SecBot SecBot
8-K ·Filed Oct 29, 2026

XPO

XPO, Inc.
BULLISH
Impact 6/10
Horizonweeks Processed3d 16h ago SEC0001104659-26-119829
8-K context-dependent: Items 7.01
Actionable Insight ▲ Bullish

The strong Q3 results and improved margins across both LTL and European segments suggest the company's operational initiatives are gaining traction. Monitor the Q4 2026 earnings for continued margin expansion and whether the LTL adjusted operating ratio can sustain improvement toward the 2027 target of at least 600 bps improvement from 2021 levels.

DirectionBullish
Confidencehigh
Horizonweeks
Latest settled: T+1d ⚠ clustered
XPO ▲ +3.58% at T+1d
LONG call ✓ call won +3.58% · α vs SPY +5.36% · entry $183.01 → $189.57
Next anchor: T+5d in 3d
Entry = T+0 close
Oct 29, 2026
via day close
T+1d
+3.58%
call +3.58% · α +5.36%
$189.57
settled 3d ago
T+5d
Pending
in 3d
T+20d
Pending
in 25d
T+60d
Pending
in 3mo

Price Chart

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Executive Summary

XPO released an investor presentation for Q3 2026, highlighting strong financial results: revenue up 12% YoY, adjusted EBITDA up 27% YoY, and adjusted diluted EPS up 59% YoY. The LTL segment showed particular strength with a 260 bps improvement in adjusted operating ratio to 80.1% and tonnage per day up 5% YoY. The filing also provided 2026 planning assumptions including gross capex of $500M-$600M and an adjusted effective tax rate of 23%-24%.

Key Facts

  • Q3 2026 revenue of $2.37 billion, up 12% YoY
  • Q3 2026 adjusted EBITDA of $433 million, up 27% YoY
  • Q3 2026 adjusted diluted EPS of $1.70, up 59% YoY
  • North American LTL adjusted operating ratio improved to 80.1% from 82.7% YoY
  • LTL tonnage per day up 5% YoY
  • European transportation adjusted EBITDA up 26% YoY
  • Full year 2026 planning assumptions: gross capex $500M-$600M, interest expense $205M-$215M, adjusted effective tax rate 23%-24%, diluted share count ~118 million
  • LTL yield excluding fuel improved 3.6% YoY in Q3 2026
  • LTL damage claims ratio below 0.2%

Financial Impact

Revenue grew 12% YoY to $2.37B, adjusted EBITDA grew 27% YoY to $433M, adjusted diluted EPS grew 59% YoY to $1.70. LTL segment adjusted operating income up 35% YoY.

revenueadjusted EBITDAadjusted diluted EPSadjusted operating ratiotonnage per day

Risk Factors

  • Forward-looking statements subject to risks including supply chain disruptions, cost inflation, labor shortages, and freight market conditions
  • Fuel surcharge revenue volatility may impact reported revenue comparisons
  • Restructuring costs and transaction costs may affect GAAP results

Market Snapshot

Exchange
NYSE
Sector
Transportation Services
Analyst Consensus
73% bullish (30 analysts)

Investment Themes

Industrials & Manufacturing

Documents Analyzed

This report is based on 5 SEC documents filed with EDGAR.

DocumentAccession Number
8-K Filing (Primary)0001104659-26-119829
Document: tm2628363d2_8k.htm0001104659-26-119829
Document: 0001104659-26-119829-index-headers.html0001104659-26-119829
Document: 0001104659-26-119829-index.html0001104659-26-119829
Document: 0001104659-26-119829.txt0001104659-26-119829
26 reports for XPO
Performance horizon
80% Hit rate @ T+1 4 of 5 directional calls Went positive at some point 4 of 5 best @ T+5▲ +6.07%Apr 30, 2026
Filters
Rows
Reports for XPO, sortable and filterable
TypeNow
Oct 29, 2026
3d ago
8-K
BULLISH ★ 6/10
$183.01 $189.57▲ +3.58%▲ +5.36%$189.57 (+3.58%)
Oct 29, 2026
3d ago
8-K
BULLISH ★ 6/10
No priceawaiting T+1awaiting T+1No price
Oct 29, 2026
3d ago
Press Release
BULLISH ★ 6/10
$183.01 $189.57▲ +3.58%▲ +5.36%$189.57 (+3.58%)
Oct 26, 2026
6d ago
Institutional Cluster
NEUTRAL ★ 2/10
$182.32 $187.92▲ +3.07%▲ +2.51%$189.57 (+3.98%)
Oct 2, 2026
4w ago
Insider Cluster
BEARISH ★ 4/10
$186.09 $182.86▲ +1.74%▲ +2.41%$189.57 (−1.87%)
Oct 1, 2026
4w ago
Press Release
NEUTRAL ★ 3/10
$179.73 $186.09▲ +3.54%▲ +2.80%$189.57 (+5.47%)
Sep 21, 2026
5w ago
Press Release
NEUTRAL ★ 2/10
$174.34 $177.67▲ +1.91%▲ +1.93%$189.57 (+8.74%)
Sep 15, 2026
6w ago
Insider Cluster
NEUTRAL ★ 2/10
$174.41 $175.34▲ +0.53%▼ −0.60%$189.57 (+8.69%)
Sep 9, 2026
7w ago
Press Release
NEUTRAL ★ 1/10
$182.34awaiting T+1awaiting T+1$189.57 (+3.97%)
Sep 3, 2026
8w ago
Press Release
NEUTRAL ★ 2/10
$193.10 $190.06▼ −1.57%▼ −1.03%$189.57 (−1.83%)
Showing 10 of 26

US Market Status

Market Closed · Opens Tue (10h 52m)

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Report published Oct 29, 2026