SecBot SecBot
GOVT-CONTRACT ·Filed Aug 6, 2026

GEO

GEO GROUP INC
NEUTRAL
Impact 4/10
Horizonmonths Processed2mo ago
Large government contract award ($500M+)
Actionable Insight • Neutral

Monitor for additional ISAP V task orders or modifications that could further expand GEO's government services revenue. The modification adds meaningful backlog but is within the range of routine DHS contract actions for this program.

DirectionNeutral
Confidencehigh
Horizonmonths
Latest settled — T+20d
GEO ▲ +3.52% at T+20d
NEUTRAL call +3.52% · α vs SPY +3.92% · entry $30.69 → $31.77
Next anchor: T+60d in 6d
Latest observation: T+54 -30.55% FF3 residual α
Entry = T+0 close
Aug 7, 2026
via day close
T+1d
-0.10%
call -0.10% · α -0.07%
$30.66
settled 3mo ago
T+5d
+1.73%
call +1.73% · α +1.33%
$31.22
settled 2mo ago
T+20d
+3.52%
call +3.52% · α +3.92%
$31.77
settled 8w ago
T+60d
Pending
in 6d

Price Chart

Loading chart...

Executive Summary

GEO Group subsidiary B.I. Incorporated received a $120.2 million contract modification from DHS for the Intensive Supervision Appearance Program (ISAP V). The award represents approximately 4.3% of GEO's annualized revenue, a notable but not transformative addition to its government services backlog.

Key Financial Metrics

Award Amount
$120.2M
Agency
Department of Homeland Security
Contract Type
modification
Rev Impact
+4.3%

Key Facts

  • Modification P00005 to contract 70CDCR25FR0000127 adds $120,172,261.69 in funding
  • Awarding agency is the Department of Homeland Security
  • Program: Intensive Supervision Appearance Program (ISAP V)
  • Recipient B.I. INCORPORATED is a subsidiary of THE GEO GROUP, INC.
  • Award represents ~4.3% of GEO's annualized revenue of $2.82 billion

Financial Impact

$120.2 million modification, ~4.3% of annualized revenue

revenuebacklog

Risk Factors

  • Government funding subject to appropriations and continuing resolutions
  • Program scope or duration could be modified by future administration policy changes
  • Execution risk on ISAP V program obligations

Investment Themes

Industrials & Manufacturing

Documents Analyzed

This report is based on 1 federal contract record from official U.S. government contract data.

DocumentAccession Number
GOVT-CONTRACT Data (Synthetic)contract-70CDCR25FR0000127
18 reports for GEO
Performance horizon
67% Hit rate @ T+20 2 of 3 directional calls Went positive at some point 4 of 6 best @ T+60▲ +39.14%May 6, 2026
Filters
Rows
Reports for GEO — sortable, filterable
TypeNow
Oct 21, 2026
5d ago
Institutional Cluster
BULLISH ★ 4/10
$26.94awaiting T+20—$28.03 (+4.05%)
Oct 8, 2026
18d ago
8-K
BULLISH ★ 7/10
$31.13awaiting T+20—$28.03 (−9.96%)
Oct 5, 2026
22d ago
8-K
BULLISH ★ 7/10
$32.34awaiting T+20—$28.03 (−13.33%)
Sep 16, 2026
5w ago
GOVT-CONTRACT
NEUTRAL ★ 3/10
$32.14 $29.33▼ −8.74%▼ −9.95%$28.03 (−12.79%)
Sep 15, 2026
6w ago
GOVT-CONTRACT
NEUTRAL ★ 4/10
$31.43 $30.81▼ −1.97%▼ −4.03%$28.03 (−10.82%)
Sep 9, 2026
6w ago
Court Ruling
BEARISH ★ 5/10
$31.38 $30.96▲ +1.34%▲ +3.46%$28.03 (+10.68%)
Aug 25, 2026
8w ago
Insider Cluster
NEUTRAL ★ 2/10
$32.77 $31.96▼ −2.47%▼ −2.62%$28.03 (−14.46%)
Aug 24, 2026
9w ago
Insider Cluster
NEUTRAL ★ 2/10
$32.16 $30.62▼ −4.79%▼ −5.76%$28.03 (−12.84%)
Aug 14, 2026
10w ago
Court Ruling
NEUTRAL ★ 2/10
$31.15 $31.26▲ +0.35%▲ +2.33%$28.03 (−10.02%)
Aug 6, 2026
11w ago
GOVT-CONTRACT
NEUTRAL ★ 4/10
$30.69 $31.77▲ +3.52%▲ +3.92%$28.03 (−8.67%)
Showing 10 of 18

US Market Status

Market Open — Closes in 5h 12m

Subscribe to SecBot

Get Real-Time SEC Filing Intelligence

Comprehensive SEC filing analysis delivered the moment filings hit EDGAR. Sentiment scoring, impact analysis, and actionable insights for every material event.

Create a free account Live analysis, Telegram alerts, watchlists and the MCP server for subscribers
Report published Aug 6, 2026