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Institutional Cluster ·Filed Oct 12, 2026

NFG

NATIONAL FUEL GAS CO
MIXED
Impact 4/10
Horizonweeks Processed15d 2h ago
Institutional cluster: 41 buyers, 32 sellers (mixed)
Actionable Insight ◆ Mixed

The divergence between a large new active-value position (Sound Shore) and two major exits (Vaughan Nelson, Fidelity) creates an unclear signal. Monitor upcoming 13F filings for Q3 to see if Sound Shore's conviction holds or if selling accelerates.

DirectionMixed
Confidencemedium
Horizonweeks
Latest settled — T+5d
NFG ▼ -1.96% at T+5d
NEUTRAL call -1.96% · α vs SPY -0.46% · entry $79.71 → $78.15
Next anchor: T+20d in 13d
Latest observation: T+9 +0.81% FF3 residual α
Entry = T+0 close
Oct 12, 2026
via day close
T+1d
+1.73%
call +1.73% · α +1.74%
$81.09
settled 14d ago
T+5d
-1.96%
call -1.96% · α -0.46%
$78.15
settled 8d ago
T+20d
Pending
in 13d
T+60d
Pending
in 2mo

Executive Summary

Institutional activity in NFG during 2026-Q2 was mixed: 41 buyers accumulated $79.0M in new positions (led by a $69.7M new stake from Sound Shore), while 32 sellers reduced holdings by $163.3M (led by Fidelity's near-exit of $64.0M and Vaughan Nelson's full exit of $63.9M). The net selling pressure of $84.3M and the exit of two large holders (Vaughan Nelson and near-exit by Fidelity) suggest institutional rotation out of the stock, partially offset by a large new active-value position.

Key Financial Metrics

Direction
distributing
Buy Value
$111.7M
Sell Value
$163.3M
Net Flow
-$84.3M

Institutional Positions

Net institutional flow: -$84.3M

▲ Buyers (41)

InstitutionActionChangePosition ValueValue Δ
Sound ShoreNEW+0%$69.7M$69.7M
Goldman SachsADD+53.5%$29.9M$6.2M
M&T BankDOUBLED+295.8%$2.0M$1.4M

▼ Sellers (32)

InstitutionActionChangePrev ValueValue Δ
FidelityNEAR_EXIT-80.3%$76.3M-$64.0M
Vaughan Nelson Investment ManagementEXIT-100%$63.9M-$63.9M
Panagora Asset ManagementTRIM-59.1%$23.0M-$15.3M
RenTechTRIM-29.6%$34.5M-$14.5M

Key Facts

  • 41 institutional buyers added $79.0M in new positions; 32 sellers reduced by $163.3M
  • Sound Shore initiated a new $69.7M position (902.8K shares), the largest buyer
  • Vaughan Nelson fully exited its $63.9M position (679.7K shares)
  • Fidelity reduced its stake by 80.3%, selling $64.0M worth of shares
  • Renaissance Technologies trimmed 29.6% of its position, selling $14.5M
  • Net institutional selling of approximately $84.3M in the quarter

Financial Impact

Net institutional selling of $84.3M in Q2 2026, with $79.0M in buying vs $163.3M in selling

institutional ownershipfloat

Risk Factors

  • 13F data is 45+ days stale; positions may have been unwound since quarter-end
  • Two large holders (Vaughan Nelson, Fidelity) exited or nearly exited, suggesting a negative thesis
  • Net selling of $84.3M could indicate broader institutional loss of confidence

Investment Themes

Traditional Energy

Documents Analyzed

This report is based on 1 institutional 13F filing from SEC EDGAR.

DocumentAccession Number
INST-CLUSTER Data (Synthetic)inst-cluster-NFG-2026-Q2
21 reports for NFG
Performance horizon
100% Hit rate @ T+60 4 of 4 directional calls Went positive at some point 7 of 7 best @ T+20▲ +7.42%Apr 29, 2026
Filters
Rows
Reports for NFG — sortable, filterable
TypeNow
Oct 15, 2026
12d ago
Press Release
NEUTRAL ★ 1/10
$78.38awaiting T+60——
Oct 14, 2026
13d ago
8-K
BULLISH ★ 7/10
$79.20awaiting T+60——
Oct 12, 2026
15d ago
Institutional Cluster
MIXED ★ 4/10
$79.71awaiting T+60——
Oct 1, 2026
26d ago
8-K
MIXED ★ 6/10
$76.26awaiting T+60——
Oct 1, 2026
26d ago
Press Release
BULLISH ★ 6/10
$76.26awaiting T+60——
Sep 17, 2026
5w ago
Press Release
NEUTRAL ★ 2/10
$79.89awaiting T+60——
Sep 17, 2026
5w ago
Press Release
BULLISH ★ 7/10
$79.89awaiting T+60——
Aug 11, 2026
10w ago
8-K
NEUTRAL ★ 2/10
$81.72awaiting T+60——
Aug 11, 2026
10w ago
424B5
NEUTRAL ★ 3/10
$81.72awaiting T+60——
Jul 30, 2026
12w ago
8-K
MIXED ★ 6/10
$82.47 $80.53▼ −2.35%▼ −4.82%—
Showing 10 of 21

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Report published Oct 12, 2026