SecBot SecBot
144 ·Filed Aug 11, 2026

BAER

Bridger Aerospace Group Holdings, Inc.
BEARISH
Impact 5/10
Horizondays Processed2mo ago SEC0001193125-26-345459
Actionable Insight ▼ Bearish

Monitor for actual execution of the sale and any additional Form 144 or Form 4 filings from Blackstone affiliates. The pattern of sustained insider selling from a major equityholder suggests potential continued distribution, which could weigh on BAER's stock price. Watch for any public statements from the company or Blackstone regarding their ownership intentions.

DirectionBearish
Confidencemedium
Horizondays
Latest settled — T+20d
BAER ▼ -13.33% at T+20d
SHORT call ✓ call won +13.33% · α vs SPY +11.44% · entry $1.20 → $1.04
Next anchor: T+60d in 8d
Latest observation: T+51 +41.87% FF3 residual α
Entry = T+0 close
Aug 11, 2026
via day close
T+1d
+4.17%
call -4.17% · α -3.47%
$1.25
settled 3mo ago
T+5d
-3.33%
call +3.33% · α +2.89%
$1.16
settled 2mo ago
T+20d
-13.33%
call +13.33% · α +11.44%
$1.04
settled 7w ago
T+60d
Pending
in 8d

Price Chart

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Executive Summary

Blackstone Tactical Opportunities Fund - FD L.P., a significant equityholder of Bridger Aerospace, filed a Form 144 on August 11, 2026, signaling intent to sell 46,817 shares of common stock valued at approximately $64,139. This follows recent insider selling of $6.5M over the past 30 days, creating a pattern of affiliate distribution that may pressure the stock given the company's $76M market cap and the fund's large remaining position (1,853,665 shares recently transferred from an affiliate). The filing is notable for the seller's status as a major insider and the context of ongoing selling activity, but the proposed amount is small relative to the fund's total holdings and the company's market cap.

Key Facts

  • Blackstone Tactical Opportunities Fund - FD L.P. filed Form 144 to sell 46,817 shares of BAER common stock.
  • The proposed sale value is approximately $64,139 based on an estimated market price of ~$1.37 per share.
  • The shares were acquired on January 24, 2023, in connection with a business combination.
  • The seller is a significant equityholder of the issuer, per the filing remarks.
  • Recent insider activity shows 6 sells totaling $6.5M over the past 30 days.
  • The filing is part of a batch of 2 identical Form 144 filings from the same entity on the same date.

Financial Impact

Proposed sale of 46,817 shares valued at ~$64,139, representing approximately 0.08% of the $76M market cap.

dilutioninsider selling pressure

Risk Factors

  • Continued insider selling from major equityholder Blackstone could pressure the stock.
  • The company's small market cap ($76M) makes it sensitive to even modest selling volume.
  • The Form 144 is only an intent to sell; the actual sale may not occur.

Market Snapshot

Exchange
Nasdaq
Sector
Services-Business Services, NEC
Analyst Consensus
89% bullish (9 analysts)

Investment Themes

Software & IT

Documents Analyzed

This report is based on 6 SEC documents filed with EDGAR.

DocumentAccession Number
144 Filing (BAER) — Batch item 10001193125-26-345459
Document: 0001193125-26-345459-index.html0001193125-26-345459
Document: 0001193125-26-345459.txt0001193125-26-345459
144 Filing (BAER) — Batch item 40001193125-26-345459
Document: 0001193125-26-345459-index.html0001193125-26-345459
Document: 0001193125-26-345459.txt0001193125-26-345459
14 reports for BAER
Performance horizon
71% Hit rate @ T+20 5 of 7 directional calls Went positive at some point 7 of 7 best @ T+20▲ +40.45%Aug 4, 2026
Filters
Rows
Reports for BAER — sortable, filterable
TypeNow
Oct 27, 2026
today
8-K
BULLISH ★ 5/10
$0.4886awaiting T+20—$0.4650 (−4.83%)
Oct 27, 2026
today
Press Release
BULLISH ★ 6/10
$0.4800awaiting T+20—$0.4650 (−3.12%)
Oct 15, 2026
12d ago
Press Release
NEUTRAL ★ 4/10
$0.5111awaiting T+20—$0.4650 (−9.02%)
Sep 3, 2026
7w ago
Press Release
NEUTRAL ★ 3/10
$1.09 $0.6800▼ −37.61%▼ −36.43%$0.4650 (−57.34%)
Aug 25, 2026
8w ago
144
BEARISH ★ 6/10
$1.16 $0.8300▲ +28.45%▲ +28.67%$0.4650 (+59.91%)
Aug 17, 2026
10w ago
144
BEARISH ★ 4/10
$1.16 $0.9922▲ +14.47%▲ +12.72%$0.4650 (+59.91%)
Aug 13, 2026
10w ago
Insider Cluster
BEARISH ★ 8/10
$1.25 $1.02▲ +18.40%▲ +16.41%$0.4650 (+62.80%)
Aug 11, 2026
10w ago
144
BEARISH ★ 5/10
$1.20 $1.04▲ +13.33%▲ +11.44%$0.4650 (+61.25%)
Aug 6, 2026
11w ago
Insider Cluster
BEARISH ★ 8/10
$1.26 $1.12▲ +11.51%▲ +11.11%$0.4650 (+63.10%)
Aug 4, 2026
11w ago
144
BEARISH ★ 5/10
$1.78 $1.06▲ +40.45%▲ +39.85%$0.4650 (+73.88%)
Showing 10 of 14

US Market Status

Market Closed — Opens Wed (< 1m)

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Report published Aug 11, 2026