Market Cap
$17.4B
CF
CF Industries Holdings, Inc.
$115.01 ▲ +0.41%
Prev close $114.54Market cap$17.4B
ConsensusHold
12-mo target$127.69 (+11.0%)
▲ Neutral
Analyst conviction 4/10
Insider Selling Cluster (3 insiders)High Impact Filing (7/10)38 New Institutional Positions12 Institutional Exits Materials & Mining
Snapshot
The big-picture read on CF right now — valuation, ownership and activity at a glance.
Cap Size
Large Cap
Analyst Consensus
Hold (40%)
Inst. Holders
50 funds
Inst. Value
$12.3B
Inst. Activity
38 buys / 12 sells
Insider Activity
$0.00 buy / $53.0M sell
Insider Net $
-$53.0M
Social Sentiment
27° Bearish
SEC Reports
14
Congressional
1 trades
Price chart 30d -16.5%
Daily candles (open–high–low–close) with volume. Green = up day, red = down day.
No data for this timeframe.
Vol
Recent activity
The latest filings, insider trades, analyst actions, press and options flow — newest first.
Oct 1, 2026 short_volume
Sep 3, 2026 SEC Short Volume: CF — 56.5% short (0.6M / 1.0M)
Short: 557,563 | Exempt: 80 | TRF Vol: 987,480 | Short Ratio: 56.5% | Off-exchange volume (dark pool
CF Industries disclosed that Vice President, Corporate Controller, and Chief Accounting Officer Richard A. Hoker plans t
8-K — Impact 2/10
CF Industries reported a strong Q2 2026 beat with EPS of $4.73 (vs $3.80 consensus, +24.6%) and revenue of $2.22B (vs $1
8-K — Impact 7/10
Jun 30, 2026 Inst.
Capital World Investors — ADD
3,321,883 shares ($359.6M)
Jun 30, 2026 Inst.
NORGES BANK — NEW
3,004,820 shares ($325.3M)
May 26, 2026 Insider
May 22, 2026 SEC Scribner Andrew was granted 6,464 shares
EVP and CFO
Stephen J. Hagge, a former director of CF Industries, filed a Form 144 notice to sell 3,293 shares of common stock, valu
144 — Impact 2/10
Apr 28, 2026 Insider
TOELLE MICHAEL was granted 1,390 shares
Director
Analyst ratings buy % -2.4%
How Wall Street rates the stock today, and the latest firm-by-firm actions.
40% rate it Buy or better · 30 analysts
Recent analyst actions
| Date | Firm | Action | Rating | Firm rating |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 28, 2026 | Rothschild & Co | UPGRADE | Neutral | 58% |
| Sep 25, 2026 | Bernstein | INITIATE | Outperform | 51% |
| Sep 11, 2026 | Keybanc | INITIATE | Underweight | 52% |
| Aug 10, 2026 | Scotiabank | MAINTAIN | Sector Outperform | 56% |
| Aug 7, 2026 | UBS | MAINTAIN | Neutral | 55% |
| Jul 17, 2026 | RBC Capital | MAINTAIN | Sector Perform | 55% |
| Jul 7, 2026 | Morgan Stanley | MAINTAIN | Equal-Weight | 55% |
| Jun 30, 2026 | Scotiabank | UPGRADE | Sector Outperform | 56% |
| Jun 3, 2026 | JP Morgan | MAINTAIN | Neutral | 55% |
| May 11, 2026 | Scotiabank | MAINTAIN | Sector Perform | 56% |
Monthly consensus history
| Period | Str. Buy | Buy | Hold | Sell | Str. Sell | Buy % | Distribution |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 1, 2026 | 4 | 8 | 15 | 3 | 0 | 40% | |
| Aug 1, 2026 | 4 | 9 | 14 | 3 | 0 | 43% | |
| Jul 1, 2026 | 4 | 10 | 14 | 3 | 0 | 45% | |
| Jun 1, 2026 | 3 | 9 | 15 | 3 | 0 | 40% | |
| May 1, 2026 | 0 | 4 | 16 | 7 | 3 | 13% | |
| Apr 1, 2026 | 0 | 4 | 16 | 7 | 3 | 13% | |
| Mar 1, 2026 | 3 | 8 | 17 | 2 | 0 | 37% | |
| Feb 1, 2026 | 3 | 9 | 16 | 1 | 0 | 41% |
Price targets
Where 20 covering analysts think CF trades over the next 12 months.
$127.69 +11.0% upside Buy
Current$115.01 Low$105.00 Median$124.00 High$195.72 20 analysts
$105.00$195.72
Analyst rating Hold· 2.8/5 as of Oct 2, 2026
Social media sentiment mood +0.0%
Retail-investor mood aggregated across social media. 0° = very bearish, 100° = very bullish.
27°
Bearish
BearishNeutralBullish
Recent posts
Reports & filings
AI-scored summaries of recent SEC filings and press releases, with sentiment and impact.
14 SEC filing reports analyzed · 3 bullish, 4 bearish, 0 mixed, 7 neutral · avg impact 4.7/10.
NEUTRAL8-K2/10
CF Industries disclosed that Vice President, Corporate Controller, and Chief Accounting Officer Rich
Sep 3, 2026
BULLISH8-K7/10
CF Industries reported a strong Q2 2026 beat with EPS of $4.73 (vs $3.80 consensus, +24.6%) and reve
Aug 6, 2026
NEUTRAL1442/10
Stephen J. Hagge, a former director of CF Industries, filed a Form 144 notice to sell 3,293 shares o
May 22, 2026
BULLISH8-K8/10
CF Industries reported Q1 2026 GAAP EPS of $3.98, crushing the $2.73 consensus by 46%, on revenue of
May 6, 2026
Upcoming & catalyst events
Scheduled dates plus disclosed catalysts — earnings, dividends, enforcement, FDA and clinical-trial events. Colored dot = impact.
Oct 1, 2026
short_volume
Short Volume: CF — 56.5% short (0.6M / 1.0M)
Short: 557,563 | Exempt: 80 | TRF Vol: 987,480 | Short Ratio: 56.5% | Off-exchange volume (dark pool + OTC)
Sep 30, 2026
short_volume
Short Volume: CF — 57.7% short (0.4M / 0.6M)
Short: 359,369 | Exempt: 656 | TRF Vol: 622,698 | Short Ratio: 57.7% | Off-exchange volume (dark pool + OTC)
Sep 29, 2026
short_volume
Short Volume: CF — 64.3% short (0.5M / 0.8M)
Short: 522,079 | Exempt: 6 | TRF Vol: 811,690 | Short Ratio: 64.3% | Off-exchange volume (dark pool + OTC)
Sep 17, 2026
short_volume
Short Volume: CF — 59.4% short (0.3M / 0.5M)
Short: 301,019 | Exempt: 1 | TRF Vol: 506,894 | Short Ratio: 59.4% | Off-exchange volume (dark pool + OTC)
Sep 14, 2026
short_volume
Short Volume: CF — 63.2% short (0.5M / 0.8M)
Short: 489,738 | Exempt: 1 | TRF Vol: 774,348 | Short Ratio: 63.2% | Off-exchange volume (dark pool + OTC)
Earnings estimates
Forecast earnings per share and revenue by period — and whether estimates are rising.
| Period | EPS Est. | Range | Growth | 30d Rev | Up/Dn | Revenue | # |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Current Q | $3.02 | $2.29–$3.80 | 37.9% | +0.2% | 1↑ 4↓ | $1.8B | 7 |
| Next Q | $3.59 | $2.96–$4.55 | 38.5% | +0.1% | 2↑ 3↓ | $1.9B | 7 |
| Current FY | $15.31 | $14.55–$17.21 | 70.7% | +1.6% | 0↑ 6↓ | $8.3B | 10 |
| Next FY | $11.18 | $9.74–$13.45 | -27.0% | +4.9% | 1↑ 4↓ | $7.3B | 11 |
Current-quarter EPS estimate — revision history
| When | EPS estimate | Change vs now |
|---|---|---|
| Current | $3.019 | — |
| 7d ago | $3.012 | +0.007 |
| 30d ago | $3.012 | +0.007 |
| 60d ago | $4.097 | -1.078 |
| 90d ago | $4.438 | -1.419 |
Institutional ownership
Which big funds own CF (from quarterly 13F filings) and who is adding or trimming.
50 institutional holders with $12.3B total value (113,013,566 shares) as of 2026-Q2. Top holders: BlackRock,, VANGUARD, VANGUARD. Net buying activity: 38 institutions added/increased vs 12 reduced.
Top holders — 2026-Q2
| Fund | Shares | Value | % Tracked | Last move |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BlackRock, Inc. | 13,029,812 | $1.4B | 11.5% | — |
| VANGUARD CAPITAL MANAGEMENT LLC | 10,040,045 | $1.1B | 8.9% | — |
| VANGUARD PORTFOLIO MANAGEMENT LLC | 8,532,875 | $923.8M | 7.5% | — |
| STATE STREET CORP | 8,531,329 | $923.6M | 7.5% | — |
| GEODE CAPITAL MANAGEMENT, LLC | 5,386,783 | $630.0M | 5.1% | — |
| DIMENSIONAL FUND ADVISORS LP | 3,632,033 | $393.1M | 3.2% | — |
| Capital World Investors | 3,321,883 | $359.6M | 2.9% | ADD +53.0% |
| Invesco Ltd. | 3,143,864 | $340.4M | 2.8% | — |
| Allianz Asset Management GmbH | 3,107,019 | $336.4M | 2.7% | — |
| NORTHERN TRUST CORP | 3,082,280 | $333.7M | 2.7% | — |
Recent position changes
| Fund | Action | Prev | Current | Change | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Capital World Investors | ADD | 2,170,883 | 3,321,883 | +53.0% | $359.6M |
| NORGES BANK | NEW | — | 3,004,820 | — | $325.3M |
| FMR LLC | TRIM | 4,356,981 | 2,587,699 | -40.6% | $280.1M |
| GOLDMAN SACHS GROUP INC | ADD | 1,813,785 | 2,351,891 | +29.7% | $254.6M |
| AMERIPRISE FINANCIAL INC | TRIM | 3,128,234 | 2,293,391 | -26.7% | $248.3M |
| ARROWSTREET CAPITAL, LIMITED PARTNERSHIP | ADD | 1,088,286 | 1,825,887 | +67.8% | $197.7M |
| EARNEST PARTNERS LLC | TRIM | 2,185,460 | 1,620,100 | -25.9% | $175.4M |
| Boston Partners | TRIM | 2,315,725 | 1,510,890 | -34.8% | $163.6M |
| Amundi | ADD | 902,290 | 1,356,819 | +50.4% | $146.9M |
| Qube Research & Technologies Ltd | DOUBLED | 512,306 | 1,316,883 | +157.1% | $142.6M |
Insider activity
Buying and selling by company executives and directors (SEC Form 4).
19 insiders, 50 transactions. Net -$53.0M — $0.00 bought, $53.0M sold.
| Date | Insider | Title | Type | Shares | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| May 26, 2026 | Scribner Andrew | EVP and CFO | AWARD | 6,464 | — | — |
| Apr 28, 2026 | TOELLE MICHAEL | Director | AWARD | 1,390 | — | — |
| Apr 28, 2026 | Madrazo Yris Jesus | Director | AWARD | 1,390 | — | — |
| Apr 28, 2026 | Ellerbusch Susan A | Director | AWARD | 1,390 | — | — |
| Apr 28, 2026 | EAVES JOHN W | Director | AWARD | 1,390 | — | — |
| Apr 28, 2026 | Wagler Theresa E | Director | AWARD | 1,390 | — | — |
| Apr 28, 2026 | DeHaas Deborah L | Director | AWARD | 1,390 | — | — |
| Apr 28, 2026 | ARZBAECHER ROBERT C | Director | AWARD | 1,390 | — | — |
| Apr 28, 2026 | Ahmed Javed | Director | AWARD | 1,390 | — | — |
| Apr 28, 2026 | Williams Trevor Leigh | SVP, Manufacturing & Dist'n | AWARD | 4,184 | — | — |
Congressional trades
CF trades disclosed by members of Congress, with disclosure delay.
1 members · 1 buys / 0 sells
| Date | Member | Party | Chamber | Type | Amount | Asset | Disclosed |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 9, 2026 | Gilbert Cisneros | D | HOUSE | BUY | $1,001 - $15,000 | CF Industries Holdings Inc | Feb 16, 2026(39d) |
Short interest & halts
FINRA semi-monthly short positions, Reg SHO threshold status, and recent trading halts for CF.
Shares short
9,773,355
Settlement Sep 15, 2026
Change vs prior
+17.2%
Semi-monthly cycle
Days to cover
3.3
At avg daily volume
Of shares outstanding
≈6.5%
Estimate — not % of float
All CF filing & press-release reports (14)
- 8-K reportSep 3, 2026
- 8-K reportAug 6, 2026
- 144 reportMay 22, 2026
- 8-K reportMay 6, 2026
- 8-K reportMay 6, 2026
- 8-K reportMay 5, 2026
- CLUSTER reportMar 19, 2026
- DEFA14A reportMar 17, 2026
- CLUSTER reportMar 13, 2026
- CLUSTER reportMar 9, 2026
- CLUSTER reportMar 6, 2026
- CLUSTER reportMar 5, 2026
- CLUSTER reportMar 3, 2026
- CLUSTER reportFeb 27, 2026