8-K ·Filed Aug 6, 2026

XPOF

Xponential Fitness, Inc.
BEARISH
Impact 7/10
Horizonweeks Processed1mo ago SEC0001193125-26-338374
8-K Item 2.02: Earnings release
Actionable Insight ▼ Bearish

The downward revision to full-year guidance across revenue, EBITDA, and system-wide sales signals worsening core franchise health and a lack of near-term catalysts. Traders should watch for further deterioration in same-store sales trends and any liquidity stress given the $10M line-of-credit draw and negative operating cash flow.

DirectionBearish
Confidencehigh
Horizonweeks
Latest settled — T+20d
XPOF ▼ -2.39% at T+20d
SHORT call ✓ call won +2.39% · α vs SPY +1.99% · entry $5.03 → $4.91
Next anchor: T+60d in 28d
Latest observation: T+38 +28.15% FF3 residual α
Entry anchored
Aug 6, 04:59 PM ET
via 1-min bar
T+1d
-1.19%
call +1.19% · α +1.16%
$4.97
settled 8w ago
T+5d
-3.18%
call +3.18% · α +3.58%
$4.87
settled 7w ago
T+20d
-2.39%
call +2.39% · α +1.99%
$4.91
settled 29d ago
T+60d
—
call — · α —
—
in 28d

Price Chart

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Executive Summary

Xponential Fitness reported Q2 2026 revenue of $66.0M (-13% YoY) and a GAAP net loss of $4.8M, swinging from a $1.3M profit in Q2 2025. Same-store sales declined 6.8% (vs +2.4% a year ago). The company revised its full-year 2026 guidance downward across all key metrics: revenue cut to $250-260M (from $260-270M), Adjusted EBITDA to $91-97M (from $100-110M), and system-wide sales to $1.70-1.75B. The deteriorating core operating trends and lowered outlook are clearly bearish for the stock.

Key Financial Metrics

EPS
$-0.04
est $0.13 · -130.8%
Revenue
$66.0M
est $64.4M · +2.4% · -13.4% YoY
Rating
strong miss
Guidance
$250.0 million to $260.0 million
lowered

Key Facts

  • Revenue of $66.0M decreased 13% YoY.
  • North America same-store sales decreased 6.8%, compared to growth of 2.4% in Q2 2025.
  • GAAP net loss of $4.8M vs net income of $1.3M in Q2 2025.
  • Adjusted EBITDA fell 22% to $21.9M from $28.1M.
  • Full-year 2026 guidance revised down: revenue to $250-260M (from $260-270M), Adjusted EBITDA to $91-97M (from $100-110M), system-wide sales to $1.70-1.75B (from $1.72-1.80B).
  • Net cash used in operating activities was $25.7M for the quarter, vs $8.3M provided in the prior year period.
  • Borrowed $10M on line of credit during the quarter.

Financial Impact

Revenue decline of 13% YoY and a $7M swing from net income to net loss; full-year guidance lowered by ~$10M at the midpoint for both revenue and Adjusted EBITDA.

revenuenet incomeadjusted EBITDAsame-store salesoperating cash flow

Risk Factors

  • Continued same-store sales decline could further pressure franchise revenue and system-wide sales.
  • High debt load ($522.4M) combined with negative operating cash flow raises liquidity concerns.
  • Execution risk on management's turnaround plan amid declining studio-level economics.

Market Snapshot

Exchange
NYSE
Sector
Services-Miscellaneous Amusement & Recreation
Analyst Consensus
47% bullish (15 analysts)

Investment Themes

Services

Documents Analyzed

This report is based on 6 SEC documents filed with EDGAR.

DocumentAccession Number
8-K Filing (Primary)0001193125-26-338374
Document: d328551d8k.htm0001193125-26-338374
Document: 0001193125-26-338374-index-headers.html0001193125-26-338374
Document: 0001193125-26-338374-index.html0001193125-26-338374
Document: 0001193125-26-338374.txt0001193125-26-338374
8-K Data (Synthetic)0001193125-26-338374
5 reports for XPOF
Performance horizon

Track record builds as more directional reports settle.

Filters
Rows
Reports for XPOF — sortable, filterable
TypeNow
Aug 6, 2026
8w ago
8-K
BEARISH ★ 7/10
$5.03 $4.91▲ +2.39%▲ +1.99%$4.70 (+6.56%)
May 18, 2026
19w ago
8-K
NEUTRAL ★ 3/10
$4.57 $6.79▲ +48.58%▲ +47.00%$4.70 (+2.84%)
May 14, 2026
20w ago
8-K
BEARISH ★ 5/10
$5.11 $6.47▼ −26.61%▼ −27.47%$4.70 (+8.02%)
May 7, 2026
21w ago
8-K
BEARISH ★ 7/10
$5.60 $5.34▲ +4.64%▲ +4.67%$4.70 (+16.07%)
Apr 8, 2026
25w ago
3
NEUTRAL ★ 2/10
$7.35 $6.52▼ −11.29%▼ −19.84%$4.70 (−36.05%)
Showing 5 of 5

US Market Status

Market Closed — Opens Mon (64h 36m)

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