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8-K ·Filed Oct 1, 2026

FRVO

Fervo Energy Co
BULLISH
Impact 6/10
Horizonmonths Processed26d 2h ago SEC0001628280-26-064103
8-K context-dependent: Items 7.01
Actionable Insight ▲ Bullish

Monitor commissioning progress of the remaining two Phase I GeoBlocks ahead of the January 1, 2027 deadline. Phase II construction timeline and any updates on PPA pricing or capacity factors will be key catalysts. The company's ability to compress construction timelines to 18 months for future GeoBlocks is a critical scalability metric to track.

DirectionBullish
Confidencehigh
Horizonmonths
Latest settled — T+5d
FRVO ▼ -4.56% at T+5d
LONG call ✗ call lost -4.56% · α vs SPY -5.87% · entry $14.46 → $13.80
Next anchor: T+20d tomorrow
Latest observation: T+16 -21.86% FF3 residual α
Entry = T+0 close
Oct 1, 2026
via day close
T+1d
-0.07%
call -0.07% · α -0.81%
$14.45
settled 25d ago
T+5d
-4.56%
call -4.56% · α -5.87%
$13.80
settled 19d ago
T+20d
Pending
tomorrow
T+60d
Pending
in 2mo

Price Chart

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Executive Summary

Fervo Energy announced that its first GeoBlock at Cape Station reached commercial operation on September 30, 2026, one day ahead of its contractual COD. The 33 MW GeoBlock is now generating revenue under a PPA, marking the first greenfield enhanced geothermal system to achieve commercial operations globally. Phase I totals ~100 MW across three GeoBlocks, with the remaining two expected online by January 1, 2027, and Phase II (400 MW) under construction targeting 2028 COD.

Key Facts

  • First GeoBlock at Cape Station reached contractual commercial operation on September 30, 2026, one day ahead of schedule
  • GeoBlock achieved 33 MW of net power production, meeting the expected production threshold under the PPA
  • Revenue is now being generated under Fervo's power purchase agreement
  • Phase I comprises approximately 100 MW across three 33-megawatt GeoBlocks
  • Remaining two Phase I GeoBlocks expected to reach contractual COD by January 1, 2027
  • Phase II (400 MW) is already under construction with expected COD in 2028
  • Over 1 gigawatt of binding PPAs signed across the portfolio
  • First power facility built and commissioned in 23 months; company targeting 18-month construction timeline for future GeoBlocks

Financial Impact

First GeoBlock now generating revenue under a PPA; Phase I ~100 MW total with two more GeoBlocks expected online by Jan 2027; Phase II 400 MW under construction targeting 2028 COD; over 1 GW of binding PPAs signed across portfolio

revenuecapacity

Risk Factors

  • Construction or operational delays on remaining Phase I GeoBlocks or Phase II
  • Inability to replicate 23-month construction timeline or compress to 18 months
  • Geothermal resource performance may not meet expected production thresholds
  • Capital requirements for scaling to 1+ GW of contracted capacity

Documents Analyzed

This report is based on 5 SEC documents filed with EDGAR.

DocumentAccession Number
8-K Filing (Primary)0001628280-26-064103
Document: frvo-20261001.htm0001628280-26-064103
Document: 0001628280-26-064103-index-headers.html0001628280-26-064103
Document: 0001628280-26-064103-index.html0001628280-26-064103
Document: 0001628280-26-064103.txt0001628280-26-064103
19 reports for FRVO
Performance horizon
33% Hit rate @ T+20 1 of 3 directional calls Went positive at some point 1 of 3 best @ T+20▲ +21.97%Aug 12, 2026
Filters
Rows
Reports for FRVO — sortable, filterable
TypeNow
Oct 12, 2026
15d ago
Institutional Cluster
NEUTRAL ★ 3/10
$12.87awaiting T+20—$7.97 (−38.07%)
Oct 1, 2026
26d ago
8-K
BULLISH ★ 6/10
$14.46awaiting T+20—$7.97 (−44.88%)
Sep 1, 2026
8w ago
8-K
BULLISH ★ 7/10
$19.75 $13.87▼ −29.77%▼ −30.95%$7.97 (−59.65%)
Aug 12, 2026
10w ago
8-K
NEUTRAL ★ 4/10
$20.16 $15.73▼ −21.97%▼ −20.08%$7.97 (−60.47%)
Aug 12, 2026
10w ago
Press Release
BEARISH ★ 6/10
$20.16 $15.73▲ +21.97%▲ +20.08%$7.97 (+60.47%)
Jun 22, 2026
18w ago
8-K
NEUTRAL ★ 5/10
$36.36 $24.65▼ −32.21%▼ −32.06%$7.97 (−78.08%)
Jun 12, 2026
19w ago
Press Release
NEUTRAL ★ 1/10
$35.19 $27.13▼ −22.90%▼ −24.68%$7.97 (−77.35%)
Jun 10, 2026
19w ago
8-K
NEUTRAL ★ 3/10
$34.64 $27.35▼ −21.05%▼ −22.94%$7.97 (−76.99%)
May 15, 2026
23w ago
8-K
BULLISH ★ 7/10
$41.06 $35.19▼ −14.30%▼ −16.41%$7.97 (−80.59%)
May 14, 2026
23w ago
424B4
NEUTRAL ★ 6/10
$40.63 $35.19▼ −13.39%▼ −12.53%$7.97 (−80.38%)
Showing 10 of 19

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Report published Oct 1, 2026