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8-K ·Filed Sep 1, 2026

FRVO

Fervo Energy Co
BULLISH
Impact 7/10
Horizonmonths Processed1mo ago SEC0001628280-26-059707
Actionable Insight ▲ Bullish

This PPA is a strong commercial validation of Fervo's EGS technology and its repeatable GeoBlock model, significantly derisking the Cape Station project's revenue stream. Traders should monitor progress on regulatory approvals under Utah SB 132 and any updates on Google's data center plans, as these are key catalysts for the expansion option and future revenue growth.

DirectionBullish
Confidencehigh
Horizonmonths
Latest settled — T+20d ⚠ clustered
FRVO ▼ -29.77% at T+20d
LONG call ✗ call lost -29.77% · α vs SPY -30.95% · entry $19.75 → $13.87
Next anchor: T+60d in 4w
Latest observation: T+37 -22.44% FF3 residual α
Entry = T+0 close
Sep 1, 2026
via day close
T+1d
-8.96%
call -8.96% · α -9.41%
$17.98
settled 8w ago
T+5d
-12.71%
call -12.71% · α -12.79%
$17.24
settled 7w ago
T+20d
-29.77%
call -29.77% · α -30.95%
$13.87
settled 26d ago
T+60d
Pending
in 4w

Price Chart

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Executive Summary

Fervo Energy signed a 396 MW power purchase agreement (PPA) with Google, the world's largest enhanced geothermal PPA, for its Cape Station project in Utah, with a 15-year delivery term starting in Q3 2028. Google also has an option to expand offtake by ~600 MW, bringing total potential capacity to nearly 1 GW by June 2030. The deal is a major commercial validation of Fervo's EGS technology and repeatable GeoBlock model, but the project remains subject to regulatory approvals under Utah SB 132 and final data center plans are contingent on engineering feasibility and local approvals.

Key Facts

  • Fervo Energy and Google signed a 396 MW power purchase agreement (PPA) for the Cape Station enhanced geothermal systems (EGS) GeoCluster in Utah.
  • The PPA has a 15-year delivery term, with four successive 99 MW sub-tranches targeting commercial operation starting in Q3 2028.
  • Google has an option to expand offtake by approximately 600 MW, for a total of nearly 1 GW, with a guaranteed commercial operation date no later than June 2030.
  • Fervo provided a parent company guaranty; Alphabet Inc. provided a parent company guaranty for Google's obligations.
  • The project is subject to regulatory approvals under Utah Senate Bill 132 (SB 132) for flexible power delivery pathways.
  • This is the third PPA between Fervo and Google, following a 115 MW PPA in June 2024 and the initial Project Red pilot in Nevada.
  • The PPA is part of the ongoing expansion of Cape Station beyond its initial 100 MW phase.

Financial Impact

396 MW PPA with a 15-year delivery term; potential expansion to ~950 MW total contracted capacity. No dollar values disclosed.

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Risk Factors

  • Project execution risk: construction delays or cost overruns at Cape Station.
  • Regulatory risk: failure to obtain approvals under Utah SB 132 for flexible power delivery pathways.
  • Counterparty risk: Google's data center plans remain subject to engineering feasibility, state/local approvals, and commercial conditions.
  • Expansion option risk: the ~600 MW expansion is subject to Google's acceptance and negotiation of a definitive agreement.
  • Reimbursement risk: if Fervo fails to make the required capacity expansion offer, it must reimburse Google for deemed delivered energy payments, the amount of which is not currently estimable.

Market Snapshot

Exchange
Nasdaq
Analyst Consensus
89% bullish (18 analysts)

Documents Analyzed

This report is based on 10 SEC documents filed with EDGAR.

DocumentAccession Number
8-K Filing (FRVO) — Batch item 10001628280-26-059707
Document: frvo-20260826.htm0001628280-26-059707
Document: 0001628280-26-059707-index-headers.html0001628280-26-059707
Document: 0001628280-26-059707-index.html0001628280-26-059707
Document: 0001628280-26-059707.txt0001628280-26-059707
8-K Filing (FRVO) — Batch item 60001628280-26-059707
Document: frvo-20260826.htm0001628280-26-059707
Document: 0001628280-26-059707-index-headers.html0001628280-26-059707
Document: 0001628280-26-059707-index.html0001628280-26-059707
Document: 0001628280-26-059707.txt0001628280-26-059707
19 reports for FRVO
Performance horizon

Track record builds as more directional reports settle.

Filters
Rows
Reports for FRVO — sortable, filterable
TypeNow
Oct 12, 2026
14d ago
Institutional Cluster
NEUTRAL ★ 3/10
$12.87awaiting T+20—$7.97 (−38.07%)
Oct 1, 2026
25d ago
8-K
BULLISH ★ 6/10
$14.46awaiting T+20—$7.97 (−44.88%)
Sep 1, 2026
7w ago
8-K
BULLISH ★ 7/10
$19.75 $13.87▼ −29.77%▼ −30.95%$7.97 (−59.65%)
Aug 12, 2026
10w ago
8-K
NEUTRAL ★ 4/10
$20.16 $15.73▼ −21.97%▼ −20.08%$7.97 (−60.47%)
Aug 12, 2026
10w ago
Press Release
BEARISH ★ 6/10
$20.16 $15.73▲ +21.97%▲ +20.08%$7.97 (+60.47%)
Jun 22, 2026
18w ago
8-K
NEUTRAL ★ 5/10
$36.36 $24.65▼ −32.21%▼ −32.06%$7.97 (−78.08%)
Jun 12, 2026
19w ago
Press Release
NEUTRAL ★ 1/10
$35.19 $27.13▼ −22.90%▼ −24.68%$7.97 (−77.35%)
Jun 10, 2026
19w ago
8-K
NEUTRAL ★ 3/10
$34.64 $27.35▼ −21.05%▼ −22.94%$7.97 (−76.99%)
May 15, 2026
23w ago
8-K
BULLISH ★ 7/10
$41.06 $35.19▼ −14.30%▼ −16.41%$7.97 (−80.59%)
May 14, 2026
23w ago
424B4
NEUTRAL ★ 6/10
$40.63 $35.19▼ −13.39%▼ −12.53%$7.97 (−80.38%)
Showing 10 of 19

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Market Closed — Opens Tue (15h 58m)

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Report published Sep 1, 2026