425 ·Filed Jun 24, 2026

PASG

Passage BIO, Inc.
BEARISH
Impact 7/10
Horizonmonths Processed3mo ago SEC0001104659-26-077350
Rule 425 M&A communications
Actionable Insight ▼ Bearish

PASG shareholders face extreme dilution to ~7% ownership; the stock will likely reprice toward the implied stub value plus CVR optionality. Watch for the S-4 registration statement detailing the exchange ratio and any stockholder litigation. The deal's success hinges on REM-422 clinical data readouts in mid-2027 and PIPE closing.

DirectionBearish
Confidencehigh
Horizonmonths
Final — all horizons settled through T+60d ⚠ clustered
PASG ▲ +9.70% at T+60d
SHORT call ✗ call lost -9.70% · α vs SPY -5.97% · entry $4.33 → $4.75
Entry anchored
Jun 24, 05:10 PM ET
via exchange tick
T+1d
+8.54%
call -8.54% · α -9.27%
$4.70
settled 3mo ago
T+5d
+5.77%
call -5.77% · α -4.21%
$4.58
settled 3mo ago
T+20d
+13.16%
call -13.16% · α -12.64%
$4.90
settled 2mo ago
T+60d
+9.70%
call -9.70% · α -5.97%
$4.75
settled 14d ago

Price Chart

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Executive Summary

Passage Bio announced a definitive all-stock merger with Remix Therapeutics, where pre-merger Passage shareholders will own only ~7% of the combined company, while Remix shareholders (including PIPE investors) will own ~93%. The deal is supported by an oversubscribed $100M+ private placement led by Decheng Capital, funding the combined entity into 2028 to advance Remix's lead program REM-422, an oral MYB mRNA degrader showing a 43% ORR in adenoid cystic carcinoma. Passage shareholders also receive contingent value rights tied to legacy gene therapy milestones.

Key Financial Metrics

Deal Type
merger

Key Facts

  • Pre-merger Passage Bio shareholders expected to own approximately 7% of the combined company at closing.
  • Pre-merger Remix shareholders, including PIPE participants, expected to own approximately 93%.
  • Concurrent oversubscribed private placement led by Decheng Capital with total gross proceeds of over $100M.
  • Combined company expected to have cash runway into 2028.
  • Remix's lead program REM-422 (oral MYB mRNA degrader) showed 43% overall response rate and 100% disease control rate in biomarker-positive ACC patients at RP2D.
  • Closing expected in Q4 2026, subject to stockholder approvals and regulatory clearances.
  • Passage shareholders receive contingent value rights for potential milestone payments from pediatric gene therapy programs sublicensed to Gemma Biotherapeutics.

Financial Impact

Massive dilution for existing Passage shareholders — ownership stake reduced to ~7% of the combined entity. The PIPE of over $100M provides funding into 2028 but primarily benefits Remix stakeholders. CVRs offer speculative upside from legacy gene therapy milestones.

ownership dilutioncash runwaymarket capitalization

Risk Factors

  • Failure to obtain stockholder or regulatory approvals could terminate the merger.
  • REM-422 clinical data may disappoint, undermining the combined company's valuation.
  • PIPE investors may back out if conditions are not met, jeopardizing funding.
  • CVR holders may never receive payments if legacy programs fail to generate milestones.
  • Integration risks and potential shareholder lawsuits could delay or derail the transaction.

Market Snapshot

Exchange
Nasdaq
Sector
Biological Products, (No Diagnostic Substances)
Analyst Consensus
64% bullish (11 analysts)

Investment Themes

Biotech & Drug Discovery

Documents Analyzed

This report is based on 4 SEC documents filed with EDGAR.

DocumentAccession Number
425 Filing (Primary)0001104659-26-077350
Document: 0001104659-26-077350-index-headers.html0001104659-26-077350
Document: 0001104659-26-077350-index.html0001104659-26-077350
Document: 0001104659-26-077350.txt0001104659-26-077350
10 reports for PASG
Performance horizon
60% Hit rate 3 of 5 directional calls best @ T+60▲ +22.24%May 27, 2026
Filters
Rows
Reports for PASG — sortable, filterable
TypeNow
Sep 3, 2026
29d ago
S-4/A / 425
BEARISH ★ 8/10
$4.75 $5.00▼ −5.26%▼ −6.41%$4.33 (+8.84%)
Sep 3, 2026
29d ago
8-K
BULLISH ★ 8/10
$4.75 $5.00▲ +5.26%▲ +6.41%$4.33 (−8.84%)
Jun 24, 2026
14w ago
425
BEARISH ★ 7/10
$4.33 $4.58▼ −5.77%▼ −4.21%$4.33 (+0.00%)
Jun 24, 2026
14w ago
425
BEARISH ★ 7/10
$4.33 $4.58▼ −5.77%▼ −4.21%$4.33 (+0.00%)
Jun 24, 2026
14w ago
8-K
BEARISH ★ 7/10
$4.33 $4.58▼ −5.77%▼ −4.21%$4.33 (+0.00%)
May 27, 2026
18w ago
8-K
BEARISH ★ 6/10
$5.71 $6.00▼ −5.08%▼ −4.76%$4.33 (+24.17%)
Apr 20, 2026
23w ago
8-K
MIXED ★ 6/10
$6.25 $5.71▼ −8.64%▼ −9.55%$4.33 (−30.72%)
Apr 20, 2026
23w ago
Press Release
MIXED ★ 6/10
$6.25 $5.71▼ −8.64%▼ −9.55%$4.33 (−30.72%)
Apr 7, 2026
25w ago
DEFA14A
NEUTRAL ★ 2/10
$8.22 $10.86▲ +32.20%▲ +26.87%$4.33 (−47.29%)
Mar 3, 2026
30w ago
Press Release
NEUTRAL ★ 4/10
$8.00 $8.51▲ +6.38%▲ +6.85%$4.33 (−45.88%)
Showing 10 of 10

US Market Status

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