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Institutional Cluster ·Filed Oct 20, 2026

CLF

CLEVELAND-CLIFFS INC.
BEARISH
Impact 4/10
Horizonweeks Processed5d 19h ago
Institutional cluster: 1 buyers, 3 sellers (bearish)
Actionable Insight ▼ Bearish

The cluster's bearish signal is weakened by the 45-day reporting lag and the strong subsequent earnings beat. Monitor whether additional institutional selling appears in Q4 2026 13F filings or if the selling was a pre-earnings de-risking move that reverses.

DirectionBearish
Confidencemedium
Horizonweeks
Latest settled — T+1d
CLF ▼ -6.99% at T+1d
SHORT call ✓ call won +6.99% · α vs SPY +5.80% · entry $14.03 → $13.05
Next anchor: T+5d in 19h
Latest observation: T+2 -4.72% FF3 residual α
Entry = T+0 close
Oct 20, 2026
via day close
T+1d
-6.99%
call +6.99% · α +5.80%
$13.05
settled 5d ago
T+5d
Pending
in 19h
T+20d
Pending
in 22d
T+60d
Pending
in 3mo

Executive Summary

Three institutional asset managers trimmed their CLF positions in Q3 2026, led by a $23.0M reduction from Assenagon Asset Management, while only one tiny buyer (Mather Group) added a negligible $4K. This bearish cluster occurred just before Cleveland-Cliffs reported a strong Q3 earnings beat and raised Q4/2027 guidance, suggesting the selling may have been driven by pre-earnings caution or portfolio rebalancing rather than fundamental deterioration.

Key Financial Metrics

Direction
distributing
Buy Value
$5.0K
Sell Value
$57.1M
Net Flow
-$23.1M

Institutional Positions

Net institutional flow: -$23.1M

▲ Buyers (1)

InstitutionActionChangePosition ValueValue Δ
Mather GroupDOUBLED+371.3%$5.0K$4.0K

▼ Sellers (3)

InstitutionActionChangePrev ValueValue Δ
Assenagon Asset ManagementTRIM-49.4%$56.5M-$23.0M
Wealth Enhancement Advisory ServicesTRIM-28.5%$508.0K-$37.0K
Nisa Investment AdvisorsTRIM-50.1%$88.0K-$37.0K

Key Facts

  • 3 sellers reduced holdings by a net $23.1M in Q3 2026
  • Assenagon Asset Management cut its position by 49.4% ($23.0M reduction)
  • Only 1 buyer (Mather Group) added a trivial $4K, doubling a tiny position
  • Q3 earnings (filed 1 day ago) showed net income of $165M vs. prior quarter loss, with Q4 EBITDA guidance of ~$715M and 2027 outlook exceeding $4B

Financial Impact

Net institutional selling of $23.1M in Q3 2026, dominated by Assenagon's $23.0M trim (49.4% of its position). Total buying was only $4K.

institutional ownershipfloat

Risk Factors

  • 13F data is stale (quarter-end Sept 30, 2026); positions may have been reversed since
  • Sellers are all asset managers, not hedge funds or activists — may reflect routine rebalancing

Investment Themes

Materials & Mining

Documents Analyzed

This report is based on 1 institutional 13F filing from SEC EDGAR.

DocumentAccession Number
INST-CLUSTER Data (Synthetic)inst-cluster-CLF-2026-Q3
12 reports for CLF
Performance horizon
50% Hit rate @ T+1 3 of 6 directional calls Went positive at some point 4 of 6 best @ T+20▲ +21.95%Jun 22, 2026
Filters
Rows
Reports for CLF — sortable, filterable
TypeNow
Oct 20, 2026
5d ago
Institutional Cluster
BEARISH ★ 4/10
$14.03 $13.05▲ +6.99%▲ +5.80%—
Oct 19, 2026
7d ago
8-K
BULLISH ★ 7/10
$14.10 $13.65▼ −3.19%▼ −3.53%—
Oct 6, 2026
20d ago
ANALYST-UPGRADE
BULLISH ★ 4/10
$12.25 $12.06▼ −1.55%▼ −1.31%—
Jul 24, 2026
13w ago
ANALYST-UPGRADE
MIXED ★ 1/10
$11.93 $12.25▲ +2.68%▲ +2.66%—
Jul 23, 2026
13w ago
8-K
MIXED ★ 6/10
$10.96 $11.93▲ +8.85%▲ +8.75%—
Jul 1, 2026
16w ago
GOVT-CONTRACT
NEUTRAL ★ 3/10
$9.86 $9.77▼ −0.91%▼ −1.79%—
Jun 22, 2026
17w ago
ANALYST-DOWNGRADE
BEARISH ★ 3/10
$11.89 $11.16▲ +6.14%▲ +4.69%—
Jun 12, 2026
19w ago
Institutional Cluster
MIXED ★ 5/10
$13.78 $13.63▼ −1.09%▼ −2.85%—
Jun 11, 2026
19w ago
Institutional Cluster
BULLISH ★ 6/10
$13.71 $13.78▲ +0.51%▼ −0.03%—
Jun 9, 2026
19w ago
ANALYST-UPGRADE
NEUTRAL ★ 3/10
$12.72 $12.41▼ −2.44%▼ −0.86%—
Showing 10 of 12

US Market Status

Market Open — Closes in 3h 27m

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Report published Oct 20, 2026