Insider Cluster (3 insiders) ·Filed May 18, 2026

UPST

Upstart Holdings, Inc.
BULLISH
Impact 6/10
Horizonweeks Processed4mo ago
Insider cluster: 2 insiders, $1.4M total
Actionable Insight ▲ Bullish

The CEO's $1.38M open-market purchase is a strong bullish signal, especially after Q1 earnings showed 44% revenue growth and reaffirmed guidance. The small sales by other executives are routine and do not offset the CEO's conviction. Traders should view this as a positive catalyst for UPST shares in the near term.

DirectionBullish
Confidencehigh
Horizonweeks
Final — all horizons settled through T+60d ⚠ clustered
UPST ▲ +10.29% at T+60d
LONG call ✓ call won +10.29% · α vs SPY +4.00% · entry $28.08 → $30.97
Entry anchored
May 18, 04:17 PM ET
via exchange tick
T+1d
+2.71%
call +2.71% · α +1.67%
$28.84
settled 5mo ago
T+5d
+8.44%
call +8.44% · α +6.19%
$30.45
settled 4mo ago
T+20d
+8.48%
call +8.48% · α +7.49%
$30.46
settled 4mo ago
T+60d
+10.29%
call +10.29% · α +4.00%
$30.97
settled 7w ago

Price Chart

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Executive Summary

Upstart CEO Paul Gu purchased $1.38M of stock on May 13, 2026, while two other executives sold small amounts totaling $31.6K on May 15. The CEO buy is a strong bullish signal, especially following strong Q1 2026 earnings (revenue +44% YoY, originations +61% YoY) and reaffirmed full-year guidance. The sales are trivial in size and likely routine. The cluster is dominated by the CEO's open-market purchase, which is a rare and material vote of confidence.

Key Financial Metrics

Direction
mixed
Total Value
$1.4M
Insiders
3

Key Facts

  • CEO Paul Gu purchased 50,000 shares at $27.50 for $1.38M on May 13, 2026.
  • President Sanjay Datta sold 806 shares at $28.96 for $23.3K on May 15.
  • CLO Scott Darling sold 286 shares at $28.84 for $8.2K on May 15.
  • Q1 2026 revenue grew 44% YoY to $308M; originations grew 61% YoY to ~$3.4B.
  • Full-year 2026 revenue guidance of ~$1.4B reaffirmed.
  • CEO purchase is ~0.05% of market cap ($2.8B), which is modest but significant given CEO's role and the rarity of open-market buys.
  • Insider cluster follows strong Q1 earnings by 8 days, consistent with informed buying on positive results.

Financial Impact

CEO purchase of $1.38M represents ~0.05% of market cap; total insider sales of $31.6K are negligible.

insider ownershipmarket sentiment

Risk Factors

  • CEO purchase is only ~0.05% of market cap, so the signal is modest in dollar terms relative to company size.
  • The company's net loss widened to $6.6M from $2.4M YoY, and adjusted EBITDA margin declined from 20% to 13%.
  • The broader macroeconomic environment (interest rates, credit conditions) remains a risk for Upstart's lending business.

Market Snapshot

Exchange
Nasdaq
Sector
Finance Services
Analyst Consensus
62% bullish (21 analysts)

Investment Themes

Artificial IntelligenceFintech & Payments

Documents Analyzed

This report is based on 1 SEC document filed with EDGAR.

DocumentAccession Number
CLUSTER Data (Synthetic)cluster-UPST-1779138465818
12 reports for UPST
Performance horizon
100% Hit rate 3 of 3 directional calls best @ T+20▲ +13.11%Aug 21, 2026
Filters
Rows
Reports for UPST — sortable, filterable
TypeNow
Sep 10, 2026
21d ago
Insider Cluster
MIXED ★ 5/10
$25.59 $25.00▼ −2.31%▼ −2.08%$23.02 (−10.04%)
Aug 27, 2026
5w ago
Insider Cluster
NEUTRAL ★ 3/10
$29.08 $28.05▼ −3.54%▼ −3.65%$23.02 (−20.84%)
Aug 21, 2026
5w ago
Insider Cluster
BEARISH ★ 4/10
$29.89 $28.68▲ +4.05%▲ +4.52%$23.02 (+22.98%)
Aug 19, 2026
6w ago
Insider Cluster
NEUTRAL ★ 2/10
$30.60 $30.47▼ −0.42%▼ −0.04%$23.02 (−24.77%)
May 27, 2026
18w ago
Insider Cluster
NEUTRAL ★ 2/10
$32.69 $32.27▼ −1.28%▼ −1.60%$23.02 (−29.58%)
May 20, 2026
19w ago
144
NEUTRAL ★ 2/10
$28.85 $32.69▲ +13.31%▲ +11.71%$23.02 (−20.21%)
May 19, 2026
19w ago
8-K
NEUTRAL ★ 3/10
$28.08 $30.45▲ +8.44%▲ +6.19%$23.02 (−18.02%)
May 18, 2026
19w ago
Insider Cluster
BULLISH ★ 6/10
$28.08 $30.45▲ +8.44%▲ +6.19%$23.02 (−18.02%)
May 15, 2026
19w ago
144
NEUTRAL ★ 2/10
$27.94 $30.62▲ +9.59%▲ +7.97%$23.02 (−17.61%)
May 7, 2026
21w ago
Insider Cluster
BULLISH ★ 6/10
$29.00 $29.71▲ +2.45%▲ +0.15%$23.02 (−20.62%)
Showing 10 of 12

US Market Status

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Report published May 18, 2026