8-K ·Filed Aug 5, 2026

SHOP

SHOPIFY INC.
BULLISH
Impact 6/10
Horizondays Processed1mo ago SEC0001594805-26-000046
8-K Item 2.02: Earnings release
Actionable Insight ▲ Bullish

Strong beat with accelerating GMV and expanding FCF margins validates Shopify's growth story. The Q3 guidance implies continued momentum, though revenue growth is expected to moderate slightly. Watch for sustained subscription revenue growth and margin expansion in coming quarters.

DirectionBullish
Confidencehigh
Horizondays
Latest settled — T+20d
SHOP ▼ -1.64% at T+20d
LONG call ✗ call lost -1.64% · α vs SPY -1.04% · entry $144.24 → $141.87
Next anchor: T+60d in 27d
Latest observation: T+39 +9.88% FF3 residual α
Entry anchored
Aug 5, 07:01 AM ET
via 1-min bar
T+1d
+2.22%
call +2.22% · α +2.38%
$147.44
settled 8w ago
T+5d
+4.28%
call +4.28% · α +3.93%
$150.41
settled 7w ago
T+20d
-1.64%
call -1.64% · α -1.04%
$141.87
settled 4w ago
T+60d
—
call — · α —
—
in 27d

Price Chart

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Executive Summary

Shopify reported Q2 2026 revenue of $3.583B (+34% YoY), beating consensus of $3.44B, with EPS of $0.42 beating $0.40 estimates. GMV accelerated to $115.6B (+32% YoY) and free cash flow margin expanded to 18% from 16% a year ago. Q3 guidance calls for low-thirties revenue growth and high-teens to low-twenties FCF margin, maintaining strong momentum.

Key Financial Metrics

EPS
$0.42
est $0.40 · +5.0%
Revenue
$3.6B
est $3.4B · +4.2% · +34.0% YoY
Rating
beat
Guidance
low-thirties percentage growth
maintained
Free Cash Flow
$654.0M
Gross Margin
47.7%

Key Facts

  • Revenue $3.583B (+34% YoY) beat consensus of $3.44B
  • EPS $0.42 beat consensus of $0.40 (+5%)
  • GMV $115.6B (+32% YoY) accelerated from Q1's 35%
  • Free cash flow $654M, margin 18% vs 16% a year ago
  • Q3 guidance: revenue growth low-thirties, FCF margin high-teens to low-twenties
  • Operating income $488M (+68% YoY), operating margin 13.6%
  • Subscription solutions revenue $802M (+22% YoY), MRR $221M (+19.5% YoY)

Financial Impact

Revenue beat by ~$143M (4.2%), EPS beat by $0.02 (5%). FCF increased $232M YoY to $654M.

revenueepsgmvfree cash flowoperating income

Risk Factors

  • Tariff impacts on merchant activity and consumer spending
  • Potential deceleration in merchant solutions revenue growth
  • Stock-based compensation expected at $150M in Q3

Market Snapshot

Exchange
Nasdaq
Sector
Services-Prepackaged Software
Analyst Consensus
79% bullish (53 analysts)

Investment Themes

E-commerce & Platforms

Documents Analyzed

This report is based on 6 SEC documents filed with EDGAR.

DocumentAccession Number
8-K Filing (Primary)0001594805-26-000046
Document: shop-20260805.htm0001594805-26-000046
Document: 0001594805-26-000046-index-headers.html0001594805-26-000046
Document: 0001594805-26-000046-index.html0001594805-26-000046
Document: 0001594805-26-000046.txt0001594805-26-000046
8-K Data (Synthetic)0001594805-26-000046
15 reports for SHOP
Performance horizon
83% Hit rate 5 of 6 directional calls best @ T+60▲ +36.65%Jun 2, 2026
Filters
Rows
Reports for SHOP — sortable, filterable
TypeNow
Aug 5, 2026
8w ago
8-K
BULLISH ★ 6/10
$144.24 $141.87▼ −1.64%▼ −1.04%$150.42 (+4.29%)
Aug 2, 2026
8w ago
Institutional Cluster
MIXED ★ 5/10
$117.01 $147.37▲ +25.95%▲ +24.71%$150.42 (+28.56%)
Jul 28, 2026
9w ago
144
NEUTRAL ★ 2/10
$129.17 $150.29▲ +16.35%▲ +11.33%$150.42 (+16.45%)
Jul 8, 2026
12w ago
Press Release
BEARISH ★ 6/10
$119.22 $144.24▼ −20.99%▼ −17.71%$150.42 (−26.17%)
Jul 2, 2026
13w ago
8-K
NEUTRAL ★ 2/10
$119.46 $122.40▲ +2.46%▲ +2.88%$150.42 (+25.92%)
Jun 30, 2026
13w ago
144
NEUTRAL ★ 2/10
$121.63 $129.17▲ +6.20%▲ +8.38%$150.42 (+23.67%)
Jun 16, 2026
15w ago
8-K
NEUTRAL ★ 2/10
$108.09 $125.06▲ +15.70%▲ +14.38%$150.42 (+39.17%)
Jun 16, 2026
15w ago
Press Release
NEUTRAL ★ 2/10
$108.09 $125.06▲ +15.70%▲ +14.38%$150.42 (+39.17%)
Jun 2, 2026
17w ago
PRESS-RELEASE / 8-K
BULLISH ★ 6/10
$112.94 $119.46▲ +5.77%▲ +6.77%$150.42 (+33.19%)
May 8, 2026
20w ago
8-K
NEUTRAL ★ 2/10
$102.54 $110.42▲ +7.68%▲ +7.99%$150.42 (+46.70%)
Showing 10 of 15

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