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PRESS-RELEASE ·Filed Aug 12, 2026

FRVO

Fervo Energy Company
BEARISH
Impact 6/10
Horizonmonths Processed2mo ago WireGlobeNewswire
Press release · Earnings
Actionable Insight ▼ Bearish

The massive EPS miss is largely a post-IPO share count artifact (157M shares vs 8.8M a year ago), not a business deterioration signal. Watch for Cape Station first power in Q4 2026 as the next major catalyst — any delays would be highly bearish given the capital-intensive pre-revenue stage.

DirectionBearish
Confidencemedium
Horizonmonths
Latest settled — T+20d ⚠ clustered
FRVO ▼ -21.97% at T+20d
SHORT call ✓ call won +21.97% · α vs SPY +20.08% · entry $20.16 → $15.73
Next anchor: T+60d in 10d
Latest observation: T+51 +18.85% FF3 residual α
Entry = T+0 close
Aug 12, 2026
via day close
T+1d
+0.79%
call -0.79% · α -0.10%
$20.32
settled 2mo ago
T+5d
-11.56%
call +11.56% · α +11.11%
$17.83
settled 2mo ago
T+20d
-21.97%
call +21.97% · α +20.08%
$15.73
settled 7w ago
T+60d
Pending
in 10d

Price Chart

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Executive Summary

Fervo Energy reported Q2 2026 earnings with a net loss of $55.9M and an EPS of -$0.38, significantly missing the consensus estimate of -$0.07. The company generated $113K in revenue (vs $40K consensus) and highlighted strong operational progress at Cape Station, a $2.2B IPO completion, and a raised long-term development target to 1.1 GW by 2030.

Key Financial Metrics

EPS
−$0.38
est −$0.07 · -442.9%
Revenue
$113.0K
est $40.0K · +182.5%
Rating
miss

Key Facts

  • Q2 2026 net loss of $55.9M vs $11.4M loss in Q2 2025
  • EPS of -$0.38 vs consensus -$0.07 (miss of 442.9%)
  • Revenue of $113K vs consensus $40K (beat of 182.5%)
  • Completed IPO in May 2026, raising ~$2.2B in gross proceeds
  • Raised long-term development target to 1.1 GW by 2030 from 1.0 GW
  • Cape Station Phase I (100 MW) expects first power in Q4 2026
  • Capital expenditures of $226.5M in Q2 2026 vs $108.0M in Q2 2025
  • Cash and cash equivalents of $2.1B as of June 30, 2026

Financial Impact

Net loss of $55.9M on $113K revenue; EPS miss of $0.31 vs consensus

net lossepsrevenuecapital expenditurescash position

Risk Factors

  • Pre-revenue stage with no meaningful revenue — all value is in future pipeline execution
  • Capital-intensive development with $850-900M expected capex in H2 2026
  • Geothermal project execution risk — any delays at Cape Station would be highly negative

Market Snapshot

Exchange
Nasdaq
Analyst Consensus
89% bullish (18 analysts)

Documents Analyzed

This report is based on 1 press release from GlobeNewswire.

DocumentAccession Number
PRESS-RELEASE Data (Synthetic)press-3343511
19 reports for FRVO
Performance horizon

Track record builds as more directional reports settle.

Filters
Rows
Reports for FRVO — sortable, filterable
TypeNow
Oct 12, 2026
14d ago
Institutional Cluster
NEUTRAL ★ 3/10
$12.87awaiting T+20—$7.97 (−38.07%)
Oct 1, 2026
25d ago
8-K
BULLISH ★ 6/10
$14.46awaiting T+20—$7.97 (−44.88%)
Sep 1, 2026
7w ago
8-K
BULLISH ★ 7/10
$19.75 $13.87▼ −29.77%▼ −30.95%$7.97 (−59.65%)
Aug 12, 2026
10w ago
8-K
NEUTRAL ★ 4/10
$20.16 $15.73▼ −21.97%▼ −20.08%$7.97 (−60.47%)
Aug 12, 2026
10w ago
Press Release
BEARISH ★ 6/10
$20.16 $15.73▲ +21.97%▲ +20.08%$7.97 (+60.47%)
Jun 22, 2026
18w ago
8-K
NEUTRAL ★ 5/10
$36.36 $24.65▼ −32.21%▼ −32.06%$7.97 (−78.08%)
Jun 12, 2026
19w ago
Press Release
NEUTRAL ★ 1/10
$35.19 $27.13▼ −22.90%▼ −24.68%$7.97 (−77.35%)
Jun 10, 2026
19w ago
8-K
NEUTRAL ★ 3/10
$34.64 $27.35▼ −21.05%▼ −22.94%$7.97 (−76.99%)
May 15, 2026
23w ago
8-K
BULLISH ★ 7/10
$41.06 $35.19▼ −14.30%▼ −16.41%$7.97 (−80.59%)
May 14, 2026
23w ago
424B4
NEUTRAL ★ 6/10
$40.63 $35.19▼ −13.39%▼ −12.53%$7.97 (−80.38%)
Showing 10 of 19

US Market Status

Market Closed — Opens Tue (16h 35m)

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Report published Aug 12, 2026