8-K ·Filed Aug 10, 2026

HZO

MARINEMAX INC
BULLISH
Impact 7/10
Horizonmonths Processed1mo ago SEC0001193125-26-341302
8-K material event: Items 1.01
Actionable Insight ▲ Bullish

HZO shares should trade near the $53.00 offer price with a modest spread reflecting deal risk and time to close. Monitor shareholder vote and HSR/regulatory clearance timelines. Any competing bid or regulatory delay could widen the spread. The deal is not subject to a financing condition, reducing execution risk.

DirectionBullish
Confidencehigh
Horizonmonths
Latest settled — T+20d ⚠ clustered
HZO ▲ +0.10% at T+20d
LONG call ✓ call won +0.10% · α vs SPY +1.01% · entry $52.12 → $52.17
Next anchor: T+60d in 4w
Latest observation: T+34 +9.91% FF3 residual α
Entry anchored
Aug 10, 08:00 AM ET
via 1-min bar
T+1d
+0.65%
call +0.65% · α +0.97%
$52.46
settled 8w ago
T+5d
+0.25%
call +0.25% · α +0.30%
$52.25
settled 7w ago
T+20d
+0.10%
call +0.10% · α +1.01%
$52.17
settled 25d ago
T+60d
—
call — · α —
—
in 4w

Price Chart

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Executive Summary

MarineMax (HZO) has entered into a definitive agreement to be acquired by Safe Harbor Marinas, a Blackstone Infrastructure portfolio company, in an all-cash transaction valued at approximately $1.5 billion enterprise value. Shareholders will receive $53.00 per share in cash, representing a 96% premium to the closing price on January 30, 2026, the last trading day before an unsolicited proposal was disclosed. The transaction, unanimously approved by MarineMax's Board, is expected to close by the end of calendar year 2026, subject to shareholder and regulatory approvals, with no financing condition.

Key Financial Metrics

Deal Value
$1.5B
Premium
96%
Deal Type
merger

Key Facts

  • MarineMax to be acquired by Safe Harbor Marinas (Blackstone Infrastructure) for $53.00/share in cash
  • Enterprise value of approximately $1.5 billion
  • 96% premium to January 30, 2026 closing price of $27.03; 110% premium to 90-day VWAP
  • Transaction expected to close by end of calendar year 2026
  • No financing condition; Blackstone has committed equity financing
  • Board unanimously approved and recommends shareholders vote in favor
  • Termination fee of $31.65 million payable by MarineMax under certain circumstances
  • Company will become privately held; HZO to be delisted from NYSE

Financial Impact

All-cash acquisition at $53.00/share, ~$1.5B enterprise value, 96% premium to pre-announcement price

share priceenterprise valuepremium

Risk Factors

  • Failure to obtain shareholder approval or regulatory clearances (HSR, foreign antitrust/FDI)
  • Superior proposal triggering termination fee and deal collapse
  • Prolonged closing timeline beyond expected end of 2026
  • Shareholder litigation challenging the transaction

Market Snapshot

Exchange
NYSE
Sector
Retail-Auto & Home Supply Stores
Analyst Consensus
69% bullish (13 analysts)

Investment Themes

Consumer & Retail

Documents Analyzed

This report is based on 6 SEC documents filed with EDGAR.

DocumentAccession Number
8-K Filing (Primary)0001193125-26-341302
Document: d135056d8k.htm0001193125-26-341302
Document: d135056dex991.htm0001193125-26-341302
Document: 0001193125-26-341302-index-headers.html0001193125-26-341302
Document: 0001193125-26-341302-index.html0001193125-26-341302
Document: 0001193125-26-341302.txt0001193125-26-341302
11 reports for HZO
Performance horizon
86% Hit rate 6 of 7 directional calls best @ T+5▲ +3.48%Apr 23, 2026
Filters
Rows
Reports for HZO — sortable, filterable
TypeNow
Aug 12, 2026
7w ago
ANALYST-DOWNGRADE
BEARISH ★ 5/10
$52.13 $52.20▼ −0.13%▼ −2.03%$52.35 (−0.42%)
Aug 11, 2026
7w ago
ANALYST-DOWNGRADE
BEARISH ★ 4/10
$52.46 $52.17▲ +0.55%▼ −0.51%$52.35 (+0.21%)
Aug 11, 2026
7w ago
ANALYST-DOWNGRADE
BEARISH ★ 4/10
$52.46 $52.17▲ +0.55%▼ −0.51%$52.35 (+0.21%)
Aug 10, 2026
7w ago
DEFA14A
BULLISH ★ 8/10
$52.46 $52.17▼ −0.55%▲ +0.51%$52.35 (−0.21%)
Aug 10, 2026
7w ago
DEFA14A
BULLISH ★ 8/10
$52.12 $52.17▲ +0.10%▲ +1.01%$52.35 (+0.44%)
Aug 10, 2026
7w ago
8-K
BULLISH ★ 7/10
$52.12 $52.17▲ +0.10%▲ +1.01%$52.35 (+0.44%)
Jul 23, 2026
10w ago
8-K
MIXED ★ 5/10
$33.57 $52.25▲ +55.64%▲ +52.34%$52.35 (+55.94%)
Jul 21, 2026
10w ago
ANALYST-DOWNGRADE
BEARISH ★ 4/10
$33.23 $52.18▼ −57.03%▼ −54.46%$52.35 (−57.54%)
Jun 30, 2026
13w ago
8-K
NEUTRAL ★ 4/10
$35.75 $33.96▼ −5.01%▼ −2.82%$52.35 (+46.43%)
Apr 23, 2026
23w ago
8-K
BEARISH ★ 7/10
$29.62 $33.59▼ −13.40%▼ −8.77%$52.35 (−76.74%)
Showing 10 of 11

US Market Status

Market Closed — Opens Mon (34h 8m)

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