SecBot SecBot
Insider Cluster (2 insiders) ·Filed Aug 6, 2026

BAER

Bridger Aerospace Group Holdings, Inc.
BEARISH
Impact 8/10
Horizondays Processed2mo ago
Insider cluster: 2 insiders, $6.3M total
Actionable Insight ▼ Bearish

The concentrated sell-down by Blackstone — the company's dominant insider holder — on a single day at ~$1.70 suggests they are exiting a material position. With no insider buying and a history of poor earnings/neutral calls failing to stem downside, traders should anticipate further selling pressure. Monitor for a Form 4 filing detailing the post-sale ownership percentage and any additional Blackstone sales in the coming weeks.

DirectionBearish
Confidencehigh
Horizondays
Latest settled — T+20d
BAER ▼ -11.51% at T+20d
SHORT call ✓ call won +11.51% · α vs SPY +11.11% · entry $1.26 → $1.12
Next anchor: T+60d in 3d
Latest observation: T+55 +54.47% FF3 residual α
Entry = T+0 close
Aug 6, 2026
via day close
T+1d
+8.73%
call -8.73% · α -8.76%
$1.37
settled 3mo ago
T+5d
-0.79%
call +0.79% · α +1.19%
$1.25
settled 3mo ago
T+20d
-11.51%
call +11.51% · α +11.11%
$1.12
settled 8w ago
T+60d
Pending
in 3d

Price Chart

Loading chart...

Executive Summary

Blackstone entities, as 10% owners, sold an aggregate ~3.7M shares of BAER (~$6.3M) on a single day, representing ~6.5% of the company's $97M market cap. This is a highly concentrated, material sell cluster from the largest insider holders with no offsetting insider buying.

Key Financial Metrics

Direction
selling
Total Value
$6.3M
Insiders
2

Key Facts

  • Blackstone Holdings I L.P. and Blackstone Holdings II L.P. each sold 1.85M shares on August 4, 2026, for total proceeds of ~$6.3M.
  • Total sales represent approximately 6.5% of BAER's ~$97M market cap, far exceeding the 2% threshold for highly material insider sales.
  • All transactions were open-market sales at ~$1.70/share; no insider purchases were reported in the window.
  • The sellers are 10% owners (Blackstone entities), not C-suite executives, but the magnitude is extreme relative to company size.

Financial Impact

$6.3M in insider sales, representing ~6.5% of $97M market cap — a highly material reduction by the two largest known insider holders.

market capfloatinsider ownership

Risk Factors

  • Blackstone may be reducing exposure ahead of adverse company-specific news (earnings miss, liquidity crunch, or operational setback).
  • The selling is so large relative to market cap that it could trigger follow-on selling by other holders or force dealer hedging that exacerbates price decline.
  • No insider purchases in the cluster — zero demand signal from those most informed about the business.

Market Snapshot

Exchange
Nasdaq
Sector
Services-Business Services, NEC
Analyst Consensus
89% bullish (9 analysts)

Investment Themes

Software & IT

Documents Analyzed

This report is based on 1 SEC document filed with EDGAR.

DocumentAccession Number
CLUSTER Data (Synthetic)cluster-BAER-1786082899673
14 reports for BAER
Performance horizon
71% Hit rate @ T+20 5 of 7 directional calls Went positive at some point 7 of 7 best @ T+20▲ +40.45%Aug 4, 2026
Filters
Rows
Reports for BAER — sortable, filterable
TypeNow
Oct 27, 2026
today
8-K
BULLISH ★ 5/10
$0.4886awaiting T+20—$0.4803 (−1.70%)
Oct 27, 2026
today
Press Release
BULLISH ★ 6/10
$0.4800awaiting T+20—$0.4803 (+0.06%)
Oct 15, 2026
12d ago
Press Release
NEUTRAL ★ 4/10
$0.5111awaiting T+20—$0.4803 (−6.03%)
Sep 3, 2026
7w ago
Press Release
NEUTRAL ★ 3/10
$1.09 $0.6800▼ −37.61%▼ −36.43%$0.4803 (−55.94%)
Aug 25, 2026
8w ago
144
BEARISH ★ 6/10
$1.16 $0.8300▲ +28.45%▲ +28.67%$0.4803 (+58.59%)
Aug 17, 2026
10w ago
144
BEARISH ★ 4/10
$1.16 $0.9922▲ +14.47%▲ +12.72%$0.4803 (+58.59%)
Aug 13, 2026
10w ago
Insider Cluster
BEARISH ★ 8/10
$1.25 $1.02▲ +18.40%▲ +16.41%$0.4803 (+61.58%)
Aug 11, 2026
10w ago
144
BEARISH ★ 5/10
$1.20 $1.04▲ +13.33%▲ +11.44%$0.4803 (+59.97%)
Aug 6, 2026
11w ago
Insider Cluster
BEARISH ★ 8/10
$1.26 $1.12▲ +11.51%▲ +11.11%$0.4803 (+61.88%)
Aug 4, 2026
11w ago
144
BEARISH ★ 5/10
$1.78 $1.06▲ +40.45%▲ +39.85%$0.4803 (+73.02%)
Showing 10 of 14

US Market Status

Market Open — Closes in 4h 14m

Subscribe to SecBot

Get Real-Time SEC Filing Intelligence

Comprehensive SEC filing analysis delivered the moment filings hit EDGAR. Sentiment scoring, impact analysis, and actionable insights for every material event.

Create a free account Live analysis, Telegram alerts, watchlists and the MCP server for subscribers
Report published Aug 7, 2026