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8-K ·Filed Aug 12, 2026

FRVO

Fervo Energy Co
NEUTRAL
Impact 4/10
Horizonmonths Processed2mo ago SEC0001628280-26-055942
8-K Item 2.02: Earnings release
Actionable Insight • Neutral

Monitor Cape Station Phase I commissioning progress toward Q4 2026 first power; the stock will likely trade on operational milestones rather than quarterly financials until revenue generation begins.

DirectionNeutral
Confidencemedium
Horizonmonths
Latest settled — T+20d ⚠ clustered
FRVO ▼ -21.97% at T+20d
NEUTRAL call -21.97% · α vs SPY -20.08% · entry $20.16 → $15.73
Next anchor: T+60d in 10d
Latest observation: T+51 -18.85% FF3 residual α
Entry = T+0 close
Aug 12, 2026
via day close
T+1d
+0.79%
call +0.79% · α +0.10%
$20.32
settled 2mo ago
T+5d
-11.56%
call -11.56% · α -11.11%
$17.83
settled 2mo ago
T+20d
-21.97%
call -21.97% · α -20.08%
$15.73
settled 7w ago
T+60d
Pending
in 10d

Price Chart

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Executive Summary

Fervo Energy reported Q2 2026 results with a net loss of $55.9M and revenue of $113K, far below the $40K consensus. The company is pre-revenue and pre-operational, with Cape Station Phase I on track for first power in Q4 2026. The filing is neutral as the company is a pre-revenue development-stage geothermal company; the widening loss is expected given the construction ramp, and the $2.2B IPO cash provides a multi-year runway to execute on its 1.1 GW by 2030 target.

Key Financial Metrics

EPS
−$0.38
est −$0.07 · -442.9%
Revenue
$113.0K
est $40.0K · +182.5%
Rating
in line

Key Facts

  • Q2 2026 revenue was $113K vs $40K consensus
  • Q2 2026 net loss of $55.9M vs $11.4M in Q2 2025
  • Cape Station Phase I on track for first power in Q4 2026
  • Raised long-term development target to 1.1 GW by 2030
  • Cash and cash equivalents of $2.1B post-IPO
  • Capital expenditures of $226.5M in Q2 2026, expects $850-900M in H2 2026

Financial Impact

Net loss widened to $55.9M in Q2 2026 from $11.4M in Q2 2025; revenue was $113K vs $40K consensus

revenuenet losscapital expenditures

Risk Factors

  • Construction delays at Cape Station Phase I or II
  • Inability to convert 50+ GW pipeline into contracted capacity
  • Dilution risk from future equity offerings to fund $1.2B capex through Q1 2027

Market Snapshot

Exchange
Nasdaq
Analyst Consensus
89% bullish (18 analysts)

Documents Analyzed

This report is based on 6 SEC documents filed with EDGAR.

DocumentAccession Number
8-K Filing (Primary)0001628280-26-055942
Document: frvo-20260812.htm0001628280-26-055942
Document: 0001628280-26-055942-index-headers.html0001628280-26-055942
Document: 0001628280-26-055942-index.html0001628280-26-055942
Document: 0001628280-26-055942.txt0001628280-26-055942
8-K Data (Synthetic)0001628280-26-055942
19 reports for FRVO
Performance horizon
33% Hit rate @ T+20 1 of 3 directional calls Went positive at some point 1 of 4 best @ T+20▲ +21.97%Aug 12, 2026
Filters
Rows
Reports for FRVO — sortable, filterable
TypeNow
Oct 12, 2026
14d ago
Institutional Cluster
NEUTRAL ★ 3/10
$12.87awaiting T+20—$7.97 (−38.07%)
Oct 1, 2026
25d ago
8-K
BULLISH ★ 6/10
$14.46awaiting T+20—$7.97 (−44.88%)
Sep 1, 2026
7w ago
8-K
BULLISH ★ 7/10
$19.75 $13.87▼ −29.77%▼ −30.95%$7.97 (−59.65%)
Aug 12, 2026
10w ago
8-K
NEUTRAL ★ 4/10
$20.16 $15.73▼ −21.97%▼ −20.08%$7.97 (−60.47%)
Aug 12, 2026
10w ago
Press Release
BEARISH ★ 6/10
$20.16 $15.73▲ +21.97%▲ +20.08%$7.97 (+60.47%)
Jun 22, 2026
18w ago
8-K
NEUTRAL ★ 5/10
$36.36 $24.65▼ −32.21%▼ −32.06%$7.97 (−78.08%)
Jun 12, 2026
19w ago
Press Release
NEUTRAL ★ 1/10
$35.19 $27.13▼ −22.90%▼ −24.68%$7.97 (−77.35%)
Jun 10, 2026
19w ago
8-K
NEUTRAL ★ 3/10
$34.64 $27.35▼ −21.05%▼ −22.94%$7.97 (−76.99%)
May 15, 2026
23w ago
8-K
BULLISH ★ 7/10
$41.06 $35.19▼ −14.30%▼ −16.41%$7.97 (−80.59%)
May 14, 2026
23w ago
424B4
NEUTRAL ★ 6/10
$40.63 $35.19▼ −13.39%▼ −12.53%$7.97 (−80.38%)
Showing 10 of 19

US Market Status

Market Closed — Opens Tue (17h 29m)

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Report published Aug 12, 2026