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PRESS-RELEASE ·Filed Oct 15, 2026

BAER

Bridger Aerospace Group Holdings, Inc.
NEUTRAL
Impact 4/10
Horizonmonths Processed12d 10h ago WireGlobeNewswire
Press release · Contract
Actionable Insight • Neutral

Monitor future DOI and Forest Service task order awards for additional revenue visibility into 2027. The $5.3 million minimum guarantee provides a base but is small; incremental task orders or extensions would be needed for material revenue growth.

DirectionNeutral
Confidencehigh
Horizonmonths
Latest settled — T+5d
BAER ▼ -7.92% at T+5d
NEUTRAL call -7.92% · α vs SPY -6.91% · entry $0.5111 → $0.4706
Next anchor: T+20d in 16d
Latest observation: T+6 +13.21% FF3 residual α
Entry = T+0 close
Oct 15, 2026
via day close
T+1d
+1.00%
call +1.00% · α +2.10%
$0.5162
settled 11d ago
T+5d
-7.92%
call -7.92% · α -6.91%
$0.4706
settled 5d ago
T+20d
Pending
in 16d
T+60d
Pending
in 3mo

Price Chart

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Executive Summary

Bridger Aerospace was awarded a 220-day task order by the U.S. Department of the Interior with a minimum guaranteed value of approximately $5.3 million for 2027 air attack flight services using its King Air 350 aircraft. The award extends Bridger's existing DOI contract and provides revenue visibility into the 2027 wildfire season, though the absolute dollar amount is modest relative to the company's scale.

Key Financial Metrics

Deal Value
$5.3M

Key Facts

  • Awarded 220-day task order by U.S. Department of the Interior for 2027 air attack flight services
  • Minimum guaranteed award value of approximately $5.3 million
  • Aircraft deployment expected to begin on or around March 1, 2027
  • Task order runs through early October 2027, with possible extension by mutual agreement
  • Aircraft is a King Air 350 with Blackhawk engine upgrades and advanced sensor systems

Financial Impact

Minimum guaranteed value of approximately $5.3 million for a 220-day exclusive-use period

revenue

Risk Factors

  • Government may terminate the task order for convenience
  • Task order start date may be delayed or modified
  • Aircraft availability, maintenance, and staffing risks
  • Dependence on government appropriations and funding decisions

Investment Themes

Software & IT

Documents Analyzed

This report is based on 1 press release from GlobeNewswire.

DocumentAccession Number
PRESS-RELEASE Data (Synthetic)press-3381563
14 reports for BAER
Performance horizon
75% Hit rate @ T+20 6 of 8 directional calls Went positive at some point 8 of 8 best @ T+20▲ +40.45%Aug 4, 2026
Filters
Rows
Reports for BAER — sortable, filterable
TypeNow
Oct 27, 2026
today
8-K
BULLISH ★ 5/10
$0.4886awaiting T+20—$0.4650 (−4.83%)
Oct 27, 2026
today
Press Release
BULLISH ★ 6/10
$0.4800awaiting T+20—$0.4650 (−3.12%)
Oct 15, 2026
12d ago
Press Release
NEUTRAL ★ 4/10
$0.5111awaiting T+20—$0.4650 (−9.02%)
Sep 3, 2026
7w ago
Press Release
NEUTRAL ★ 3/10
$1.09 $0.6800▼ −37.61%▼ −36.43%$0.4650 (−57.34%)
Aug 25, 2026
8w ago
144
BEARISH ★ 6/10
$1.16 $0.8300▲ +28.45%▲ +28.67%$0.4650 (+59.91%)
Aug 17, 2026
10w ago
144
BEARISH ★ 4/10
$1.16 $0.9922▲ +14.47%▲ +12.72%$0.4650 (+59.91%)
Aug 13, 2026
10w ago
Insider Cluster
BEARISH ★ 8/10
$1.25 $1.02▲ +18.40%▲ +16.41%$0.4650 (+62.80%)
Aug 11, 2026
10w ago
144
BEARISH ★ 5/10
$1.20 $1.04▲ +13.33%▲ +11.44%$0.4650 (+61.25%)
Aug 6, 2026
11w ago
Insider Cluster
BEARISH ★ 8/10
$1.26 $1.12▲ +11.51%▲ +11.11%$0.4650 (+63.10%)
Aug 4, 2026
11w ago
144
BEARISH ★ 5/10
$1.78 $1.06▲ +40.45%▲ +39.85%$0.4650 (+73.88%)
Showing 10 of 14

US Market Status

Market Closed — Opens Wed (< 1m)

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Report published Oct 15, 2026