8-K ·Filed May 7, 2026

XPOF

Xponential Fitness, Inc.
BEARISH
Impact 7/10
Horizonweeks Processed4mo ago SEC0001193125-26-212028
8-K Item 2.02: Earnings release
Actionable Insight ▼ Bearish

Revenue and same-store sales are declining sharply, and the company is burning cash. The reiterated guidance implies no near-term inflection. Monitor Q2 2026 for any signs of stabilization in same-store sales and franchise license sales. The heavy debt load ($523.7M) relative to cash ($21.5M) and negative equity ($372M) makes this a high-risk name.

DirectionBearish
Confidencehigh
Horizonweeks
Final — all horizons settled through T+60d
XPOF ▲ +19.29% at T+60d
SHORT call ✗ call lost -19.29% · α vs SPY -14.45% · entry $5.60 → $6.68
Entry anchored
May 7, 2026
via day open
T+1d
-7.50%
call +7.50% · α +7.73%
$5.18
settled 5mo ago
T+5d
-8.75%
call +8.75% · α +10.21%
$5.11
settled 5mo ago
T+20d
-4.64%
call +4.64% · α +4.67%
$5.34
settled 4mo ago
T+60d
+19.29%
call -19.29% · α -14.45%
$6.68
settled 8w ago

Price Chart

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Executive Summary

Xponential Fitness reported Q1 2026 revenue of $60.7M, down 21% YoY, and a GAAP net loss of $0.02 per share, narrowing from a $0.10 loss in Q1 2025. Same-store sales declined 6% and Adjusted EBITDA fell 25% to $20.4M. The company reiterated its full-year 2026 guidance, which calls for a 16% revenue decline and 6% Adjusted EBITDA decline at the midpoint, signaling continued contraction.

Key Financial Metrics

EPS
$-0.02
est $0.10 · -120.0%
Revenue
$60.7M
est $63.8M · -4.8% · -21.0% YoY
Rating
strong miss
Guidance
$260.0M-$270.0M
maintained
Free Cash Flow
-$22.2M

Key Facts

  • Revenue of $60.7M decreased 21% YoY from $76.9M
  • GAAP net loss of $0.02 per share vs $0.10 loss in Q1 2025
  • North America same-store sales declined 6% vs +6% growth in Q1 2025
  • Adjusted EBITDA of $20.4M, down 25% from $27.3M
  • Full-year 2026 guidance reiterated: revenue $260-270M (down 16% at midpoint), Adjusted EBITDA $100-110M (down 6% at midpoint)
  • Net cash used in operating activities was $21.7M vs $5.8M provided in Q1 2025
  • Total long-term debt of $523.7M vs $21.5M cash; stockholders' deficit of $372M
  • Equipment revenue down 61% YoY; merchandise revenue down 90% YoY due to logistics model change

Financial Impact

Revenue decline of 21% YoY ($60.7M vs $76.9M); Adjusted EBITDA decline of 25% ($20.4M vs $27.3M); operating cash burn of $21.7M

revenuesame-store salesAdjusted EBITDAoperating cash flowequipment revenuemerchandise revenue

Risk Factors

  • Continued same-store sales decline (6% drop in Q1) signals weakening franchisee unit economics
  • Operating cash burn of $21.7M in Q1; cash balance fell from $45.9M to $21.5M in one quarter
  • Total debt of $523.7M vs market cap of $326M — highly leveraged balance sheet
  • Revenue guidance implies another 16% decline for full year 2026; no catalyst for reversal visible

Market Snapshot

Exchange
NYSE
Sector
Services-Miscellaneous Amusement & Recreation
Analyst Consensus
44% bullish (16 analysts)

Investment Themes

Services

Documents Analyzed

This report is based on 6 SEC documents filed with EDGAR.

DocumentAccession Number
8-K Filing (Primary)0001193125-26-212028
Document: d63903d8k.htm0001193125-26-212028
Document: 0001193125-26-212028-index-headers.html0001193125-26-212028
Document: 0001193125-26-212028-index.html0001193125-26-212028
Document: 0001193125-26-212028.txt0001193125-26-212028
8-K Data (Synthetic)0001193125-26-212028
5 reports for XPOF
Performance horizon

Track record builds as more directional reports settle.

Filters
Rows
Reports for XPOF — sortable, filterable
TypeNow
Aug 6, 2026
8w ago
8-K
BEARISH ★ 7/10
$5.03 $4.91▲ +2.39%▲ +1.99%$4.70 (+6.56%)
May 18, 2026
19w ago
8-K
NEUTRAL ★ 3/10
$4.57 $6.79▲ +48.58%▲ +47.00%$4.70 (+2.84%)
May 14, 2026
20w ago
8-K
BEARISH ★ 5/10
$5.11 $6.47▼ −26.61%▼ −27.47%$4.70 (+8.02%)
May 7, 2026
21w ago
8-K
BEARISH ★ 7/10
$5.60 $5.34▲ +4.64%▲ +4.67%$4.70 (+16.07%)
Apr 8, 2026
25w ago
3
NEUTRAL ★ 2/10
$7.35 $6.52▼ −11.29%▼ −19.84%$4.70 (−36.05%)
Showing 5 of 5

US Market Status

Market Closed — Opens Mon (64h 34m)

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