8-K ·Filed Jun 26, 2026

NFG

NATIONAL FUEL GAS CO
BULLISH
Impact 7/10
Horizonweeks Processed3mo ago SEC0001193125-26-285514
8-K context-dependent: Items 8.01
Actionable Insight ▲ Bullish

The PUCO approval removes the primary regulatory uncertainty. Watch for Q4 2026 close with potential for a small equity or debt financing to fund the $2.62B price. The deal transforms NFG's utility operations with a large Ohio LDC — expect management to update financing plans and synergy targets on the next earnings call.

DirectionBullish
Confidencehigh
Horizonweeks
Latest settled — T+20d
NFG ▲ +4.98% at T+20d
LONG call ✓ call won +4.98% · α vs SPY +5.26% · entry $78.58 → $82.49
Next anchor: T+60d due 10d ago
Latest observation: T+57 +9.30% FF3 residual α
Entry anchored
Jun 26, 03:59 PM ET
via exchange tick
T+1d
-1.74%
call -1.74% · α -2.52%
$77.21
settled 3mo ago
T+5d
-0.45%
call -0.45% · α -1.83%
$78.23
settled 3mo ago
T+20d
+4.98%
call +4.98% · α +5.26%
$82.49
settled 2mo ago
T+60d
—
call — · α —
—
due 10d ago

Price Chart

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Executive Summary

National Fuel Gas received PUCO approval on June 24, 2026, for its $2.62 billion acquisition of Vectren Energy Delivery of Ohio, clearing the key regulatory hurdle. The transaction is expected to close in Q4 2026, adding 327,000 Ohio natural gas customers and meaningfully expanding NFG's utility footprint.

Key Facts

  • PUCO issued an order accepting and approving the $2.62B Vectern Ohio acquisition on June 24, 2026
  • Transaction expected to close in Q4 2026, subject to remaining customary closing conditions
  • Closing restricted until at least October 1, 2026 without seller's written consent
  • Original purchase agreement signed October 20, 2025 with CenterPoint Energy Resources Corp.

Financial Impact

$2.62 billion aggregate purchase price for all equity interests of Vectren Energy Delivery of Ohio

revenueearningsregulatory asset base

Risk Factors

  • Remaining closing conditions (e.g., HSR, other regulatory approvals) could delay or derail close
  • $2.62B purchase price at ~7.4B market cap implies substantial leverage — financing terms and post-close balance sheet key to accretion
  • PUCO conditions in the order could impose rate case or cost recovery limitations

Market Snapshot

Exchange
NYSE
Sector
Natural Gas Distribution
Analyst Consensus
63% bullish (8 analysts)

Investment Themes

Traditional Energy

Documents Analyzed

This report is based on 4 SEC documents filed with EDGAR.

DocumentAccession Number
8-K Filing (Primary)0001193125-26-285514
Document: 0001193125-26-285514-index-headers.html0001193125-26-285514
Document: 0001193125-26-285514-index.html0001193125-26-285514
Document: 0001193125-26-285514.txt0001193125-26-285514
14 reports for NFG
Performance horizon
100% Hit rate 3 of 3 directional calls best @ T+20▲ +7.42%Apr 29, 2026
Filters
Rows
Reports for NFG — sortable, filterable
TypeNow
Aug 11, 2026
7w ago
8-K
NEUTRAL ★ 2/10
$81.72 $83.58▲ +2.28%▲ +2.72%$76.71 (−6.14%)
Aug 11, 2026
7w ago
424B5
NEUTRAL ★ 3/10
$81.72 $83.58▲ +2.28%▲ +2.72%$76.71 (−6.14%)
Jul 30, 2026
9w ago
8-K
MIXED ★ 6/10
$82.47 $80.63▼ −2.23%▼ −5.85%$76.71 (−6.99%)
Jul 29, 2026
9w ago
Press Release
NEUTRAL ★ 5/10
$82.47 $80.63▼ −2.23%▼ −5.85%$76.71 (−6.99%)
Jun 26, 2026
13w ago
8-K
BULLISH ★ 7/10
$78.58 $78.23▼ −0.45%▼ −1.83%$76.71 (−2.39%)
Jun 10, 2026
16w ago
8-K
NEUTRAL ★ 4/10
$77.13 $76.78▼ −0.45%▼ −3.89%$76.71 (−0.55%)
May 27, 2026
18w ago
8-K
BULLISH ★ 5/10
$78.12 $77.31▼ −1.04%▼ −1.35%$76.71 (−1.81%)
May 27, 2026
18w ago
424B5
NEUTRAL ★ 5/10
$78.30 $76.44▼ −2.38%▼ −3.58%$76.71 (−2.04%)
May 26, 2026
18w ago
8-K
NEUTRAL ★ 5/10
$79.84 $76.94▼ −3.63%▼ −4.72%$76.71 (−3.93%)
Apr 30, 2026
22w ago
8-K
BEARISH ★ 7/10
$84.38 $81.51▲ +3.40%▲ +5.13%$76.71 (+9.10%)
Showing 10 of 14

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