Insider Cluster (3 insiders) ·Filed Aug 19, 2026

UPST

Upstart Holdings, Inc.
NEUTRAL
Impact 2/10
Horizondays Processed1mo ago
Insider cluster: 3 insiders, $0.3M total
Actionable Insight • Neutral

This cluster is too small to act on as a standalone signal. Monitor for any upcoming earnings release, material agreement, or offering that could provide context for the timing. If the CFO's selling pattern accelerates (e.g., >$500K in a single week), that would warrant closer attention. For now, the historical track record of UPST insider signals suggests the stock tends to drift higher after cluster filings, but the trivial dollar amounts here make this a non-event.

DirectionNeutral
Confidencehigh
Horizondays
Latest settled — T+20d
UPST ▼ -19.05% at T+20d
NEUTRAL call ✗ call lost -19.05% · α vs SPY -17.10% · entry $30.60 → $24.77
Next anchor: T+60d in 6w
Latest observation: T+28 -11.14% FF3 residual α
Entry anchored
Aug 18, 07:02 PM ET
via 1-min bar
T+1d
-5.69%
call -5.69% · α -4.85%
$28.86
settled 6w ago
T+5d
-0.42%
call -0.42% · α -0.04%
$30.47
settled 5w ago
T+20d
-19.05%
call -19.05% · α -17.10%
$24.77
settled 16d ago
T+60d
—
call — · α —
—
in 6w

Price Chart

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Executive Summary

Three Upstart insiders — CFO, President of Capital & Enterprise, and Chief Legal Officer — sold a total of ~$294K in open-market sales on August 17, 2026, with the CFO adding another $88K sale on August 19. The cluster is 100% selling by senior executives, but the total dollar value is only ~0.01% of UPST's $2.8B market cap, well below the 0.1% materiality threshold. The sales are clustered on the same date (Aug 17), suggesting a common blackout-window opening or 10b5-1 plan rather than a coordinated bearish signal. Historical calibration shows prior UPST insider cluster signals have been strongly predictive (T+20 win rate 90%, avg alpha +6.79%), but the current cluster's trivial size relative to market cap limits its standalone significance. The cross-filing actuarial verdicts show all context pairs as amplifiers, but no specific cross-filing context (earnings, offering, restatement, late filing, press, agreement) is present in the provided data to trigger an override — the cluster stands alone as a routine, low-conviction sell signal.

Key Financial Metrics

Direction
selling
Total Value
$382.0K
Insiders
3

Key Facts

  • CFO Andrea Blankmeyer sold 10,175 shares total ($298K) on Aug 17 and Aug 19
  • President Sanjay Datta sold 2,033 shares ($60K) on Aug 17
  • CLO Scott Darling sold 814 shares ($24K) on Aug 17
  • Total cluster value of $382K is ~0.014% of UPST's $2.8B market cap
  • All three sales occurred on the same date (Aug 17), suggesting a common liquidity event or blackout-window opening
  • Prior UPST insider cluster signals have been highly predictive (90% win rate, +6.79% avg alpha T+20), but this cluster is too small to replicate that signal

Financial Impact

Total insider sales of $382K represent ~0.014% of market cap — immaterial

dilution

Risk Factors

  • Insider sales could accelerate if a material negative catalyst emerges
  • CFO selling the largest dollar amount may signal internal concern about near-term fundamentals
  • Cluster timing near a potential earnings blackout window could indicate pre-planned liquidity rather than conviction

Market Snapshot

Exchange
Nasdaq
Sector
Finance Services
Analyst Consensus
62% bullish (21 analysts)

Investment Themes

Artificial IntelligenceFintech & Payments

Documents Analyzed

This report is based on 1 SEC document filed with EDGAR.

DocumentAccession Number
CLUSTER Data (Synthetic)cluster-UPST-1787198697136
12 reports for UPST
Performance horizon
100% Hit rate 4 of 4 directional calls best @ T+20▲ +13.11%Aug 21, 2026
Filters
Rows
Reports for UPST — sortable, filterable
TypeNow
Sep 10, 2026
21d ago
Insider Cluster
MIXED ★ 5/10
$25.59 $25.00▼ −2.31%▼ −2.08%$23.02 (−10.04%)
Aug 27, 2026
5w ago
Insider Cluster
NEUTRAL ★ 3/10
$29.08 $28.05▼ −3.54%▼ −3.65%$23.02 (−20.84%)
Aug 21, 2026
5w ago
Insider Cluster
BEARISH ★ 4/10
$29.89 $28.68▲ +4.05%▲ +4.52%$23.02 (+22.98%)
Aug 19, 2026
6w ago
Insider Cluster
NEUTRAL ★ 2/10
$30.60 $30.47▼ −0.42%▼ −0.04%$23.02 (−24.77%)
May 27, 2026
18w ago
Insider Cluster
NEUTRAL ★ 2/10
$32.69 $32.27▼ −1.28%▼ −1.60%$23.02 (−29.58%)
May 20, 2026
19w ago
144
NEUTRAL ★ 2/10
$28.85 $32.69▲ +13.31%▲ +11.71%$23.02 (−20.21%)
May 19, 2026
19w ago
8-K
NEUTRAL ★ 3/10
$28.08 $30.45▲ +8.44%▲ +6.19%$23.02 (−18.02%)
May 18, 2026
19w ago
Insider Cluster
BULLISH ★ 6/10
$28.08 $30.45▲ +8.44%▲ +6.19%$23.02 (−18.02%)
May 15, 2026
19w ago
144
NEUTRAL ★ 2/10
$27.94 $30.62▲ +9.59%▲ +7.97%$23.02 (−17.61%)
May 7, 2026
21w ago
Insider Cluster
BULLISH ★ 6/10
$29.00 $29.71▲ +2.45%▲ +0.15%$23.02 (−20.62%)
Showing 10 of 12

US Market Status

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Report published Aug 20, 2026