2354 $0.2227▼ −5.40%▼ −6.73%$0.2306 (−2.04%)
Jun 11, 2026
16w ago
Press Release
BULLISH ★ 7/10
$0.3070 $0.2345▼ −23.62%▼ −25.51%$0.2306 (−24.89%)
Apr 17, 2026
23w ago
8-K
BULLISH ★ 7/10
$0.4100 $0.3000▼ −26.83%▼ −31.03%$0.2306 (−43.76%)
Mar 12, 2026
29w ago
8-K
MIXED ★ 6/10
$0.1800 $0.2300▲ +27.78%▲ +25.80%$0.2306 (+28.11%)
Mar 12, 2026
29w ago
Press Release
MIXED ★ 6/10
$0.1800 $0.2300▲ +27.78%▲ +25.80%$0.2306 (+28.11%)
Showing 8 of 8

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Report published Aug 11, 2026