Institutional Cluster

ASTL

Algoma Steel Group Inc.
NEUTRAL
Impact 3/10
Horizonweeks Processed3mo ago
Institutional cluster: 3 buyers, 2 sellers (mixed)
Actionable Insight • Neutral

The cluster is dominated by passive rebalancing with a strong sell bias from Fidelity, but the 45-day reporting lag means positions may have already been adjusted. Monitor next 13F for continued selling or a reversal; the weak analyst consensus and small market cap suggest limited institutional conviction. No active catalyst is evident from this cluster alone.

DirectionNeutral
Confidencemedium
Horizonweeks
Latest settled — T+20d
ASTL ▼ -23.78% at T+20d
NEUTRAL call ✗ call lost -23.78% · α vs SPY -25.67% · entry $4.71 → $3.59
Next anchor: T+60d due 24d ago
Latest observation: T+58 -25.46% FF3 residual α
Entry anchored
Jun 10, 03:59 PM ET
via exchange tick
T+1d
+6.37%
call +6.37% · α +5.83%
$5.01
settled 4mo ago
T+5d
+0.96%
call +0.96% · α +0.52%
$4.76
settled 4mo ago
T+20d
-23.78%
call -23.78% · α -25.67%
$3.59
settled 3mo ago
T+60d
—
call — · α —
—
due 24d ago

Executive Summary

A mixed institutional cluster in ASTL for Q3 2025 shows three passive buyers (Morgan Stanley, Schwab, BofA) adding $526K net to $7.4M in holdings, while two passive sellers (Fidelity, Wells Fargo) cut $19.4M, led by Fidelity trimming 44% of its position. The cluster is dominated by mega-passive managers, suggesting index rebalancing or risk management rather than a shared active thesis, and the net selling pressure is nearly 37x larger than the buying.

Key Financial Metrics

Direction
distributing
Buy Value
$7.4M
Sell Value
$27.3M
Net Flow
-$18.9M

Institutional Positions

Net institutional flow: -$18.9M

▲ Buyers (3)

InstitutionActionChangePosition ValueValue Δ
Morgan StanleyDOUBLED+218.9%$4.6M$1.8M
SchwabADD+30.3%$1.8M-$889.2K
BofAADD+38.5%$967.0K-$386.0K

▼ Sellers (2)

InstitutionActionChangePrev ValueValue Δ
FidelityTRIM-44%—-$19.4M
Wells FargoNEAR_EXIT-93.6%—-$63.5K

Key Facts

  • 3 passive buyers added $526K net to $7.4M in holdings; Morgan Stanley doubled its position (+218.9% shares, +$1.8M value).
  • 2 passive sellers cut $19.4M; Fidelity trimmed 44% of its stake ($19.4M reduction), Wells Fargo nearly exited (-93.6% shares).
  • Net institutional flow is heavily negative: $19.4M sold vs $526K bought, a 37:1 ratio.
  • All five institutions are mega-passive managers (Morgan Stanley, Schwab, BofA, Fidelity, Wells Fargo), not active hedge funds or activists.
  • Analyst consensus is 0% bullish (3 Hold, 1 Sell, 2 Strong Sell) with a $481M market cap.

Financial Impact

3 passive buyers accumulated $526K in new positions while 2 passive sellers reduced holdings by $19.4M, for a net institutional outflow of ~$18.9M.

institutional ownershipfloat

Risk Factors

  • 13F data is 45+ days stale; positions may have been unwound or reversed since quarter-end.
  • All participants are passive managers, reducing signal quality for active investment theses.
  • Net selling pressure is large relative to market cap (~3.9% of float implied by Fidelity's trim alone), which could weigh on the stock if sustained.

Market Snapshot

Exchange
Nasdaq
Sector
Steel Works, Blast Furnaces & Rolling Mills (Coke Ovens)
Analyst Consensus
0% bullish (6 analysts)

Investment Themes

Materials & Mining

Documents Analyzed

This report is based on 1 institutional 13F filing from SEC EDGAR.

DocumentAccession Number
INST-CLUSTER Data (Synthetic)inst-cluster-ASTL-2025-Q3
12 reports for ASTL
Performance horizon
86% Hit rate 6 of 7 directional calls best @ T+60▲ +18.50%May 12, 2026
Filters
Rows
Reports for ASTL — sortable, filterable
TypeNow
Sep 2, 2026
4w ago
6-K
BEARISH ★ 6/10
$4.39 $4.30▲ +1.94%▲ +0.98%—
Aug 18, 2026
6w ago
6-K
BEARISH ★ 6/10
$4.09 $3.99▲ +2.44%▲ +2.24%—
Aug 17, 2026
6w ago
Institutional Cluster
MIXED ★ 4/10
$4.16 $4.01▼ −3.61%▼ −2.42%—
Jul 29, 2026
9w ago
Press Release
BEARISH ★ 6/10
$3.84 $3.97▼ −3.52%▲ +0.10%—
Jul 16, 2026
11w ago
Press Release
NEUTRAL ★ 2/10
$3.83 $4.35▲ +13.58%▲ +14.26%—
Jun 11, 2026
16w ago
Institutional Cluster
NEUTRAL ★ 3/10
$4.71 $4.76▲ +0.96%▲ +0.52%—
Jun 4, 2026
17w ago
Press Release
NEUTRAL ★ 3/10
$4.96 $5.01▲ +1.01%▲ +0.44%—
May 12, 2026
20w ago
Press Release
BEARISH ★ 8/10
$5.00 $5.18▼ −3.60%▼ −4.76%—
Apr 30, 2026
22w ago
Press Release
NEUTRAL ★ 2/10
$4.82 $5.14▲ +6.64%▲ +4.29%—
Apr 7, 2026
25w ago
Press Release
BULLISH ★ 6/10
$4.41 $5.07▲ +14.97%▲ +9.64%—
Showing 10 of 12

US Market Status

Market Closed — Opens Mon (64h 35m)

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Report published Jun 11, 2026