SecBot SecBot

BAER

Bridger Aerospace Group Holdings, Inc.
Nasdaq· Services-Business Services, NEC· Inc. DE· CIK 0001941536 Software & IT
$0.4999 +0.01 (+1.81%)
Oct 26 4:00 PM ET · prev $0.4910
Market cap
$27.7M
Nano cap
Consensus
Buy
89% Buy or better · 9 analysts
Median target
$4.00
+700% · range $2.10–4.00
Next earnings
Nov 16
in 21 days · EPS est. $0.61
1 year
−70.6%
from $1.70 · Oct 27
30 days
−33.3%
from $0.7500
52-week range
$0.4710–3.27
−85% from high · low Oct 22
Avg volume 20D
622.5K
Sep 29 spike 4.20M
Short interest
1.57M
≈2.7% of shares · −14.6%
Days to cover
1.4
at average volume
Insider net
-$11.8M
1 buyer · 2 sellers · since Mar 16
New fund stakes
0
Q2 2026 13F · 0 exits
SecBot read BEARISH 8 reports · 90 days
Balance 6 bearish · 0 bullish · 2 neutral oldest → newest, height = score
Avg score ·High conf. 6/8 ·Next Earnings date, Nov 16, 2026

Price

Daily candles with volume. Pins mark insider trades, rating changes, 13F stakes, reports, catalysts and short-interest jumps.

Signal stack

Where each data set points today.

  • InsidersBEARISH

    1 insider bought $452.9K at an average $1.13. 2 insiders sold $12.2M. Price is 56% below their cost.

  • InstitutionsBEARISH

    Q2 2026: 3 added (0 new), 8 trimmed or exited.

  • AnalystsBULLISH

    8 of 9 rate it Buy or better. Every target is above the price.

  • EstimatesFALLING

    Current-quarter EPS estimate $0.630 → $0.607 over 90 days. 3 up, 0 down in 30 days.

  • Short sellersSTEADY

    Short interest −14.6% to 1.57M shares. 1.4 days to cover, ≈2.7% of shares.

  • TrendDOWNTREND

    42% below its 50-day average. New closing low $0.4710 on Oct 22.

  • SocialQUIET

    No Reddit mentions this week. Last mention Sep 29.

Who's buying

13F· Q2 2026
0
new positions
0
exits
FundMoveSharesValue
ROYAL BANK OF CANADANEAR_EXIT48—
Cerity Partners LLCDOUBLED2,445,657$4.7M
Squarepoint Ops LLCTRIM36,403$69.9K
UBS Group AGTRIM29,217$56.1K
Centiva Capital, LPTRIM27,849$53.5K
DIMENSIONAL FUND ADVISORS LPTRIM22,642$43.5K
JONES FINANCIAL COMPANIES LLLPDOUBLED25,007$43.3K
Point72 Asset Management, L.P.TRIM16,305$31.3K

Quarterly 13F filings are due 45 days after each quarter ends.

The Street

9 analysts
Buy 89% rate it Buy or better
Strong Buy3Buy5Hold1Sell0Strong Sell0
12-month targets · 3 analysts

Price is below the lowest target. Median implies +700%.Targets as of Oct 26, 2026.

Recent actions
DateFirmActionRating
Aug 10, 2026Canaccord Genuity
MAINTAIN
MAINTAINBuy
May 20, 2026Lake Street
INITIATE
INITIATEBuy
Reddit
Recent posts
All social signals and their track records

Insider ledger

Form 4
$452.9K
bought · 1 insider
$12.2M
sold · 2 insiders
−55.8%
vs their $1.13 cost
DateInsiderTypeValue
Sep 30, 2026
Drohan Dan
Director
AWARD31,708 sh
Sep 30, 2026
Heller Dean
Director
AWARD31,708 sh
Sep 30, 2026
FASCITELLI ELIZABETH C
Director
AWARD31,708 sh
Sep 30, 2026
FREEDMAN ERNEST MICHAEL
Director
AWARD31,708 sh
Sep 30, 2026
Pasricha Meghan
Director
AWARD31,708 sh
Sep 30, 2026
SAVAGE ROBERT F JR
Director
AWARD31,708 sh
Sep 30, 2026
Schellenberg David
Director
AWARD31,708 sh
Sep 18, 2026
Gerleman Rebecca
SVP, Chief Accounting Officer
AWARD115,000 sh

Earnings setup

Estimates
Nov 16
reports in 21 days
$0.61
EPS estimate, this quarter
−4%
estimate change, 90 days
3↑ 0↓
revisions, 30 days
Current-quarter EPS estimate
PeriodEPS est.Range30D rev.Revenue
Current Q$0.61$0.42–$0.95+9.6%$82.0M
Next Q-$0.44-$0.52–-$0.40+9.5%$13.7M
Current FY🔒 Fresh data, subscribers only
Next FY-$0.26-$0.35–-$0.16-240.0%$156.6M

Short side

FINRA· Sep 30, 2026
1,572,543
shares short
-14.6%
vs prior settlement
1.4
days to cover
≈2.7%
of shares outstanding
Recent activity
The latest filings, insider trades, analyst actions, press and options flow — newest first.
Oct 15, 2026 Press
Bridger Aerospace was awarded a 220-day task order by the U.S. Department of the Interior with a minimum guaranteed…
Impact 4/10
Oct 15, 2026 Contract
Bridger Aerospace Awarded 220-day Department of the Interior Task Order for 2027 with Multi-Mission King Air 350
Exclusive-use task order with minimum guaranteed award of $5.3 million supports the U.S. Wildland Fi
Sep 30, 2026 Insider
Drohan Dan was granted 31,708 shares
Director
Sep 30, 2026 Insider
Heller Dean was granted 31,708 shares
Director
Sep 30, 2026 Insider
FASCITELLI ELIZABETH C was granted 31,708 shares
Director
Sep 3, 2026 Press
Bridger Aerospace announced a partnership with OroraTech USA to integrate satellite-based thermal intelligence into…
Impact 3/10
Aug 25, 2026 SEC
Blackstone Tactical Opportunities Fund - FD L.P., a former 10% owner of Bridger Aerospace, filed a Form 144 to sell…
144 — Impact 6/10
Aug 17, 2026 SEC
Blackstone Tactical Opportunities Fund (a former 10% owner) filed Form 144 on 8/17/2026 signaling intent to sell…
144 — Impact 4/10
Catalysts
Scheduled dates and disclosed events: earnings, FDA and trial readouts, halts, press releases. Colored dot = impact.
Upcoming
Recent

SecBot reports

7 filings · 5 press releases · 1 bullish · 6 bearish
All BAER filing & press-release reports (12)