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8-K ·Filed Mar 5, 2026

BAER

Bridger Aerospace Group Holdings, Inc.
BULLISH
Impact 8/10
Horizonmonths Processed7mo ago SEC0001171843-26-001361
8-K Item 2.02: Earnings release
Actionable Insight ▲ Bullish

The strong financial performance and positive guidance suggest robust growth ahead. The $331.5 million financing package provides the company with the capital needed for strategic fleet expansion, which could further drive revenue and profitability. Traders should monitor the company's ability to execute on its growth plans and the impact of the new aircraft on future financial results.

DirectionBullish
Confidencehigh
Horizonmonths
Final — all horizons settled through T+60d ⚠ clustered
BAER ▲ +0.68% at T+60d
LONG call ✓ call won +0.68% · α vs SPY -12.10% · entry $2.21 → $2.22
Entry = T+0 close
Mar 5, 2026
via day close
T+1d
-2.04%
call -2.04% · α -2.89%
$2.16
settled 8mo ago
T+5d
-9.30%
call -9.30% · α -7.77%
$2.00
settled 8mo ago
T+20d
-3.85%
call -3.85% · α -1.81%
$2.12
settled 7mo ago
T+60d
+0.68%
call +0.68% · α -12.10%
$2.22
settled 5mo ago

Price Chart

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Executive Summary

Bridger Aerospace reported record 2025 results with revenue up 25% to $122.8 million and positive net income of $4.1 million, a significant improvement from a $15.6 million loss in 2024. The company also announced a $331.5 million financing package and initiated 2026 guidance, forecasting revenue of $135-$145 million and Adjusted EBITDA of $55-$60 million.

Key Financial Metrics

Revenue
$122.8M
+25.0% YoY
EPS
$0.08
Guidance
$135 million to $145 million
initiated
Free Cash Flow
-$17.7M
Gross Margin
42.07%

Key Facts

  • 2025 revenue was $122.8 million, a 25% increase from $98.6 million in 2024.
  • Net income was $4.1 million in 2025, compared to a net loss of $15.6 million in 2024.
  • Adjusted EBITDA was $45.3 million in 2025, up 21% from $37.3 million in 2024.
  • Company initiated 2026 guidance with revenue expected between $135 million and $145 million and Adjusted EBITDA between $55 million and $60 million.
  • Completed a $331.5 million financing package, including a $100 million delayed draw facility.

Financial Impact

Revenue increased by $24.2 million year-over-year, and the company turned a $15.6 million net loss into $4.1 million in net income. The new financing package of $331.5 million provides significant capital for fleet expansion.

revenuenet incomeadjusted ebitdacash flowdebt

Risk Factors

  • The company's growth is dependent on the severity and duration of wildfire seasons, which are unpredictable.
  • The company has a significant amount of long-term debt, which could impact its financial flexibility.
  • The company's stock is thinly traded with a market cap of only $28 million, which could lead to high volatility.

Market Snapshot

Exchange
Nasdaq

Investment Themes

Software & IT

Documents Analyzed

This report is based on 5 SEC documents filed with EDGAR.

DocumentAccession Number
8-K Filing (Primary)0001171843-26-001361
Document: f8k_030526.htm0001171843-26-001361
Document: 0001171843-26-001361-index-headers.html0001171843-26-001361
Document: 0001171843-26-001361-index.html0001171843-26-001361
Document: 0001171843-26-001361.txt0001171843-26-001361
12 reports for BAER
Performance horizon
86% Hit rate @ T+20 6 of 7 directional calls Went positive at some point 7 of 7 best @ T+20▲ +40.45%Aug 4, 2026
Filters
Rows
Reports for BAER — sortable, filterable
TypeNow
Oct 15, 2026
11d ago
Press Release
NEUTRAL ★ 4/10
$0.5111awaiting T+20—$0.5050 (−1.19%)
Sep 3, 2026
7w ago
Press Release
NEUTRAL ★ 3/10
$1.09 $0.6800▼ −37.61%▼ −36.43%$0.5050 (−53.67%)
Aug 25, 2026
8w ago
144
BEARISH ★ 6/10
$1.16 $0.8300▲ +28.45%▲ +28.67%$0.5050 (+56.47%)
Aug 17, 2026
9w ago
144
BEARISH ★ 4/10
$1.16 $0.9922▲ +14.47%▲ +12.72%$0.5050 (+56.47%)
Aug 13, 2026
10w ago
Insider Cluster
BEARISH ★ 8/10
$1.25 $1.02▲ +18.40%▲ +16.41%$0.5050 (+59.60%)
Aug 11, 2026
10w ago
144
BEARISH ★ 5/10
$1.20 $1.04▲ +13.33%▲ +11.44%$0.5050 (+57.92%)
Aug 6, 2026
11w ago
Insider Cluster
BEARISH ★ 8/10
$1.26 $1.12▲ +11.51%▲ +11.11%$0.5050 (+59.92%)
Aug 4, 2026
11w ago
144
BEARISH ★ 5/10
$1.78 $1.06▲ +40.45%▲ +39.85%$0.5050 (+71.63%)
Jul 20, 2026
14w ago
Press Release
NEUTRAL ★ 3/10
$1.93 $1.19▼ −38.34%▼ −42.46%$0.5050 (−73.83%)
Mar 5, 2026
33w ago
8-K
BULLISH ★ 8/10
$2.21 $2.12▼ −3.85%▼ −1.81%$0.5050 (−77.10%)
Showing 10 of 12

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Report published Mar 5, 2026