Institutional Cluster

NKE

NIKE, Inc.
BEARISH
Impact 7/10
Horizonweeks Processed7mo ago
Institutional cluster: 1 buyers, 3 sellers (bearish)
Actionable Insight ▼ Bearish

The coordinated exit by a quant fund and an active value manager — both high-conviction decision-makers — suggests growing concerns about valuation, growth sustainability, or competitive risks. Traders should monitor upcoming earnings, inventory trends, and international demand. Norges Bank’s entry may reflect long-term sovereign allocation, but it does not offset the broader bearish institutional trend.

DirectionBearish
Confidencehigh
Horizonweeks
Final — all horizons settled through T+60d
NKE ▼ -26.31% at T+60d
SHORT call ✓ call won +26.31% · α vs SPY +35.64% · entry $60.99 → $44.94
Entry anchored
Feb 27, 05:01 PM ET
via exchange tick
T+1d
-2.63%
call +2.63% · α +1.71%
$59.39
settled 7mo ago
T+5d
-7.30%
call +7.30% · α +6.09%
$56.54
settled 7mo ago
T+20d
-15.99%
call +15.99% · α +8.05%
$51.24
settled 6mo ago
T+60d
-26.31%
call +26.31% · α +35.64%
$44.94
settled 4mo ago

Executive Summary

In Q4 2025, a notable institutional cluster emerged in NIKE, Inc. (NKE) with three major institutions exiting or trimming positions totaling $1.03B in sell value, while only one buyer, Norges Bank, established a new $830M position. The overwhelming net selling pressure — particularly full exits by RenTech and an active value fund — signals deteriorating institutional confidence despite sovereign accumulation.

Key Financial Metrics

Direction
distributing
Buy Value
$830.0M
Sell Value
$1.0B
Net Flow
-$196.9M

Institutional Positions

Net institutional flow: -$196.9M

▲ Buyers (1)

InstitutionActionChangePosition ValueValue Δ
Norges BankNEW+0%$830.0M$830.0M

▼ Sellers (3)

InstitutionActionChangePrev ValueValue Δ
BofATRIM-45.5%$1.8B-$918.7M
Fund 1EXIT-100%$1.5M-$1.5M
RenTechEXIT-100%$106.7M-$106.7M

Key Facts

  • Norges Bank (sovereign wealth) initiated a new $830.0M position in NKE (13.03M shares).
  • BofA (mega-passive) trimmed its stake by 45.5%, reducing holdings by 11.94M shares ($918.7M value reduction).
  • RenTech (quant fund) fully exited its $106.7M position in NKE.
  • An active value fund fully exited its $1.5M position.
  • Total institutional selling: $1.027B; total buying: $830.0M — resulting in net outflow of $196.9M.

Financial Impact

Net institutional outflow of $196.9M in Q4 2025, with $1.027B in sell activity versus $830M in new buying.

market_sentimentownership_stabilityfloat_distribution

Risk Factors

  • Sustained institutional distribution could pressure the stock even if fundamentals appear stable.
  • Passive trimming by BofA may reflect broader index or sector rebalancing rather than company-specific views, but the active exits are more concerning.
  • Lack of participation from other active managers suggests limited near-term buying interest.

Market Snapshot

Exchange
NYSE

Investment Themes

Consumer & Retail

Documents Analyzed

This report is based on 1 institutional 13F filing from SEC EDGAR.

DocumentAccession Number
INST-CLUSTER Data (Synthetic)inst-cluster-NKE-2025-Q4
26 reports for NKE
Performance horizon
75% Hit rate 9 of 12 directional calls best @ T+60▲ +16.42%Jun 30, 2026
Filters
Rows
Reports for NKE — sortable, filterable
TypeNow
Sep 25, 2026
7d ago
ANALYST-DOWNGRADE
BEARISH ★ 5/10
—awaiting T+5——
Sep 22, 2026
10d ago
ANALYST-UPGRADE
BULLISH ★ 4/10
$36.10 $35.84▼ −0.72%▲ +0.28%—
Sep 14, 2026
17d ago
ANALYST-DOWNGRADE
BEARISH ★ 5/10
$37.05 $36.10▲ +2.56%▲ +2.67%—
Sep 10, 2026
21d ago
Insider Cluster
NEUTRAL ★ 4/10
$36.80 $35.51▼ −3.51%▼ −3.28%—
Sep 9, 2026
23d ago
ANALYST-UPGRADE
BULLISH ★ 4/10
$37.35 $35.78▼ −4.20%▼ −3.55%—
Aug 26, 2026
5w ago
ANALYST-DOWNGRADE
BEARISH ★ 5/10
$38.59 $38.24▲ +0.91%▲ +0.79%—
Aug 11, 2026
7w ago
Insider Cluster
NEUTRAL ★ 2/10
$41.32 $40.06▼ −3.05%▼ −2.65%—
Aug 10, 2026
7w ago
8-K
NEUTRAL ★ 2/10
$41.32 $40.06▼ −3.05%▼ −2.65%—
Aug 7, 2026
8w ago
Insider Cluster
NEUTRAL ★ 2/10
$41.70 $40.73▼ −2.33%▼ −2.72%—
Aug 5, 2026
8w ago
Court Ruling
BEARISH ★ 4/10
$42.44 $40.50▲ +4.57%▲ +4.92%—
Showing 10 of 26

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Report published Feb 28, 2026