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6-K ·Filed Oct 28, 2026

ASTL

Algoma Steel Group Inc.
BEARISH
Impact 5/10
Horizonmonths Processed3d 17h ago SEC0001193125-26-436551
6-K: Earnings release
Actionable Insight ▼ Bearish

Monitor the ramp-up of EAF Unit Two and its contribution to production and shipments in Q4 2026. The resolution of the Haverhill coke supply dispute removes one legacy overhang. The 50% U.S. Section 232 tariffs remain in effect, limiting U.S. market access; the Company's pivot to a Canada-centric, plate-first strategy is key to navigating this. Watch for any further government steel support measures and the outcome of the replacement turbine financing.

DirectionBearish
Confidencehigh
Horizonmonths

Price Chart

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Executive Summary

Algoma Steel reported Q3 2026 revenue of C$249.4M (down 52.4% YoY) and a net loss of C$129.6M (improved from a C$485.1M loss in Q3 2025, which included a C$503.4M impairment). Adjusted EBITDA loss was C$13.9M, in line with previously announced guidance. The results reflect the transition to EAF-only steelmaking, the impact of U.S. Section 232 tariffs, and a temporary LSP turbine outage. EAF Unit Two produced first steel on October 9, 2026, and ramp-up is underway.

Key Financial Metrics

EPS
−$1.18
Revenue
$249.4M
est $229.5M · +8.7% · -52.4% YoY

Key Facts

  • Revenue fell 52.4% YoY to C$249.4M from C$523.9M, driven by a 65.5% drop in steel shipments to 144,527 tons due to the EAF transition, tariffs, and the LSP outage.
  • Net loss of C$129.6M improved from C$485.1M in Q3 2025, which included a C$503.4M non-cash impairment charge.
  • Adjusted EBITDA loss of C$13.9M (margin -5.6%) improved from a C$87.1M loss (margin -16.6%) in Q3 2025, benefiting from higher steel prices, a greater share of plate shipments, and lower fixed costs.
  • Average net sales realization per ton rose 33.7% YoY to C$1,510, reflecting higher steel prices and a richer product mix.
  • Direct tariff costs were C$18.1M, down from C$89.7M in Q3 2025, as U.S.-bound shipments fell to 24% of total from 50%.
  • Cash generated by operating activities was C$78.6M, including C$163.9M in income tax receivable collections.
  • Total available liquidity at quarter end was approximately C$428M, including C$152.4M cash, C$232.5M undrawn revolver, and C$43.5M available under LETL Facilities.
  • EAF Unit Two produced first steel on October 9, 2026; ramp-up is progressing as expected.
  • The Company settled the Haverhill Coke Company dispute in October 2026 on confidential terms.
  • No dividends were declared in Q3 2026.

Financial Impact

Revenue decline of C$274.5M YoY; net loss improved by C$355.5M YoY; Adjusted EBITDA loss improved by C$73.2M YoY.

revenuenet incomeadjusted EBITDAshipment volumeaverage net sales realization

Segment Breakdown

SegmentRevenueGrowth
Sheet & Strip$42.4M-87.0%
Plate$175.8M+19.8%

Risk Factors

  • Continued 50% U.S. Section 232 tariffs severely restrict access to the U.S. market, historically a key export destination.
  • The Canadian steel market remains supply-pressured from domestic production, U.S. imports, and offshore offers at potentially below-market prices.
  • EAF ramp-up may face operational challenges or delays; Unit Two only produced first steel after quarter end.
  • The LSP turbine outage caused a temporary production halt; while power is restored, reliance on a single turbine for full capacity introduces operational risk.
  • The Company is seeking financing for the replacement turbine; terms are not yet secured.
  • Legal proceedings related to frustrated supply agreements remain ongoing; an adverse outcome could have a material adverse effect.
  • The Company has a significant net pension and post-employment benefit obligation (C$268.5M total).

Investment Themes

Materials & Mining

Documents Analyzed

This report is based on 4 SEC documents filed with EDGAR.

DocumentAccession Number
6-K Filing (Primary)0001193125-26-436551
Document: d154774dex992.htm0001193125-26-436551
Document: d154774dex991.htm0001193125-26-436551
6-K Earnings Context (Synthetic)0001193125-26-436551
18 reports for ASTL
Performance horizon
63% Hit rate @ T+5 5 of 8 directional calls Went positive at some point 7 of 8 best @ T+60▲ +18.50%May 12, 2026
Filters
Rows
Reports for ASTL, sortable and filterable
TypeNow
Oct 28, 2026
4d ago
6-K
BEARISH ★ 5/10
No priceawaiting T+5awaiting T+5No price
Oct 28, 2026
4d ago
Press Release
NEUTRAL ★ 5/10
$4.99awaiting T+5awaiting T+5$4.77 (−4.41%)
Oct 19, 2026
13d ago
25-NSE
NEUTRAL ★ 2/10
$4.11 $4.80▲ +16.79%▲ +16.71%$4.77 (+16.06%)
Oct 15, 2026
17d ago
6-K
NEUTRAL ★ 2/10
$4.03 $4.74▲ +17.62%▲ +18.05%$4.77 (+18.36%)
Oct 15, 2026
17d ago
Press Release
NEUTRAL ★ 1/10
$4.03 $4.74▲ +17.62%▲ +18.05%$4.77 (+18.36%)
Oct 1, 2026
4w ago
Press Release
BEARISH ★ 6/10
$4.34 $4.30▲ +0.92%▲ +2.08%$4.77 (−9.91%)
Sep 2, 2026
8w ago
6-K
BEARISH ★ 6/10
$4.39 $4.30▲ +1.94%▲ +0.98%$4.77 (−8.78%)
Aug 17, 2026
10w ago
6-K
BEARISH ★ 6/10
$4.09 $3.99▲ +2.44%▲ +2.24%$4.77 (−16.63%)
Aug 16, 2026
11w ago
Institutional Cluster
MIXED ★ 4/10
$4.16 $4.01▼ −3.61%▼ −2.42%$4.77 (+14.66%)
Jul 29, 2026
13w ago
Press Release
BEARISH ★ 6/10
$3.84 $3.97▼ −3.52%▲ +0.10%$4.77 (−24.38%)
Showing 10 of 18

US Market Status

Market Closed · Opens Tue (10h 50m)

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Report published Oct 29, 2026