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Institutional Cluster ·Filed Oct 21, 2026

GEO

GEO GROUP INC
BULLISH
Impact 4/10
Horizonweeks Processed5d 11h ago
Institutional cluster: 3 buyers, 1 sellers (bullish)
Actionable Insight ▲ Bullish

The concentrated buying by active managers suggests a shared catalyst thesis (e.g., privatization speculation, REIT conversion, or core earnings improvement). Monitor for 13D filings or company announcements that could confirm the thesis. The 45-day reporting lag means positions may have been adjusted since quarter-end.

DirectionBullish
Confidencemedium
Horizonweeks
Latest settled — T+1d
GEO ▲ +1.56% at T+1d
LONG call ✓ call won +1.56% · α vs SPY +2.08% · entry $26.94 → $27.36
Next anchor: T+5d tomorrow
Entry = T+0 close
Oct 21, 2026
via day close
T+1d
+1.56%
call +1.56% · α +2.08%
$27.36
settled 5d ago
T+5d
Pending
tomorrow
T+20d
Pending
in 22d
T+60d
Pending
in 3mo

Executive Summary

Three institutional investors, led by Assenagon Asset Management, collectively added $71.3M in GEO Group positions during Q3 2026, overwhelmingly bullish conviction. One small seller trimmed a trivial $2K. The cluster signals a shared thesis on the company's fundamentals or catalyst, though 13F data is 45+ days stale.

Key Financial Metrics

Direction
accumulating
Buy Value
$119.3M
Sell Value
$5.0K
Net Flow
$71.3M

Institutional Positions

Net institutional flow: $71.3M

▲ Buyers (3)

InstitutionActionChangePosition ValueValue Δ
Assenagon Asset ManagementDOUBLED+141.8%$118.7M$71.1M
Farther Finance AdvisorsDOUBLED+164.2%$79.0K$50.0K
Nisa Investment AdvisorsADD+31.6%$565.0K$149.0K

▼ Sellers (1)

InstitutionActionChangePrev ValueValue Δ
AssetmarkTRIM-39.4%$5.0K-$2.0K

Key Facts

  • 3 institutional buyers added $71.3M in net new value, with current holdings of $119.3M
  • Assenagon Asset Management doubled its stake, adding $71.1M (141.8% share increase)
  • Farther Finance Advisors doubled its position (+164.2% shares, +$50K)
  • Nisa Investment Advisors added 31.6% (+$149K)
  • Only 1 seller (Assetmark) trimmed a negligible $2K position
  • All buyers are active asset managers, not passive/index funds — signal strength is higher

Financial Impact

3 institutions accumulated $71.3M in new GEO positions during Q3 2026; 1 seller reduced holdings by $2K

institutional ownershipfloat

Risk Factors

  • 13F data is stale by 45+ days — the cluster may have already been unwound
  • Only 4 institutions total — small sample size reduces signal reliability

Investment Themes

Industrials & Manufacturing

Documents Analyzed

This report is based on 1 institutional 13F filing from SEC EDGAR.

DocumentAccession Number
INST-CLUSTER Data (Synthetic)inst-cluster-GEO-2026-Q3
18 reports for GEO
Performance horizon
67% Hit rate @ T+20 2 of 3 directional calls Went positive at some point 3 of 5 best @ T+60▲ +39.14%May 6, 2026
Filters
Rows
Reports for GEO — sortable, filterable
TypeNow
Oct 21, 2026
5d ago
Institutional Cluster
BULLISH ★ 4/10
$26.94awaiting T+20——
Oct 8, 2026
18d ago
8-K
BULLISH ★ 7/10
$31.13awaiting T+20——
Oct 5, 2026
21d ago
8-K
BULLISH ★ 7/10
$32.34awaiting T+20——
Sep 16, 2026
5w ago
GOVT-CONTRACT
NEUTRAL ★ 3/10
$32.14 $29.33▼ −8.74%▼ −9.95%—
Sep 15, 2026
6w ago
GOVT-CONTRACT
NEUTRAL ★ 4/10
$31.43 $30.81▼ −1.97%▼ −4.03%—
Sep 9, 2026
6w ago
Court Ruling
BEARISH ★ 5/10
$31.38 $30.96▲ +1.34%▲ +3.46%—
Aug 25, 2026
8w ago
Insider Cluster
NEUTRAL ★ 2/10
$32.77 $31.96▼ −2.47%▼ −2.62%—
Aug 24, 2026
9w ago
Insider Cluster
NEUTRAL ★ 2/10
$32.16 $30.62▼ −4.79%▼ −5.76%—
Aug 14, 2026
10w ago
Court Ruling
NEUTRAL ★ 2/10
$31.15 $31.26▲ +0.35%▲ +2.33%—
Aug 6, 2026
11w ago
GOVT-CONTRACT
NEUTRAL ★ 4/10
$30.69 $31.77▲ +3.52%▲ +3.92%—
Showing 10 of 18

US Market Status

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Report published Oct 21, 2026