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S-4/A ·Filed Oct 8, 2026

PASG

Passage BIO, Inc.
BEARISH
Impact 6/10
Horizonweeks Processed18d 6h ago SEC0001140361-26-039151
Notable filing: S-4/A
Actionable Insight ▼ Bearish

The merger is a reverse shell transaction where Remix is effectively acquiring Passage Bio's public listing. Existing PASG holders face extreme dilution (~6% pro forma). The CVRs are speculative and likely worthless. The combined company's value depends entirely on Remix's clinical execution for REM-422. Monitor the special meeting vote on Nov 5, 2026, and subsequent clinical data for REM-422.

DirectionBearish
Confidencehigh
Horizonweeks
Latest settled — T+5d
PASG ▼ -5.15% at T+5d
SHORT call ✓ call won +5.15% · α vs SPY +3.18% · entry $3.69 → $3.50
Next anchor: T+20d in 9d
Latest observation: T+10 +3.52% FF3 residual α
Entry = T+0 close
Oct 8, 2026
via day close
T+1d
+23.31%
call -23.31% · α -23.37%
$4.55
settled 18d ago
T+5d
-5.15%
call +5.15% · α +3.18%
$3.50
settled 12d ago
T+20d
Pending
in 9d
T+60d
Pending
in 2mo

Price Chart

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Executive Summary

Passage Bio (PASG) filed Amendment No. 4 to its S-4 registration statement for the proposed reverse merger with Remix Therapeutics. Under the merger agreement, Remix equityholders (excluding PIPE investors) will own ~65% of the combined company, existing Passage Bio stockholders ~6%, and Concurrent Financing investors ~29%, based on a Remix valuation of $226M and anticipated Passage Bio net cash of ~$10.9M at closing. The combined company will be renamed Remix Therapeutics, Inc. and trade under the symbol RMTX, with Remix management and board in control — a de facto acquisition of Passage Bio's public listing by Remix.

Key Facts

  • Existing Passage Bio stockholders expected to own only ~6% of the combined company post-merger, representing massive dilution.
  • Remix valued at $226M; Passage Bio valued at ~$20M (subject to net cash adjustment).
  • Concurrent Financing of ~$100M ($70M subscription + $30M convertible notes) expected to close with the merger.
  • Passage Bio stockholders will receive one CVR per share for potential contingent payments from Gemma Biotherapeutics license proceeds (GM1 program by July 2028; MLD program by Dec 2027).
  • Passage Bio has wound down its gene therapy programs and reduced workforce by ~75%.
  • Passage Bio incurred net losses of $45.5M (2025) and $64.8M (2024), with an accumulated deficit of $720.1M as of June 30, 2026.
  • Passage Bio had only 3,217,810 shares outstanding as of the record date; stock closed at $4.12 on Oct 2, 2026.
  • Remix's lead candidate REM-422 is in Phase 1/2 for AML, HR-MDS, and ACC; FDA granted Fast Track designation for ACC.
  • Remix has a collaboration with Roche; has never generated product revenue; has a going-concern risk per its auditor.
  • Passage Bio's financial advisor (Redwood) opined the merger consideration is fair to Passage Bio.
  • Termination fees: Passage Bio pays $1.5M; Remix pays up to $17.5M.
  • Lock-up agreements lock up ~99% of Remix shares for 180 days post-closing.
  • Combined company expected to trade on Nasdaq under symbol RMTX.

Financial Impact

Existing Passage Bio stockholders diluted from 100% to ~6% ownership. Remix stockholders get ~65%, PIPE investors ~29%. Combined company implied value ~$346M.

ownership dilutionvaluationcash runway

Risk Factors

  • Massive dilution for existing PASG stockholders (~94% ownership loss).
  • CVRs may expire worthless if Gemma payments are not received.
  • Remix has only one clinical-stage candidate (REM-422) with high development risk.
  • Remix has a going-concern risk and no product revenue.
  • Integration risk and potential Nasdaq delisting if listing conditions are not met.
  • Litigation risk from stockholder lawsuits challenging the merger.

Investment Themes

Documents Analyzed

This report is based on 6 SEC documents filed with EDGAR.

DocumentAccession Number
S-4/A Filing (Primary)0001140361-26-039151
Document: ny20077915x12_ex23-1.htm0001140361-26-039151
Document: ny20077915x12_ex23-2.htm0001140361-26-039151
Document: 0001140361-26-039151-index-headers.html0001140361-26-039151
Document: 0001140361-26-039151-index.html0001140361-26-039151
Document: 0001140361-26-039151.txt0001140361-26-039151
14 reports for PASG
Performance horizon
33% Hit rate @ T+20 2 of 6 directional calls Went positive at some point 3 of 6 best @ T+60▲ +22.24%May 27, 2026
Filters
Rows
Reports for PASG — sortable, filterable
TypeNow
Oct 13, 2026
13d ago
EFFECT
NEUTRAL ★ 3/10
$3.64awaiting T+20—$3.36 (−7.72%)
Oct 8, 2026
18d ago
S-4/A
BEARISH ★ 6/10
$3.69awaiting T+20—$3.36 (+8.97%)
Oct 5, 2026
21d ago
S-4/A
NEUTRAL ★ 5/10
$4.08awaiting T+20—$3.36 (−17.67%)
Sep 21, 2026
5w ago
S-4/A
NEUTRAL ★ 5/10
$4.95 $3.60▼ −27.27%▼ −26.71%$3.36 (−32.14%)
Sep 2, 2026
7w ago
S-4/A / 425
BEARISH ★ 8/10
$4.75 $4.12▲ +13.26%▲ +12.08%$3.36 (+29.28%)
Sep 2, 2026
7w ago
8-K
BULLISH ★ 8/10
$4.75 $4.12▼ −13.26%▼ −12.08%$3.36 (−29.28%)
Jun 24, 2026
17w ago
425
BEARISH ★ 7/10
$4.33 $4.90▼ −13.16%▼ −12.64%$3.36 (+22.42%)
Jun 24, 2026
17w ago
425
BEARISH ★ 7/10
$4.33 $4.90▼ −13.16%▼ −12.64%$3.36 (+22.42%)
Jun 24, 2026
17w ago
8-K
BEARISH ★ 7/10
$4.33 $4.90▼ −13.16%▼ −12.64%$3.36 (+22.42%)
May 27, 2026
21w ago
8-K
BEARISH ★ 6/10
$5.71 $4.70▲ +17.69%▲ +14.54%$3.36 (+41.17%)
Showing 10 of 14

US Market Status

Market Closed — Opens Wed (10h 7m)

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Report published Oct 8, 2026