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8-K ·Filed Oct 1, 2026

NFG

NATIONAL FUEL GAS CO
MIXED
Impact 6/10
Horizonweeks Processed26d 7h ago SEC0001193125-26-409787
8-K material event: Items 1.01, 2.01
Actionable Insight ◆ Mixed

The acquisition is immediately accretive on a trailing basis but dilutive on a full fiscal year basis due to financing costs. Monitor the next quarterly filing for actual (not pro forma) combined results and any update on the seller note refinancing — the bridge facility commitments remain partially outstanding and will need to be addressed before the September 2027 maturity.

DirectionMixed
Confidencehigh
Horizonweeks
Latest settled — T+5d
NFG ▲ +2.56% at T+5d
NEUTRAL call +2.56% · α vs SPY +1.26% · entry $76.26 → $78.21
Next anchor: T+20d tomorrow
Latest observation: T+16 +4.26% FF3 residual α
Entry = T+0 close
Oct 1, 2026
via day close
T+1d
+0.22%
call +0.22% · α -0.52%
$76.43
settled 25d ago
T+5d
+2.56%
call +2.56% · α +1.26%
$78.21
settled 19d ago
T+20d
Pending
tomorrow
T+60d
Pending
in 2mo

Price Chart

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Executive Summary

National Fuel Gas Co. (NFG) completed its $2.62 billion acquisition of CenterPoint Energy's Ohio natural gas LDC, Vectren Energy Delivery of Ohio, on October 1, 2026. The deal was financed through $1.42 billion in cash, a $1.2 billion promissory note to the seller at 6.50% interest, a $350 million private placement of common stock at $79.50/share, and a $1.5 billion senior unsecured note issuance at a 5.10% weighted average rate. Pro forma financials show the acquisition is accretive to basic EPS on a trailing nine-month basis ($6.54 vs. $6.06 standalone) but dilutive on a fiscal 2025 basis ($5.12 vs. $5.73 standalone), reflecting the full-year impact of financing costs.

Key Financial Metrics

Deal Value
$2.6B
Deal Type
acquisition

Key Facts

  • Acquisition of Vectren Energy Delivery of Ohio (CenterPoint Ohio) completed on October 1, 2026 for $2.62 billion
  • Consideration: $1.42 billion cash + $1.2 billion seller promissory note at 6.50% interest, maturing September 30, 2027
  • Financed via $350M private placement (4,402,513 shares at $79.50), $1.5B senior notes at 5.10% weighted avg rate, and $244M commercial paper draw at 4.45%
  • Pro forma basic EPS for nine months ended June 30, 2026: $6.54 (vs. $6.06 standalone NFG) — accretive
  • Pro forma basic EPS for year ended September 30, 2025: $5.12 (vs. $5.73 standalone NFG) — dilutive due to full-year financing costs
  • Pro forma goodwill of $813 million, including $588.5 million incremental goodwill from the acquisition
  • Leverage covenant: Consolidated Indebtedness to Consolidated Capitalization not to exceed 0.65:1.0
  • Seller note carries 6.50% interest; notes issued at 5.10% weighted average with 5.36% effective rate

Financial Impact

$2.62 billion acquisition, financed with $1.42B cash, $1.2B seller note at 6.50%, $350M equity at $79.50/sh, and $1.5B notes at 5.10%

revenueepsdebtdilutiongoodwill

Risk Factors

  • Integration risk of adding a regulated LDC with different regulatory jurisdiction (PUCO vs. NY PSC)
  • Leverage increase: $1.2B seller note + $1.5B notes + $244M CP add ~$2.9B in new debt; covenant test at 0.65x will be tight
  • Seller note maturity in 364 days creates refinancing risk; bridge facility commitments may need to be drawn
  • Pro forma goodwill of $813M is subject to impairment testing if regulatory outcomes or rate cases disappoint

Investment Themes

Traditional Energy

Documents Analyzed

This report is based on 3 SEC documents filed with EDGAR.

DocumentAccession Number
8-K Filing (Primary)0001193125-26-409787
Document: d132008dex101.htm0001193125-26-409787
Document: d132008dex992.htm0001193125-26-409787
21 reports for NFG
Performance horizon
100% Hit rate @ T+60 4 of 4 directional calls Went positive at some point 7 of 7 best @ T+20▲ +7.42%Apr 29, 2026
Filters
Rows
Reports for NFG — sortable, filterable
TypeNow
Oct 15, 2026
12d ago
Press Release
NEUTRAL ★ 1/10
$78.38awaiting T+60—$81.54 (+4.03%)
Oct 14, 2026
13d ago
8-K
BULLISH ★ 7/10
$79.20awaiting T+60—$81.54 (+2.95%)
Oct 12, 2026
15d ago
Institutional Cluster
MIXED ★ 4/10
$79.71awaiting T+60—$81.54 (+2.29%)
Oct 1, 2026
26d ago
8-K
MIXED ★ 6/10
$76.26awaiting T+60—$81.54 (+6.92%)
Oct 1, 2026
26d ago
Press Release
BULLISH ★ 6/10
$76.26awaiting T+60—$81.54 (+6.92%)
Sep 17, 2026
5w ago
Press Release
NEUTRAL ★ 2/10
$79.89awaiting T+60—$81.54 (+2.06%)
Sep 17, 2026
5w ago
Press Release
BULLISH ★ 7/10
$79.89awaiting T+60—$81.54 (+2.06%)
Aug 11, 2026
10w ago
8-K
NEUTRAL ★ 2/10
$81.72awaiting T+60—$81.54 (−0.23%)
Aug 11, 2026
10w ago
424B5
NEUTRAL ★ 3/10
$81.72awaiting T+60—$81.54 (−0.23%)
Jul 30, 2026
12w ago
8-K
MIXED ★ 6/10
$82.47 $80.53▼ −2.35%▼ −4.82%$81.54 (−1.13%)
Showing 10 of 21

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Report published Oct 1, 2026