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PRESS-RELEASE ·Filed Mar 5, 2026

BAER

Bridger Aerospace Group Holdings, Inc.
BULLISH
Impact 8/10
Horizonweeks Processed7mo ago WireGlobeNewswire
Press release · Earnings
Actionable Insight ▲ Bullish

The combination of profitability turnaround, strong EBITDA growth, and raised guidance suggests improving operational execution. The new credit facility reduces near-term liquidity risk and supports fleet growth. Traders should monitor 2026 revenue execution, especially non-recurring item adjustments and cash flow sustainability.

DirectionBullish
Confidencehigh
Horizonweeks
Final — all horizons settled through T+60d ⚠ clustered
BAER ▲ +0.68% at T+60d
LONG call ✓ call won +0.68% · α vs SPY -12.10% · entry $2.21 → $2.22
Entry = T+0 close
Mar 5, 2026
via day close
T+1d
-2.04%
call -2.04% · α -2.89%
$2.16
settled 8mo ago
T+5d
-9.30%
call -9.30% · α -7.77%
$2.00
settled 8mo ago
T+20d
-3.85%
call -3.85% · α -1.81%
$2.12
settled 7mo ago
T+60d
+0.68%
call +0.68% · α -12.10%
$2.22
settled 5mo ago

Price Chart

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Executive Summary

Bridger Aerospace reported strong full-year 2025 results with revenue up 25% to $122.8 million and a swing to positive net income of $4.1 million from a $15.6 million loss in 2024. Adjusted EBITDA grew 21% to $45.3 million, and the company secured a $331.5 million financing package to fund fleet expansion. It also issued bullish 2026 guidance, projecting revenue of $135M–$145M and Adjusted EBITDA of $55M–$60M.

Key Financial Metrics

Revenue
$122.8M
+24.6% YoY
EPS
$0.08
Guidance
$135M-$145M
raised

Key Facts

  • 2025 revenue: $122.8 million (25% YoY growth)
  • 2025 net income: $4.1 million (vs. $15.6 million net loss in 2024)
  • 2025 Adjusted EBITDA: $45.3 million (21% YoY growth)
  • Completed $331.5 million financing, including $100 million delayed draw facility
  • Fleet expanded with two Spanish Scoopers and four surveillance aircraft
  • 2026 guidance: $135M–$145M revenue (14% growth at midpoint), $55M–$60M Adjusted EBITDA (27% growth)

Financial Impact

Revenue increased by $24.2 million YoY; net income improved by $19.7 million; Adjusted EBITDA increased by $8.0 million. 2026 Adjusted EBITDA guidance implies $9.7M midpoint increase.

revenuenet incomeebitdacash flowdebt

Risk Factors

  • Fourth quarter revenue and Adjusted EBITDA declined sharply YoY (Q4 revenue down 45%, Adjusted EBITDA more negative)
  • Cash from operations improved but remains modest at $16.7M vs. $45.3M EBITDA, raising quality-of-earnings questions
  • High SG&A and interest expenses; $13.4M SG&A in Q4 2025 vs. $7.7M in Q4 2024
  • Stockholders’ deficit remains large at $342.6M as of Dec 2025

Market Snapshot

Exchange
Nasdaq

Investment Themes

Software & IT

Documents Analyzed

This report is based on 1 press release from GlobeNewswire.

DocumentAccession Number
PRESS-RELEASE Data (Synthetic)press-3250645
12 reports for BAER
Performance horizon
86% Hit rate @ T+20 6 of 7 directional calls Went positive at some point 7 of 7 best @ T+20▲ +40.45%Aug 4, 2026
Filters
Rows
Reports for BAER — sortable, filterable
TypeNow
Oct 15, 2026
11d ago
Press Release
NEUTRAL ★ 4/10
$0.5111awaiting T+20—$0.4920 (−3.74%)
Sep 3, 2026
7w ago
Press Release
NEUTRAL ★ 3/10
$1.09 $0.6800▼ −37.61%▼ −36.43%$0.4920 (−54.86%)
Aug 25, 2026
8w ago
144
BEARISH ★ 6/10
$1.16 $0.8300▲ +28.45%▲ +28.67%$0.4920 (+57.59%)
Aug 17, 2026
9w ago
144
BEARISH ★ 4/10
$1.16 $0.9922▲ +14.47%▲ +12.72%$0.4920 (+57.59%)
Aug 13, 2026
10w ago
Insider Cluster
BEARISH ★ 8/10
$1.25 $1.02▲ +18.40%▲ +16.41%$0.4920 (+60.64%)
Aug 11, 2026
10w ago
144
BEARISH ★ 5/10
$1.20 $1.04▲ +13.33%▲ +11.44%$0.4920 (+59.00%)
Aug 6, 2026
11w ago
Insider Cluster
BEARISH ★ 8/10
$1.26 $1.12▲ +11.51%▲ +11.11%$0.4920 (+60.95%)
Aug 4, 2026
11w ago
144
BEARISH ★ 5/10
$1.78 $1.06▲ +40.45%▲ +39.85%$0.4920 (+72.36%)
Jul 20, 2026
14w ago
Press Release
NEUTRAL ★ 3/10
$1.93 $1.19▼ −38.34%▼ −42.46%$0.4920 (−74.51%)
Mar 5, 2026
33w ago
8-K
BULLISH ★ 8/10
$2.21 $2.12▼ −3.85%▼ −1.81%$0.4920 (−77.69%)
Showing 10 of 12

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Report published Mar 5, 2026