ANALYST-DOWNGRADE ·Filed Oct 5, 2026
Citigroup double downgrade: Buy → Neutral
Latest settled — T+5d
HZO ▼ -0.04% at T+5d
SHORT call ✓ call won +0.04% · α vs SPY +0.46% · entry $52.35 → $52.33
Latest observation: T+9 +6.30% FF3 residual α
T+1d
+0.08%
call -0.08% · α +0.47%
$52.39
settled 13d ago
T+5d
-0.04%
call +0.04% · α +0.46%
$52.33
settled 7d ago
T+20d
—
call — · α —
—
in 14d
T+60d
—
call — · α —
—
in 2mo
Price Chart
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Executive Summary
Citigroup double downgrade: Buy → Neutral
Impact Score
Base Score
3/7
LLM Adjustment
+0
Final Score
4/10
Consensus & Targets
Buy / Strong Buy
5 (38%)
Hold
8
Sell / Strong Sell
0
Total Analysts
5
Mean PT
$49.40
Median PT
$53.00
High PT
$53.00
Low PT
$35.00
Current Price
$52.35
Implied Upside
-5.6%
Recent Analyst Activity
| Date | Firm | Action | Rating | Price Target |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-05 | Citigroup | downgrade | Neutral | $53.00 |
| 2026-08-12 | Truist Securities | downgrade | Hold | $53.00 |
| 2026-08-11 | Loop Capital | downgrade | Hold | — |
| 2026-08-11 | Benchmark | downgrade | Hold | — |
| 2026-07-21 | B. Riley Securities | downgrade | Neutral | $35.00 |
| 2026-07-06 | Truist Securities | maintain | Buy | — |
| 2026-01-30 | B. Riley Securities | reiterate | Buy | $29.00 |
| 2025-12-23 | Loop Capital | initiate | Buy | $29.00 |
| 2025-10-15 | Truist Securities | maintain | Buy | $29.00 |
| 2025-06-16 | Citigroup | maintain | Buy | $32.00 |
Firm Track Record — Citigroup
Citigroup accuracy: 55% on 4354 calls | avg return: 4.9%
Industry benchmark: mean 51% ± 11%. Top tier: ≥61% (mean + 1σ). Based on 5 firms with ≥5 scored calls.
| Firm | Accuracy | Calls | Avg Return | vs Average |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Citigroup | 100% | 3/3 | 13.7% | top tier |
| Truist Securities | 75% | 3/4 | 18.3% | top tier |
| Stifel | 50% | 1/2 | 16.6% | below average |
| Benchmark | 0% | 0/2 | -21.3% | below average |
| DA Davidson | 0% | 0/3 | -19.1% | below average |
Earnings Estimates
| Period | EPS Est. | EPS Range | Revenue | Revisions (7d) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| +1y | $1.57 | $1.15 — $2.00 | $2.3B | ↑0 ↓0 |
| 0y | $0.71 | $0.65 — $0.84 | $2.2B | ↑0 ↓0 |
| 0q | $0.05 | $0.01 — $0.12 | $542.8M | ↑0 ↓0 |
| +1q | $0.01 | $-0.24 — $0.23 | $512.0M | ↑1 ↓0 |
Cross-Platform Signals
Institutional
Arax Advisory Partners — doubled (773.2%)
Institutional
BANK OF AMERICA CORP /DE/ — trim (-55.4%)
Institutional
PRICE T ROWE ASSOCIATES INC /MD/ — add (25.7%)
Investment Themes
Consumer & Retail
Documents Analyzed
Report based on filing metadata.
12 reports for HZO
88% Hit rate best @ T+5▲ +3.48%
Filters
Rows
| Type | Now | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Oct 5, 2026 13d ago | ANALYST-DOWNGRADE | $52.35 $52.33 | ▲ +0.04% | ▲ +0.46% | $52.37 (−0.04%) |
Aug 12, 2026 9w ago | ANALYST-DOWNGRADE | $52.13 $52.22 | ▼ −0.17% | ▼ −0.62% | $52.37 (−0.46%) |
Aug 11, 2026 9w ago | ANALYST-DOWNGRADE | $52.46 $52.18 | ▲ +0.53% | ▲ +0.13% | $52.37 (+0.17%) |
Aug 11, 2026 9w ago | ANALYST-DOWNGRADE | $52.46 $52.18 | ▲ +0.53% | ▲ +0.13% | $52.37 (+0.17%) |
Aug 10, 2026 9w ago | DEFA14A | $52.46 $52.18 | ▼ −0.53% | ▼ −0.13% | $52.37 (−0.17%) |
Aug 10, 2026 9w ago | DEFA14A | $52.12 $52.25 | ▲ +0.25% | ▲ +0.30% | $52.37 (+0.48%) |
Aug 10, 2026 9w ago | 8-K | $52.12 $52.25 | ▲ +0.25% | ▲ +0.30% | $52.37 (+0.48%) |
Jul 23, 2026 12w ago | 8-K | $33.57 $35.03 | ▲ +4.35% | ▲ +3.87% | $52.37 (+56.00%) |
Jul 21, 2026 12w ago | ANALYST-DOWNGRADE | $33.23 $36.25 | ▼ −9.09% | ▼ −10.32% | $52.37 (−57.60%) |
Jun 30, 2026 15w ago | 8-K | $35.75 $35.59 | ▼ −0.45% | ▼ −0.71% | $52.37 (+46.49%) |
Showing 10 of 12
US Market Status
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