8-K ·Filed Mar 31, 2026

NKE

NIKE, Inc.
BULLISH
Impact 8/10
Horizondays Processed6mo ago SEC0000320187-26-000026
earnings-rerun-backfill
Actionable Insight ▲ Bullish

The massive EPS beat on cost control and tax timing may provide near-term relief, but traders should monitor gross margin pressure and Direct/Converse declines as structural risks. Watch management commentary on tariff mitigation and China recovery in the earnings call.

DirectionBullish
Confidencehigh
Horizondays
Final — all horizons settled through T+60d
NKE ▼ -8.65% at T+60d
LONG call ✗ call lost -8.65% · α vs SPY -19.90% · entry $44.61 → $40.75
Entry anchored
Mar 31, 04:15 PM ET
via exchange tick
T+1d
-0.94%
call -0.94% · α -1.02%
$44.19
settled 6mo ago
T+5d
-1.36%
call -1.36% · α -5.13%
$44.00
settled 6mo ago
T+20d
-0.49%
call -0.49% · α -10.21%
$44.39
settled 5mo ago
T+60d
-8.65%
call -8.65% · α -19.90%
$40.75
settled 3mo ago

Price Chart

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Executive Summary

NIKE reported Q3 FY2026 earnings with revenue flat at $11.3 billion (down 3% currency-neutral) and diluted EPS of $0.35, a 206.5% beat versus analyst consensus of $0.11. Despite top-line weakness, particularly in Greater China and Converse, the significant EPS beat was driven by cost discipline and lower-than-expected tax rate, though gross margin declined 130 bps to 40.2% due to North American tariffs.

Key Financial Metrics

EPS
$0.35
est $0.11 · +218.2%
Revenue
$11.3B
est $10.8B · +4.0% · 0.0% YoY
Rating
strong beat
Gross Margin
40.2%

Key Facts

  • Q3 revenue: $11.279 billion (flat YoY reported, down 3% currency-neutral)
  • Diluted EPS: $0.35 vs. consensus estimate of $0.11 (206.5% beat)
  • Gross margin decreased 130 bps to 40.2% due to higher North American tariffs
  • Wholesale revenue up 5% YoY; NIKE Direct down 4%; Converse down 35%
  • Net income down 35% YoY to $520 million
  • Company returned $609 million to shareholders via dividends

Financial Impact

EPS beat of $0.24 above consensus ($0.35 actual vs $0.11 expected) on flat revenue

epsnet_incomegross_marginrevenue

Risk Factors

  • Gross margin under pressure from North American tariffs
  • NIKE Direct and Converse segments showing persistent weakness
  • Revenue flat despite cost-cutting, raising concerns about top-line growth sustainability

Market Snapshot

Exchange
NYSE
Sector
Rubber & Plastics Footwear
Analyst Consensus
63% bullish (43 analysts)

Investment Themes

Consumer & Retail

Documents Analyzed

This report is based on 6 SEC documents filed with EDGAR.

DocumentAccession Number
8-K Filing (Primary)0000320187-26-000026
Document: nke-20260331.htm0000320187-26-000026
Document: 0000320187-26-000026-index-headers.html0000320187-26-000026
Document: 0000320187-26-000026-index.html0000320187-26-000026
Document: 0000320187-26-000026.txt0000320187-26-000026
8-K Data (Synthetic)0000320187-26-000026
26 reports for NKE
Performance horizon
83% Hit rate 10 of 12 directional calls best @ T+60▲ +26.31%Feb 28, 2026
Filters
Rows
Reports for NKE — sortable, filterable
TypeNow
Sep 25, 2026
7d ago
ANALYST-DOWNGRADE
BEARISH ★ 5/10
—awaiting T+5——
Sep 22, 2026
10d ago
ANALYST-UPGRADE
BULLISH ★ 4/10
$36.10 $35.84▼ −0.72%▲ +0.28%$33.17 (−8.12%)
Sep 14, 2026
17d ago
ANALYST-DOWNGRADE
BEARISH ★ 5/10
$37.05 $36.10▲ +2.56%▲ +2.67%$33.17 (+10.47%)
Sep 10, 2026
21d ago
Insider Cluster
NEUTRAL ★ 4/10
$36.80 $35.51▼ −3.51%▼ −3.28%$33.17 (−9.86%)
Sep 9, 2026
23d ago
ANALYST-UPGRADE
BULLISH ★ 4/10
$37.35 $35.78▼ −4.20%▼ −3.55%$33.17 (−11.19%)
Aug 26, 2026
5w ago
ANALYST-DOWNGRADE
BEARISH ★ 5/10
$38.59 $38.24▲ +0.91%▲ +0.79%$33.17 (+14.05%)
Aug 11, 2026
7w ago
Insider Cluster
NEUTRAL ★ 2/10
$41.32 $40.06▼ −3.05%▼ −2.65%$33.17 (−19.72%)
Aug 10, 2026
7w ago
8-K
NEUTRAL ★ 2/10
$41.32 $40.06▼ −3.05%▼ −2.65%$33.17 (−19.72%)
Aug 7, 2026
8w ago
Insider Cluster
NEUTRAL ★ 2/10
$41.70 $40.73▼ −2.33%▼ −2.72%$33.17 (−20.46%)
Aug 5, 2026
8w ago
Court Ruling
BEARISH ★ 4/10
$42.44 $40.50▲ +4.57%▲ +4.92%$33.17 (+21.84%)
Showing 10 of 26

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