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DEF 14A ·Filed Oct 20, 2026

TOVX

Theriva Biologics, Inc.
BEARISH
Impact 5/10
Horizonweeks Processed7d 8h ago SEC0001104659-26-117417
Definitive proxy statement
Actionable Insight ▼ Bearish

Monitor the special meeting vote outcome on November 18. If the warrant exercise proposal fails, the company faces litigation risk and loss of ~$8.7M potential proceeds. If the authorized share increase passes, watch for subsequent equity offerings that would further dilute existing shareholders.

DirectionBearish
Confidencehigh
Horizonweeks
Latest settled — T+1d
TOVX ▼ -3.36% at T+1d
SHORT call ✓ call won +3.36% · α vs SPY +2.18% · entry $0.1966 → $0.1900
Next anchor: T+5d due 17h ago
Latest observation: T+2 +1.52% FF3 residual α
Entry = T+0 close
Oct 20, 2026
via day close
T+1d
-3.36%
call +3.36% · α +2.18%
$0.1900
settled 7d ago
T+5d
Pending
due 17h ago
T+20d
Pending
in 20d
T+60d
Pending
in 3mo

Price Chart

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Executive Summary

Theriva Biologics is holding a special meeting on November 18, 2026, to seek stockholder approval for three proposals: (1) increasing authorized common shares from 350M to 500M, (2) ratifying the prior approval of issuing up to 16,184,560 shares upon exercise of warrants issued in an October 2025 private placement, and (3) adjourning the meeting if needed. The warrant exercise proposal is being re-submitted due to inconsistent disclosure in the prior proxy statement regarding whether it was a routine or non-routine matter, which has also led to a pending shareholder lawsuit. The authorized share increase is needed to facilitate future equity financings and strategic transactions, but the company has no definitive commitments for such issuances.

Key Facts

  • Special meeting on November 18, 2026, to vote on increasing authorized common shares from 350M to 500M.
  • Proposal to ratify and confirm prior approval of issuing up to 16,184,560 shares upon exercise of warrants at $0.54 per share, which could yield up to ~$8.7M in gross proceeds.
  • A lawsuit, Nejmeh v. Theriva Biologics, Inc., was filed after the 2026 Annual Meeting due to inconsistent disclosure on whether the warrant exercise proposal was routine or non-routine.
  • At the 2026 Annual Meeting, the warrant exercise proposal received 3,665,312 FOR, 2,267,592 AGAINST, 123,397 abstentions, and 10,823,826 broker non-votes.
  • The company has 45,892,668 shares outstanding as of the record date of October 9, 2026.
  • The board unanimously recommends voting FOR all three proposals.
  • The company has no definitive commitments for issuing the additional authorized shares if the increase is approved.
  • The company has retained D.F. King & Co. to aid in proxy solicitation for fees not exceeding $10,000 plus expenses.

Financial Impact

Potential gross proceeds of up to ~$8.7M from warrant exercise; significant dilution risk from up to 16,184,560 new shares (35% of current outstanding) and potential future dilution from authorized share increase to 500M shares.

dilutionequity financing capacity

Risk Factors

  • Potential failure of warrant exercise proposal could lead to additional litigation and loss of ~$8.7M in potential proceeds.
  • Authorized share increase enables future dilutive equity issuances without further stockholder approval.
  • Pending shareholder lawsuit (Nejmeh v. Theriva) adds legal uncertainty and potential costs.
  • Low insider ownership (1.33% by all officers and directors as a group) may indicate limited alignment with minority shareholders.

Investment Themes

Documents Analyzed

This report is based on 4 SEC documents filed with EDGAR.

DocumentAccession Number
DEF 14A Filing (Primary)0001104659-26-117417
Document: 0001104659-26-117417-index-headers.html0001104659-26-117417
Document: 0001104659-26-117417-index.html0001104659-26-117417
Document: 0001104659-26-117417.txt0001104659-26-117417
9 reports for TOVX
Performance horizon
50% Hit rate @ T+1 2 of 4 directional calls Went positive at some point 2 of 4 best @ T+1▲ +2.13%Aug 4, 2026
Filters
Rows
Reports for TOVX — sortable, filterable
TypeNow
Oct 20, 2026
7d ago
DEF 14A
BEARISH ★ 5/10
$0.1966 $0.1900▲ +3.36%▲ +2.18%$0.1900 (+3.36%)
Aug 11, 2026
11w ago
8-K
NEUTRAL ★ 4/10
$0.2300 $0.2400▲ +4.35%▲ +4.10%$0.1900 (−17.39%)
Aug 11, 2026
11w ago
Press Release
NEUTRAL ★ 5/10
$0.2300 $0.2400▲ +4.35%▲ +4.10%$0.1900 (−17.39%)
Aug 4, 2026
12w ago
8-K
BEARISH ★ 4/10
$0.2300 $0.2251▲ +2.13%▲ +1.93%$0.1900 (+17.39%)
Jul 7, 2026
16w ago
8-K
BULLISH ★ 5/10
$0.2354 $0.2378▲ +1.02%▲ +1.33%$0.1900 (−19.29%)
Jun 11, 2026
19w ago
Press Release
BULLISH ★ 7/10
$0.3070 $0.3038▼ −1.04%▼ −1.58%$0.1900 (−38.11%)
Apr 17, 2026
27w ago
8-K
BULLISH ★ 7/10
$0.4100 $0.3400▼ −17.07%▼ −16.42%$0.1900 (−53.66%)
Mar 12, 2026
32w ago
8-K
MIXED ★ 6/10
$0.1800 $0.1800· 0.00%▲ +0.60%$0.1900 (+5.56%)
Mar 12, 2026
32w ago
Press Release
MIXED ★ 6/10
$0.1800 $0.1800· 0.00%▲ +0.60%$0.1900 (+5.56%)
Showing 9 of 9

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Report published Oct 20, 2026