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GOVT-CONTRACT ·Filed Jul 1, 2026

CLF

CLEVELAND-CLIFFS INC.
NEUTRAL
Impact 3/10
Horizonmonths Processed3mo ago
Large government contract award ($500M+)
Actionable Insight • Neutral

Monitor for follow-on orders or contract expansions under this DR-GOES program, which could signal deeper DoD reliance on domestic electric steel production and increase revenue visibility.

DirectionNeutral
Confidencehigh
Horizonmonths
Final — all horizons settled through T+60d
CLF ▲ +13.79% at T+60d
NEUTRAL call +13.79% · α vs SPY +11.00% · entry $9.86 → $11.22
Entry = T+0 close
Jul 2, 2026
via day close
T+1d
-0.91%
call -0.91% · α -1.79%
$9.77
settled 4mo ago
T+5d
-4.67%
call -4.67% · α -6.03%
$9.40
settled 4mo ago
T+20d
+16.84%
call +16.84% · α +16.53%
$11.52
settled 3mo ago
T+60d
+13.79%
call +13.79% · α +11.00%
$11.22
settled 29d ago

Price Chart

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Executive Summary

Cleveland-Cliffs Inc., through its subsidiary Cliffs Steel Inc, was awarded a $99.99 million Department of Defense contract for Domain Refined Grain Oriented Electric Steel (DR-GOES). The award represents approximately 0.51% of the company's annualized revenue of $19.6 billion, a modest but notable addition to its government business.

Key Financial Metrics

Award Amount
$100.0M
Agency
Department of Defense
Contract Type
new
Rev Impact
+0.5%

Key Facts

  • Award amount: $99,990,000
  • Awarding agency: Department of Defense
  • Contract for Domain Refined Grain Oriented Electric Steel (DR-GOES)
  • Period of performance starts 2026-07-01
  • Award represents ~0.51% of annualized revenue ($19.6B)

Financial Impact

$99.99 million contract award, approximately 0.51% of annualized revenue

revenue

Risk Factors

  • Contract size is small relative to total revenue, limiting material impact
  • Government contracts may carry execution, funding, or renegotiation risks

Investment Themes

Materials & Mining

Documents Analyzed

This report is based on 1 federal contract record from official U.S. government contract data.

DocumentAccession Number
GOVT-CONTRACT Data (Synthetic)contract-SP800026F0033
12 reports for CLF
Performance horizon
57% Hit rate @ T+1 4 of 7 directional calls Went positive at some point 5 of 7 best @ T+20▲ +21.95%Jun 22, 2026
Filters
Rows
Reports for CLF — sortable, filterable
TypeNow
Oct 20, 2026
6d ago
Institutional Cluster
BEARISH ★ 4/10
$14.03 $13.05▲ +6.99%▲ +5.80%$13.38 (+4.63%)
Oct 19, 2026
8d ago
8-K
BULLISH ★ 7/10
$14.10 $13.65▼ −3.19%▼ −3.53%$13.38 (−5.11%)
Oct 6, 2026
20d ago
ANALYST-UPGRADE
BULLISH ★ 4/10
$12.25 $12.06▼ −1.55%▼ −1.31%$13.38 (+9.22%)
Jul 24, 2026
13w ago
ANALYST-UPGRADE
MIXED ★ 1/10
$11.93 $12.25▲ +2.68%▲ +2.66%$13.38 (+12.15%)
Jul 23, 2026
13w ago
8-K
MIXED ★ 6/10
$10.96 $11.93▲ +8.85%▲ +8.75%$13.38 (+22.08%)
Jul 1, 2026
16w ago
GOVT-CONTRACT
NEUTRAL ★ 3/10
$9.86 $9.77▼ −0.91%▼ −1.79%$13.38 (+35.70%)
Jun 22, 2026
18w ago
ANALYST-DOWNGRADE
BEARISH ★ 3/10
$11.89 $11.16▲ +6.14%▲ +4.69%$13.38 (−12.53%)
Jun 12, 2026
19w ago
Institutional Cluster
MIXED ★ 5/10
$13.78 $13.63▼ −1.09%▼ −2.85%$13.38 (−2.90%)
Jun 11, 2026
19w ago
Institutional Cluster
BULLISH ★ 6/10
$13.71 $13.78▲ +0.51%▼ −0.03%$13.38 (−2.41%)
Jun 9, 2026
19w ago
ANALYST-UPGRADE
NEUTRAL ★ 3/10
$12.72 $12.41▼ −2.44%▼ −0.86%$13.38 (+5.19%)
Showing 10 of 12

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Report published Jul 1, 2026