6-K ·Filed Aug 18, 2026

ASTL

Algoma Steel Group Inc.
BEARISH
Impact 6/10
Horizonweeks Processed1mo ago SEC0001193125-26-354524
Notable filing: 6-K
Actionable Insight ▼ Bearish

The EAF outage of up to 21 days represents a material operational disruption for a $451M market cap steel producer. Monitor for updates on the IESO alternative power arrangement and the timeline for the spare turbine commissioning. If the outage extends beyond 21 days or if customer delivery commitments are missed, expect further downside pressure on the stock.

DirectionBearish
Confidencehigh
Horizonweeks
Latest settled — T+20d
ASTL ▲ +3.79% at T+20d
SHORT call ✗ call lost -3.79% · α vs SPY -4.78% · entry $4.09 → $4.25
Next anchor: T+60d in 6w
Latest observation: T+30 -18.24% FF3 residual α
Entry anchored
Aug 17, 04:00 PM ET
via 1-min bar
T+1d
+17.11%
call -17.11% · α -16.91%
$4.79
settled 6w ago
T+5d
-2.44%
call +2.44% · α +2.24%
$3.99
settled 6w ago
T+20d
+3.79%
call -3.79% · α -4.78%
$4.25
settled 17d ago
T+60d
—
call — · α —
—
in 6w

Price Chart

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Executive Summary

Algoma Steel disclosed an unplanned outage at its Lake Superior Power (LSP) generating facility, forcing a suspension of electric arc furnace (EAF) production. The company expects the EAF outage to last no more than 21 days, with a potential 10-day restart if an alternative power arrangement with the IESO is approved. Downstream finishing and shipping continue, and the company does not expect a significant impact on committed customer deliveries, though future shipment volumes may be affected.

Key Facts

  • Unplanned outage at Lake Superior Power (LSP) facility; one turbine unit automatically taken offline.
  • EAF production suspended; downstream finishing and shipping continue.
  • EAF outage expected to last no more than 21 days; alternative power arrangement could enable restart within ~10 days.
  • Company does not expect significant impact on committed customer delivery dates but warns future shipment volumes may be affected.
  • GE Vernova contracted spare turbine being mobilized to support return to normal operations.
  • Alternative onsite power supply arrangement being pursued with the Independent Electricity System Operator (IESO).

Financial Impact

Operational disruption with potential for reduced shipment volumes; financial impact not yet quantified by the company.

revenueshipment volumesproduction

Risk Factors

  • Extended outage beyond 21 days if spare turbine commissioning is delayed or alternative power arrangement is not approved.
  • Potential loss of customer orders or market share if shipment commitments are not met.
  • Unquantified financial impact from lost production and repair costs.

Market Snapshot

Exchange
Nasdaq
Sector
Steel Works, Blast Furnaces & Rolling Mills (Coke Ovens)
Analyst Consensus
0% bullish (6 analysts)

Investment Themes

Materials & Mining

Documents Analyzed

This report is based on 5 SEC documents filed with EDGAR.

DocumentAccession Number
6-K Filing (Primary)0001193125-26-354524
Document: d171630d6k.htm0001193125-26-354524
Document: 0001193125-26-354524-index-headers.html0001193125-26-354524
Document: 0001193125-26-354524-index.html0001193125-26-354524
Document: 0001193125-26-354524.txt0001193125-26-354524
12 reports for ASTL
Performance horizon
83% Hit rate 5 of 6 directional calls best @ T+60▲ +18.50%May 12, 2026
Filters
Rows
Reports for ASTL — sortable, filterable
TypeNow
Sep 2, 2026
4w ago
6-K
BEARISH ★ 6/10
$4.39 $4.30▲ +1.94%▲ +0.98%$4.34 (+1.03%)
Aug 18, 2026
6w ago
6-K
BEARISH ★ 6/10
$4.09 $3.99▲ +2.44%▲ +2.24%$4.34 (−6.11%)
Aug 17, 2026
6w ago
Institutional Cluster
MIXED ★ 4/10
$4.16 $4.01▼ −3.61%▼ −2.42%$4.34 (+4.33%)
Jul 29, 2026
9w ago
Press Release
BEARISH ★ 6/10
$3.84 $3.97▼ −3.52%▲ +0.10%$4.34 (−13.17%)
Jul 16, 2026
11w ago
Press Release
NEUTRAL ★ 2/10
$3.83 $4.35▲ +13.58%▲ +14.26%$4.34 (+13.32%)
Jun 11, 2026
16w ago
Institutional Cluster
NEUTRAL ★ 3/10
$4.71 $4.76▲ +0.96%▲ +0.52%$4.34 (−7.86%)
Jun 4, 2026
17w ago
Press Release
NEUTRAL ★ 3/10
$4.96 $5.01▲ +1.01%▲ +0.44%$4.34 (−12.50%)
May 12, 2026
20w ago
Press Release
BEARISH ★ 8/10
$5.00 $5.18▼ −3.60%▼ −4.76%$4.34 (+13.20%)
Apr 30, 2026
22w ago
Press Release
NEUTRAL ★ 2/10
$4.82 $5.14▲ +6.64%▲ +4.29%$4.34 (−9.96%)
Apr 7, 2026
25w ago
Press Release
BULLISH ★ 6/10
$4.41 $5.07▲ +14.97%▲ +9.64%$4.34 (−1.59%)
Showing 10 of 12

US Market Status

Market Closed — Opens Mon (64h 36m)

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