424B5 ·Filed Aug 11, 2026

NFG

NATIONAL FUEL GAS CO
NEUTRAL
Impact 3/10
Horizonweeks Processed1mo ago SEC0001193125-26-344959
Notable filing: 424B5
Actionable Insight • Neutral

This is a routine dividend reinvestment plan filing with minimal market impact. Monitor the upcoming Q4 FY2026 earnings for guidance updates and the pending Ohio utility acquisition close expected October 1. The slight FY2026 guidance reduction from the prior quarter warrants attention but does not change the neutral read on this filing.

DirectionNeutral
Confidencehigh
Horizonweeks
Latest settled — T+5d ⚠ clustered
NFG ▲ +2.28% at T+5d
NEUTRAL call ✓ call won +2.28% · α vs SPY +2.72% · entry $81.72 → $83.58
Next anchor: T+20d due 23d ago
Latest observation: T+33 -8.84% FF3 residual α
Entry anchored
Aug 11, 2026
via day open
T+1d
-0.26%
call -0.26% · α -0.95%
$81.51
settled 7w ago
T+5d
+2.28%
call +2.28% · α +2.72%
$83.58
settled 6w ago
T+20d
—
call — · α —
—
due 23d ago
T+60d
—
call — · α —
—
in 5w

Price Chart

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Executive Summary

National Fuel Gas Co filed a 424B5 prospectus supplement registering 500,000 shares of common stock for its Direct Stock Purchase and Dividend Reinvestment Plan. The offering is a routine capital-raising mechanism for the company's dividend reinvestment plan, with proceeds used for general corporate purposes. The filing comes 12 days after a strong Q3 earnings beat, where the company reported adjusted EPS of $1.54 (beating consensus by 26%) and revenue of $537.5M (beating by 10%), though FY2026 guidance was lowered slightly. The offering size ($40M at the recent $81.82 close) is modest relative to the $7.8B market cap, making this a neutral administrative event with limited stock price impact.

Key Facts

  • 500,000 shares of common stock registered for the Direct Stock Purchase and Dividend Reinvestment Plan
  • Maximum aggregate offering price of $40,000,000
  • Last reported sale price on August 10, 2026 was $81.82 per share
  • Proceeds will be used for general corporate purposes
  • Shares may be purchased in the open market or issued directly from authorized but unissued shares or treasury shares
  • Filed under shelf registration No. 333-298225 on August 11, 2026
  • Registration fee of $5,524.00, with $2,624.07 offset from prior unsold securities under registration No. 333-273926

Financial Impact

Up to $40M in potential proceeds from direct share purchases, but actual amount is uncertain and likely small given the plan's nature

dilutionshare count

Risk Factors

  • Potential dilution if all 500,000 shares are issued directly from the company, representing approximately 0.5% of outstanding shares
  • Lowered FY2026 adjusted EPS guidance to $7.40-$7.60 from $7.45-$7.75 may signal operational headwinds
  • Pending acquisition of CenterPoint Energy Resources Corp. carries regulatory and integration risks

Market Snapshot

Exchange
NYSE
Sector
Natural Gas Distribution
Analyst Consensus
63% bullish (8 analysts)

Investment Themes

Traditional Energy

Documents Analyzed

This report is based on 5 SEC documents filed with EDGAR.

DocumentAccession Number
424B5 Filing (Primary)0001193125-26-344959
Document: d163384dexfilingfees.htm0001193125-26-344959
Document: 0001193125-26-344959-index-headers.html0001193125-26-344959
Document: 0001193125-26-344959-index.html0001193125-26-344959
Document: 0001193125-26-344959.txt0001193125-26-344959
14 reports for NFG
Performance horizon
100% Hit rate 4 of 4 directional calls best @ T+20▲ +7.42%Apr 29, 2026
Filters
Rows
Reports for NFG — sortable, filterable
TypeNow
Aug 11, 2026
7w ago
8-K
NEUTRAL ★ 2/10
$81.72 $83.58▲ +2.28%▲ +2.72%$76.71 (−6.14%)
Aug 11, 2026
7w ago
424B5
NEUTRAL ★ 3/10
$81.72 $83.58▲ +2.28%▲ +2.72%$76.71 (−6.14%)
Jul 30, 2026
9w ago
8-K
MIXED ★ 6/10
$82.47 $80.63▼ −2.23%▼ −5.85%$76.71 (−6.99%)
Jul 29, 2026
9w ago
Press Release
NEUTRAL ★ 5/10
$82.47 $80.63▼ −2.23%▼ −5.85%$76.71 (−6.99%)
Jun 26, 2026
13w ago
8-K
BULLISH ★ 7/10
$78.58 $78.23▼ −0.45%▼ −1.83%$76.71 (−2.39%)
Jun 10, 2026
16w ago
8-K
NEUTRAL ★ 4/10
$77.13 $76.78▼ −0.45%▼ −3.89%$76.71 (−0.55%)
May 27, 2026
18w ago
8-K
BULLISH ★ 5/10
$78.12 $77.31▼ −1.04%▼ −1.35%$76.71 (−1.81%)
May 27, 2026
18w ago
424B5
NEUTRAL ★ 5/10
$78.30 $76.44▼ −2.38%▼ −3.58%$76.71 (−2.04%)
May 26, 2026
18w ago
8-K
NEUTRAL ★ 5/10
$79.84 $76.94▼ −3.63%▼ −4.72%$76.71 (−3.93%)
Apr 30, 2026
22w ago
8-K
BEARISH ★ 7/10
$84.38 $81.51▲ +3.40%▲ +5.13%$76.71 (+9.10%)
Showing 10 of 14

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