PRESS-RELEASE ·Filed May 5, 2026

SHOP

Shopify Inc.
BULLISH
Impact 8/10
Horizondays Processed5mo ago WireGlobeNewswire
Press release: earnings
Actionable Insight ▲ Bullish

The Q1 beat and maintained mid-teens FCF margin guidance suggest Shopify's growth trajectory remains intact despite macro headwinds. Watch Q2 revenue growth rate — if it lands at the high end of 'high-twenties,' it would signal continued acceleration. The $100B+ quarterly GMV milestone reinforces platform scale.

DirectionBullish
Confidencehigh
Horizondays
Final — all horizons settled through T+60d ⚠ clustered
SHOP ▲ +13.72% at T+60d
LONG call ✓ call won +13.72% · α vs SPY +10.98% · entry $107.63 → $122.40
Entry anchored
May 5, 06:59 AM ET
via exchange tick
T+1d
-2.03%
call -2.03% · α -3.42%
$105.44
settled 5mo ago
T+5d
-4.73%
call -4.73% · α -6.71%
$102.54
settled 5mo ago
T+20d
+8.71%
call +8.71% · α +3.76%
$117.01
settled 4mo ago
T+60d
+13.72%
call +13.72% · α +10.98%
$122.40
settled 2mo ago

Price Chart

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Executive Summary

Shopify reported Q1 2026 revenue of $3.17B (+34% YoY) and GAAP net income excluding equity investments of $360M, with operating income doubling to $382M. The company guided Q2 revenue growth at a high-twenties percentage rate, maintaining strong free cash flow margins in the mid-teens.

Key Financial Metrics

EPS
$0.48
est $0.33 · +45.5%
Revenue
$3.2B
est $3.1B · +2.6% · +34.0% YoY
Rating
strong beat
Guidance
high-twenties percentage growth YoY
maintained
Free Cash Flow
$476.0M
Gross Margin
48.77%

Key Facts

  • Revenue of $3.17B grew 34% YoY, accelerating from 27% in Q1 2025
  • GAAP operating income doubled to $382M from $203M YoY
  • Free cash flow of $476M, 15% margin (flat YoY)
  • GMV surpassed $100B for the first time in a single quarter ($100.7B, +35% YoY)
  • MRR reached $212M, up from $182M YoY (+16%)
  • Q2 2026 guidance: revenue growth at high-twenties rate, FCF margin mid-teens
  • Subscription solutions revenue grew 21% YoY to $750M; Merchant solutions grew 39% to $2.42B
  • Stock-based compensation was $132M in Q1 2026 vs $114M YoY

Financial Impact

Revenue beat consensus by $80M (2.6%), EPS of $0.48 beat by $0.15 (44.7%)

revenueoperating incomefree cash flowGMVMRR

Risk Factors

  • Q2 revenue growth guidance of 'high-twenties' implies deceleration from Q1's 34%
  • Stock-based compensation rising 16% YoY could pressure GAAP profitability
  • Net loss of $581M driven by $941M in equity investment mark-to-market losses remains volatile

Market Snapshot

Exchange
Nasdaq
Sector
Services-Prepackaged Software
Analyst Consensus
77% bullish (56 analysts)

Investment Themes

E-commerce & Platforms

Documents Analyzed

This report is based on 1 press release from GlobeNewswire.

DocumentAccession Number
PRESS-RELEASE Data (Synthetic)press-3287487
15 reports for SHOP
Performance horizon
83% Hit rate 5 of 6 directional calls best @ T+60▲ +36.65%Jun 2, 2026
Filters
Rows
Reports for SHOP — sortable, filterable
TypeNow
Aug 5, 2026
8w ago
8-K
BULLISH ★ 6/10
$144.24 $141.87▼ −1.64%▼ −1.04%$151.27 (+4.88%)
Aug 2, 2026
8w ago
Institutional Cluster
MIXED ★ 5/10
$117.01 $147.37▲ +25.95%▲ +24.71%$151.27 (+29.28%)
Jul 28, 2026
9w ago
144
NEUTRAL ★ 2/10
$129.17 $150.29▲ +16.35%▲ +11.33%$151.27 (+17.11%)
Jul 8, 2026
12w ago
Press Release
BEARISH ★ 6/10
$119.22 $144.24▼ −20.99%▼ −17.71%$151.27 (−26.89%)
Jul 2, 2026
13w ago
8-K
NEUTRAL ★ 2/10
$119.46 $122.40▲ +2.46%▲ +2.88%$151.27 (+26.63%)
Jun 30, 2026
13w ago
144
NEUTRAL ★ 2/10
$121.63 $129.17▲ +6.20%▲ +8.38%$151.27 (+24.37%)
Jun 16, 2026
15w ago
8-K
NEUTRAL ★ 2/10
$108.09 $125.06▲ +15.70%▲ +14.38%$151.27 (+39.95%)
Jun 16, 2026
15w ago
Press Release
NEUTRAL ★ 2/10
$108.09 $125.06▲ +15.70%▲ +14.38%$151.27 (+39.95%)
Jun 2, 2026
17w ago
PRESS-RELEASE / 8-K
BULLISH ★ 6/10
$112.94 $119.46▲ +5.77%▲ +6.77%$151.27 (+33.94%)
May 8, 2026
20w ago
8-K
NEUTRAL ★ 2/10
$102.54 $110.42▲ +7.68%▲ +7.99%$151.27 (+47.53%)
Showing 10 of 15

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Report published May 5, 2026