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EFFECT ·Filed Oct 13, 2026

PASG

Passage BIO, Inc.
NEUTRAL
Impact 3/10
Horizonweeks Processed14d 8h ago SEC9999999995-26-003198
IPO/offering going effective
Actionable Insight • Neutral

The S-4 effectiveness signals that Passage BIO is moving forward with a merger or exchange transaction. Monitor for the definitive proxy/prospectus or transaction announcement, which will reveal the deal structure, valuation, and potential dilution for existing shareholders.

DirectionNeutral
Confidencelow
Horizonweeks
Latest settled — T+5d
PASG ▼ -1.10% at T+5d
NEUTRAL call -1.10% · α vs SPY +0.05% · entry $3.64 → $3.60
Next anchor: T+20d in 14d
Latest observation: T+8 -7.37% FF3 residual α
Entry = T+0 close
Oct 13, 2026
via day close
T+1d
+0.55%
call +0.55% · α +1.63%
$3.66
settled 13d ago
T+5d
-1.10%
call -1.10% · α +0.05%
$3.60
settled 7d ago
T+20d
Pending
in 14d
T+60d
Pending
in 2mo

Price Chart

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Executive Summary

Passage BIO's registration statement on Form S-4 (File No. 333-297601) was declared effective by the SEC on October 9, 2026. This allows the company to proceed with the securities transaction covered by the S-4, typically a merger or business combination. The effectiveness removes a key regulatory hurdle but does not disclose the size or terms of the offering.

Key Facts

  • Effectiveness date: October 9, 2026
  • Registration statement type: S-4 (typically used for business combinations or exchange offers)
  • SEC File Number: 333-297601
  • No offering size, pricing, or terms disclosed in the EFFECT notice

Financial Impact

Undisclosed — no dollar amounts provided in the filing

dilutioncapital_structure

Risk Factors

  • No financial terms disclosed — the transaction could be dilutive to current shareholders

Investment Themes

Documents Analyzed

This report is based on 3 SEC documents filed with EDGAR.

DocumentAccession Number
EFFECT Filing (Primary)9999999995-26-003198
Document: 9999999995-26-003198-index.html9999999995-26-003198
Document: 9999999995-26-003198.txt9999999995-26-003198
14 reports for PASG
Performance horizon
33% Hit rate @ T+20 2 of 6 directional calls Went positive at some point 4 of 7 best @ T+60▲ +22.24%May 27, 2026
Filters
Rows
Reports for PASG — sortable, filterable
TypeNow
Oct 13, 2026
14d ago
EFFECT
NEUTRAL ★ 3/10
$3.64awaiting T+20—$3.36 (−7.72%)
Oct 8, 2026
18d ago
S-4/A
BEARISH ★ 6/10
$3.69awaiting T+20—$3.36 (+8.97%)
Oct 5, 2026
21d ago
S-4/A
NEUTRAL ★ 5/10
$4.08awaiting T+20—$3.36 (−17.67%)
Sep 21, 2026
5w ago
S-4/A
NEUTRAL ★ 5/10
$4.95 $3.60▼ −27.27%▼ −26.71%$3.36 (−32.14%)
Sep 2, 2026
7w ago
S-4/A / 425
BEARISH ★ 8/10
$4.75 $4.12▲ +13.26%▲ +12.08%$3.36 (+29.28%)
Sep 2, 2026
7w ago
8-K
BULLISH ★ 8/10
$4.75 $4.12▼ −13.26%▼ −12.08%$3.36 (−29.28%)
Jun 24, 2026
17w ago
425
BEARISH ★ 7/10
$4.33 $4.90▼ −13.16%▼ −12.64%$3.36 (+22.42%)
Jun 24, 2026
17w ago
425
BEARISH ★ 7/10
$4.33 $4.90▼ −13.16%▼ −12.64%$3.36 (+22.42%)
Jun 24, 2026
17w ago
8-K
BEARISH ★ 7/10
$4.33 $4.90▼ −13.16%▼ −12.64%$3.36 (+22.42%)
May 27, 2026
21w ago
8-K
BEARISH ★ 6/10
$5.71 $4.70▲ +17.69%▲ +14.54%$3.36 (+41.17%)
Showing 10 of 14

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Report published Oct 13, 2026