Insider Cluster (2 insiders) ·Filed Aug 5, 2026

UAL

United Airlines Holdings, Inc.
NEUTRAL
Impact 3/10
Horizondays Processed1mo ago
Insider cluster: 2 insiders, $4.0M total
Actionable Insight • Neutral

The small size of these sales relative to market cap makes them routine. Monitor for any larger insider sales or a pattern of sustained C-suite selling that could signal a change in outlook. The stock's strong analyst consensus (87% bullish) and recent positive momentum suggest no immediate concern.

DirectionNeutral
Confidencemedium
Horizondays
Latest settled — T+20d ⚠ clustered
UAL ▼ -18.39% at T+20d
NEUTRAL call ✗ call lost -18.39% · α vs SPY -17.79% · entry $132.76 → $108.35
Next anchor: T+60d in 26d
Latest observation: T+38 -13.61% FF3 residual α
Entry anchored
Aug 4, 07:46 PM ET
via 1-min bar
T+1d
-2.74%
call -2.74% · α -2.58%
$129.12
settled 8w ago
T+5d
-5.75%
call -5.75% · α -6.11%
$125.12
settled 7w ago
T+20d
-18.39%
call -18.39% · α -17.79%
$108.35
settled 4w ago
T+60d
—
call — · α —
—
in 26d

Price Chart

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Executive Summary

Two top UAL executives, the CFO and EVP & Chief Commercial Officer, sold a combined $1.68M in open-market sales over two days. While the dollar amount is modest relative to UAL's $43.1B market cap (0.004%), the cluster involves two C-suite officers selling near the stock's recent highs, which warrants attention but is not a strong bearish signal given the small scale and the weak predictive power of insider sales clusters per academic literature. The historical calibration shows this filing type has a neutral-to-slightly-positive average alpha at T+20, and the cross-filing amplifiers do not apply here as no earnings, restatement, or late-filing context is present.

Key Financial Metrics

Direction
selling
Total Value
$1.7M
Insiders
2

Key Facts

  • CFO Michael Leskinen sold 10,000 shares at $128.19 on 2026-08-03 for $1.28M
  • EVP & Chief Commercial Officer Andrew Nocella sold 3,000 shares at $132.30 on 2026-08-04 for $397K
  • Total cluster value of $1.68M represents 0.004% of UAL's $43.1B market cap
  • Both sales were open-market transactions, not 10b5-1 plan sales

Financial Impact

Insider sales of $1.68M, immaterial relative to $43.1B market cap

insider ownership

Risk Factors

  • Insider sales could accelerate if management sees headwinds from fuel costs or demand
  • Airline sector is cyclical and exposed to macroeconomic shocks

Market Snapshot

Exchange
Nasdaq
Sector
Air Transportation, Scheduled
Analyst Consensus
87% bullish (30 analysts)

Investment Themes

Industrials & Manufacturing

Documents Analyzed

This report is based on 1 SEC document filed with EDGAR.

DocumentAccession Number
CLUSTER Data (Synthetic)cluster-UAL-1785999789328
24 reports for UAL
Performance horizon
71% Hit rate 5 of 7 directional calls best @ T+60▲ +37.45%Apr 10, 2026
Filters
Rows
Reports for UAL — sortable, filterable
TypeNow
Sep 14, 2026
18d ago
Court Ruling
NEUTRAL ★ 1/10
$108.96 $114.39▲ +4.98%▲ +3.32%$112.17 (+2.94%)
Aug 24, 2026
5w ago
Court Ruling
NEUTRAL ★ 2/10
$113.57 $107.99▼ −4.91%▼ −5.38%$112.17 (−1.24%)
Aug 19, 2026
6w ago
Court Ruling
NEUTRAL ★ 3/10
$115.78 $114.83▼ −0.82%▼ −0.43%$112.17 (−3.12%)
Aug 18, 2026
6w ago
Court Ruling
BULLISH ★ 6/10
$118.72 $117.41▼ −1.10%▼ −0.90%$112.17 (−5.52%)
Aug 5, 2026
8w ago
Insider Cluster
NEUTRAL ★ 3/10
$132.76 $125.12▼ −5.75%▼ −6.11%$112.17 (−15.51%)
Aug 4, 2026
8w ago
Court Ruling
NEUTRAL ★ 1/10
$132.62 $126.31▼ −4.76%▼ −4.66%$112.17 (−15.42%)
Jul 29, 2026
9w ago
Insider Cluster
NEUTRAL ★ 3/10
$119.42 $132.76▲ +11.17%▲ +5.64%$112.17 (−6.08%)
Jul 21, 2026
10w ago
Court Ruling
NEUTRAL ★ 1/10
$117.70 $120.57▲ +2.44%▲ +3.67%$112.17 (−4.70%)
Jul 13, 2026
11w ago
Court Ruling
BULLISH ★ 4/10
$121.16 $115.41▼ −4.75%▼ −3.96%$112.17 (−7.42%)
Jul 6, 2026
12w ago
Court Ruling
NEUTRAL ★ 1/10
$132.50 $126.00▼ −4.91%▼ −5.39%$112.17 (−15.35%)
Showing 10 of 24

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Report published Aug 6, 2026