PRESS-RELEASE ·Filed May 4, 2026

FLY

Firefly Aerospace
BULLISH
Impact 6/10
Horizonmonths Processed5mo ago WireGlobeNewswire
Press release: contract
Actionable Insight ▲ Bullish

The OTA agreement positions FLY for future revenue from a high-priority defense program. Monitor for additional contract awards and progress toward the 2028 demonstration milestone.

DirectionBullish
Confidencehigh
Horizonmonths
Final — all horizons settled through T+60d ⚠ clustered
FLY ▼ -46.54% at T+60d
LONG call ✗ call lost -46.54% · α vs SPY -48.40% · entry $33.37 → $17.84
Entry anchored
May 4, 08:07 AM ET
via exchange tick
T+1d
-5.54%
call -5.54% · α -6.34%
$31.52
settled 5mo ago
T+5d
+14.59%
call +14.59% · α +11.66%
$38.24
settled 5mo ago
T+20d
+32.57%
call +32.57% · α +26.93%
$44.24
settled 4mo ago
T+60d
-46.54%
call -46.54% · α -48.40%
$17.84
settled 2mo ago

Price Chart

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Executive Summary

Firefly Aerospace subsidiary SciTec received a Space Force OTA agreement for the Space-Based Interceptor program, part of the $3.2B Golden Dome architecture. This marks a major defense contract win for FLY, enhancing its role in national security space.

Key Facts

  • SciTec, a Firefly Aerospace subsidiary, received an OTA from U.S. Space Force for the SBI program.
  • The Space Force awarded 20 OTA agreements worth up to $3.2B to 12 companies, including SciTec.
  • The program aims to demonstrate a space-based missile interceptor capability integrated into the Golden Dome architecture by 2028.
  • SciTec has over 45 years of experience supporting defense and intelligence missions.

Financial Impact

Undisclosed individual award for SciTec; total program OTA ceiling is $3.2B across 12 companies.

revenuebacklog

Risk Factors

  • Execution risk in developing advanced space-based interceptors.
  • Potential delays in program milestones or funding.
  • Competition from other awardees for follow-on contracts.

Market Snapshot

Exchange
Nasdaq
Sector
Guided Missiles & Space Vehicles & Parts
Analyst Consensus
67% bullish (12 analysts)

Investment Themes

Industrials & Manufacturing

Documents Analyzed

This report is based on 1 press release from GlobeNewswire.

DocumentAccession Number
PRESS-RELEASE Data (Synthetic)press-3286698
17 reports for FLY
Performance horizon
67% Hit rate 4 of 6 directional calls best @ T+20▲ +84.28%Mar 19, 2026
Filters
Rows
Reports for FLY — sortable, filterable
TypeNow
Aug 11, 2026
7w ago
Press Release
BULLISH ★ 7/10
$26.54 $20.90▼ −21.25%▼ −19.35%$23.32 (−12.13%)
Aug 9, 2026
7w ago
Institutional Cluster
MIXED ★ 4/10
$25.76 $22.90▼ −11.10%▼ −10.19%$23.32 (−9.47%)
Jul 15, 2026
11w ago
Press Release
NEUTRAL ★ 2/10
$19.03 $26.77▲ +40.67%▲ +37.05%$23.32 (+22.54%)
Jun 30, 2026
13w ago
Press Release
BULLISH ★ 5/10
$28.37 $17.84▼ −37.12%▼ −34.93%$23.32 (−17.80%)
Jun 2, 2026
17w ago
8-K
NEUTRAL ★ 5/10
$43.37 $28.37▼ −34.59%▼ −33.02%$23.32 (−46.23%)
May 29, 2026
18w ago
EFFECT
NEUTRAL ★ 6/10
$46.49 $29.05▼ −37.51%▼ −35.72%$23.32 (−49.84%)
May 29, 2026
18w ago
Press Release
BEARISH ★ 6/10
$46.49 $29.05▲ +37.51%▲ +35.72%$23.32 (+49.84%)
May 26, 2026
18w ago
Press Release
BULLISH ★ 6/10
$57.28 $24.61▼ −57.04%▼ −55.13%$23.32 (−59.29%)
May 4, 2026
21w ago
Press Release
MIXED ★ 6/10
$31.52 $43.37▲ +37.60%▲ +32.64%$23.32 (−26.02%)
May 4, 2026
21w ago
8-K
MIXED ★ 6/10
$31.52 $43.37▲ +37.60%▲ +32.64%$23.32 (−26.02%)
Showing 10 of 17

US Market Status

Market Closed — Opens Mon (64h 12m)

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Report published May 4, 2026