PRESS-RELEASE ·Filed Mar 11, 2026

ASTL

Algoma Steel Inc
BEARISH
Impact 8/10
Horizonmonths Processed6mo ago WireGlobeNewswire
Press release: earnings
Actionable Insight ▼ Bearish

Traders should monitor the pace of EAF ramp-up and cost stabilization, as well as any developments on U.S. trade policy regarding Section 232 tariffs. The $500 million liquidity facility provides near-term runway, but profitability remains deeply challenged. Equity dilution risk may increase if additional capital is needed.

DirectionBearish
Confidencehigh
Horizonmonths
Final — all horizons settled through T+60d
ASTL ▲ +34.42% at T+60d
SHORT call ✗ call lost -34.42% · α vs SPY -23.72% · entry $3.69 → $4.96
Entry anchored
Mar 11, 03:59 PM ET
via exchange tick
T+1d
-6.23%
call +6.23% · α +5.64%
$3.46
settled 7mo ago
T+5d
-1.35%
call +1.35% · α +0.38%
$3.64
settled 7mo ago
T+20d
+27.64%
call -27.64% · α -25.67%
$4.71
settled 6mo ago
T+60d
+34.42%
call -34.42% · α -23.72%
$4.96
settled 4mo ago

Price Chart

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Executive Summary

Algoma Steel reported sharply worse financial results for Q4 and full-year 2025, with revenue down significantly year-over-year and massive losses driven by U.S. Section 232 tariffs, lower shipments, and costs tied to its accelerated transition to electric arc furnace (EAF) steelmaking. Despite operational progress on the EAF ramp-up and securing $500 million in government liquidity support, the company's financial performance deteriorated substantially.

Key Financial Metrics

Revenue
$455.0M
-22.9% YoY
EPS
$-3.36

Key Facts

  • Q4 2025 revenue was $455.0 million, down from $590.3 million in Q4 2024 (-22.9% YoY)
  • Q4 2025 net loss was $364.7 million vs. $66.5 million loss in prior year
  • Full-year 2025 revenue was $2.086 billion vs. $2.462 billion in 2024 (-15.3% YoY)
  • Full-year 2025 net loss was $984.9 million vs. $139.0 million loss in prior year
  • Adjusted EBITDA loss of $261.4 million in 2025 vs. $22.4 million gain in 2024
  • Shipments down 31% in Q4 and 14% for full year due to U.S. tariffs and operational transition
  • Company secured $500 million in government liquidity support (LETL Facilities)
  • Blast furnace operations ceased after December 31, 2025, accelerating EAF transition

Financial Impact

Revenue decline of $376 million and EBITDA deterioration of $283.8 million year-over-year, with net losses increasing by $845.9 million

revenueepsebitdaoperating_incomenet_incomeshipments

Risk Factors

  • Continued exposure to U.S. trade tariffs limiting export markets
  • Execution risk in EAF ramp-up and product quality consistency
  • Sustained negative EBITDA and cash flow pressure
  • High fixed costs during transition period with reduced output

Market Snapshot

Exchange
Nasdaq

Investment Themes

Materials & Mining

Documents Analyzed

This report is based on 1 press release from GlobeNewswire.

DocumentAccession Number
PRESS-RELEASE Data (Synthetic)press-3254193
12 reports for ASTL
Performance horizon
83% Hit rate 5 of 6 directional calls best @ T+60▲ +18.50%May 12, 2026
Filters
Rows
Reports for ASTL — sortable, filterable
TypeNow
Sep 2, 2026
4w ago
6-K
BEARISH ★ 6/10
$4.39 $4.30▲ +1.94%▲ +0.98%$4.34 (+1.03%)
Aug 18, 2026
6w ago
6-K
BEARISH ★ 6/10
$4.09 $3.99▲ +2.44%▲ +2.24%$4.34 (−6.11%)
Aug 17, 2026
6w ago
Institutional Cluster
MIXED ★ 4/10
$4.16 $4.01▼ −3.61%▼ −2.42%$4.34 (+4.33%)
Jul 29, 2026
9w ago
Press Release
BEARISH ★ 6/10
$3.84 $3.97▼ −3.52%▲ +0.10%$4.34 (−13.17%)
Jul 16, 2026
11w ago
Press Release
NEUTRAL ★ 2/10
$3.83 $4.35▲ +13.58%▲ +14.26%$4.34 (+13.32%)
Jun 11, 2026
16w ago
Institutional Cluster
NEUTRAL ★ 3/10
$4.71 $4.76▲ +0.96%▲ +0.52%$4.34 (−7.86%)
Jun 4, 2026
17w ago
Press Release
NEUTRAL ★ 3/10
$4.96 $5.01▲ +1.01%▲ +0.44%$4.34 (−12.50%)
May 12, 2026
20w ago
Press Release
BEARISH ★ 8/10
$5.00 $5.18▼ −3.60%▼ −4.76%$4.34 (+13.20%)
Apr 30, 2026
22w ago
Press Release
NEUTRAL ★ 2/10
$4.82 $5.14▲ +6.64%▲ +4.29%$4.34 (−9.96%)
Apr 7, 2026
25w ago
Press Release
BULLISH ★ 6/10
$4.41 $5.07▲ +14.97%▲ +9.64%$4.34 (−1.59%)
Showing 10 of 12

US Market Status

Market Closed — Opens Mon (64h 35m)

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Report published Mar 11, 2026