8-K ·Filed Apr 30, 2026

XPO

XPO, Inc.
BULLISH
Impact 7/10
Horizonweeks Processed5mo ago SEC0001104659-26-052080
8-K context-dependent: Items 7.01
Actionable Insight ▲ Bullish

XPO's Q1 results significantly exceeded the prior year across all key metrics, with LTL margins expanding sharply. The 2027 targets imply continued margin expansion. Traders should watch for the upcoming 10-Q filing for full GAAP details and any analyst estimate revisions following this strong operational update.

DirectionBullish
Confidencehigh
Horizonweeks
Final — all horizons settled through T+60d ⚠ clustered
XPO ▼ -2.75% at T+60d
LONG call ✗ call lost -2.75% · α vs SPY -5.57% · entry $219.03 → $213.01
Entry anchored
Apr 30, 2026
via day open
T+1d
-1.81%
call -1.81% · α -2.03%
$215.06
settled 5mo ago
T+5d
-6.07%
call -6.07% · α -7.80%
$205.74
settled 5mo ago
T+20d
-2.64%
call -2.64% · α -7.87%
$213.25
settled 4mo ago
T+60d
-2.75%
call -2.75% · α -5.57%
$213.01
settled 2mo ago

Price Chart

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Executive Summary

XPO released an investor presentation for Q1 2026, reporting strong financial results: revenue up 7% YoY to $2.10B, adjusted EBITDA up 15% YoY to $319M, and diluted EPS up 47% YoY to $0.85. The LTL segment showed particular strength with adjusted operating ratio improving 200 bps YoY to 83.9%. The company also provided 2026 planning assumptions including gross capex of $500M-$600M and interest expense of $205M-$215M.

Key Facts

  • Q1 2026 revenue of $2.10 billion, up 7% YoY
  • Q1 2026 adjusted EBITDA of $319 million, up 15% YoY
  • Q1 2026 diluted EPS of $0.85, up 47% YoY
  • Q1 2026 adjusted diluted EPS of $1.01, up 38% YoY
  • LTL adjusted operating ratio improved to 83.9%, down 200 bps YoY
  • LTL adjusted EBITDA up 16% YoY to $290 million
  • North American LTL revenue of $1.23 billion, up 4.9% YoY
  • European Transportation revenue of $868 million
  • Cash flow from operating activities of $183 million
  • 2026 planning assumptions: gross capex $500M-$600M, interest expense $205M-$215M, pension income ~$14M, adjusted effective tax rate 23%-24%, diluted share count ~118M
  • LTL targets 2021-2027: revenue CAGR 6%-8%, adjusted EBITDA CAGR 11%-13%, adjusted operating ratio improvement of at least 600 bps

Financial Impact

Revenue $2.10B, Adjusted EBITDA $319M, Diluted EPS $0.85 — all showing strong YoY growth

revenueadjusted EBITDAdiluted EPSadjusted diluted EPSLTL adjusted operating ratiocash flow from operations

Risk Factors

  • Freight market recovery may not materialize as expected
  • Execution risk on LTL margin expansion targets
  • Potential macroeconomic headwinds affecting transportation demand
  • Integration risks from any future acquisitions or divestitures

Market Snapshot

Exchange
NYSE
Sector
Transportation Services
Analyst Consensus
77% bullish (30 analysts)

Investment Themes

Industrials & Manufacturing

Documents Analyzed

This report is based on 5 SEC documents filed with EDGAR.

DocumentAccession Number
8-K Filing (Primary)0001104659-26-052080
Document: tm2612963d2_8k.htm0001104659-26-052080
Document: 0001104659-26-052080-index-headers.html0001104659-26-052080
Document: 0001104659-26-052080-index.html0001104659-26-052080
Document: 0001104659-26-052080.txt0001104659-26-052080
19 reports for XPO
Performance horizon
60% Hit rate 3 of 5 directional calls best @ T+5▲ +6.07%Apr 30, 2026
Filters
Rows
Reports for XPO — sortable, filterable
TypeNow
Sep 15, 2026
16d ago
Insider Cluster
NEUTRAL ★ 2/10
$174.41 $179.92▲ +3.16%▲ +0.60%$186.21 (+6.77%)
Sep 9, 2026
22d ago
Press Release
BULLISH ★ 6/10
$182.34 $175.34▼ −3.84%▼ −3.34%$186.21 (+2.12%)
Sep 3, 2026
28d ago
Press Release
NEUTRAL ★ 2/10
$193.10 $180.49▼ −6.53%▼ −5.32%$186.21 (−3.57%)
Aug 18, 2026
6w ago
Press Release
NEUTRAL ★ 2/10
$202.72 $191.93▼ −5.32%▼ −5.12%$186.21 (−8.14%)
Jul 30, 2026
9w ago
8-K
NEUTRAL ★ 4/10
$199.26 $196.35▼ −1.46%▼ −5.08%$186.21 (−6.55%)
Jul 30, 2026
9w ago
8-K
BULLISH ★ 7/10
$199.26 $196.35▼ −1.46%▼ −5.08%$186.21 (−6.55%)
Jul 30, 2026
9w ago
Press Release
BULLISH ★ 7/10
$199.26 $196.35▼ −1.46%▼ −5.08%$186.21 (−6.55%)
Jul 27, 2026
9w ago
8-K
NEUTRAL ★ 2/10
$208.20 $200.97▼ −3.47%▼ −4.55%$186.21 (−10.56%)
Jun 4, 2026
17w ago
Press Release
NEUTRAL ★ 2/10
$218.14 $227.65▲ +4.36%▲ +6.92%$186.21 (−14.64%)
Jun 3, 2026
17w ago
8-K
NEUTRAL ★ 4/10
$218.14 $227.65▲ +4.36%▲ +6.92%$186.21 (−14.64%)
Showing 10 of 19

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