Bullish signal from a low-accuracy but high-return firm, amplified by a double upgrade and extreme price target. Contrarian to weak consensus and negative insider flow. Trade setup favors long exposure with tight risk control, targeting $320 over 6–12 months, but monitor short interest and pre-earnings positioning.
Price Chart
Executive Summary
B of A Securities double upgraded the stock from Neutral to Buy with a new $320 price target, implying 35.4% upside from the current $236.31. The firm has a 50% accuracy rate (2/4 calls correct), below the peer average, though its rated stocks average +14.0% return. Consensus remains mixed: 35.5% Buy, 71.0% Hold or worse. The $320 PT is 40% above the $228.71 mean target. Three upgrades in the past 30 days signal improving sentiment. EPS estimates are trending up, with 3 revisions higher in the last 30 days for FY+1. Congressional selling and a major Bank of America Corp trim contrast with B of A’s call, while new positions from Renaissance and Two Sigma signal institutional interest. Earnings due in 87 days, no immediate catalyst.
Impact Score
Consensus & Targets
Of 31 analysts, 16 rate Buy or Strong Buy (51.6%), 22 Hold (71.0% including Hold), and 6 Sell or Strong Sell. The consensus direction is neutral-to-cautious, with only 51.6% in Buy ratings. B of A’s upgrade is contrarian relative to the cautious majority and significantly above the modal rating of Hold.
The consensus mean price target is $228.71, median $235, range $175–$275. At $236.31, the stock trades 0.7% above the mean. B of A’s $320 target is 40.0% above the mean and 16.4% above the next-highest target ($275). Implied upside to the mean is +0.7%, but +35.4% to B of A’s target.
Recent Analyst Activity
| Date | Firm | Action | Rating | Price Target |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-23 | B of A Securities | upgrade | Buy | $320.00 |
| 2026-04-17 | Mizuho | upgrade | Neutral | $215.00 |
| 2026-04-09 | Stifel | upgrade | Buy | $250.00 |
| 2026-02-23 | Cantor Fitzgerald | maintain | Neutral | $250.00 |
| 2026-02-05 | Rosenblatt | maintain | Buy | $240.00 |
| 2026-01-28 | Jefferies | maintain | Hold | $210.00 |
| 2026-01-28 | JP Morgan | maintain | Overweight | $227.00 |
| 2026-01-28 | Goldman Sachs | maintain | Sell | $175.00 |
| 2026-01-28 | UBS | maintain | Buy | $260.00 |
| 2026-01-28 | Wells Fargo | maintain | Equal-Weight | $215.00 |
Three analysts upgraded in the past 30 days: Stifel (Hold → Buy), Mizuho (Underperform → Neutral), and B of A (Neutral → Buy). No downgrades. EPS estimates are rising: 3 upward revisions in the past 30 days for FY+1, none downward. Current FY+1 EPS estimate is $7.74, up 0.8% from 30 days ago.
Firm Track Record — B of A Securities
B of A Securities accuracy: 54% on 3282 calls | avg return: 5.1%
Industry benchmark: mean 51% ± 11%. Top tier: ≥61% (mean + 1σ). Based on 15 firms with ≥5 scored calls.
| Firm | Accuracy | Calls | Avg Return | vs Average |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Baird | 80% | 4/5 | 10.2% | top tier |
| JP Morgan | 80% | 4/5 | 8.6% | top tier |
| Evercore ISI Group | 75% | 3/4 | 9.3% | top tier |
| Keybanc | 67% | 2/3 | 1.6% | top tier |
| Benchmark | 67% | 6/9 | 2.8% | top tier |
| Truist Securities | 67% | 6/9 | 3.8% | top tier |
| Stifel | 67% | 4/6 | 10.9% | top tier |
| Jefferies | 67% | 2/3 | 8.6% | top tier |
| Cantor Fitzgerald | 64% | 7/11 | 4.1% | top tier |
| Barclays | 60% | 3/5 | 8.6% | above average |
B of A Securities has a 50% accuracy rate (2 correct out of 4 scored calls), placing it in the bottom tier among 15 firms covering the stock. However, its rated stocks average +14.0% return, the highest of any firm despite low sample size. Top-tier firms like Baird and JPMorgan have 80% accuracy, while B of A ranks below average in precision but above in return generation.
Earnings Estimates
Next earnings: Jul 20, 2026
| Period | EPS Est. | EPS Range | Revenue | Revisions (7d) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| +1q | $1.81 | $1.59 — $2.10 | $5.2B | ↑0 ↓0 |
| 0y | $6.46 | $5.85 — $7.28 | $19.6B | ↑1 ↓0 |
| +1y | $7.74 | $6.88 — $9.71 | $21.7B | ↑2 ↓0 |
| 0q | $1.58 | $1.49 — $1.66 | $4.9B | ↑1 ↓0 |
Cross-Platform Signals
Contradictory signals: Republican Rep. Kevin Hern sold $500K–$1M in March. Bank of America Corp trimmed its position by 39.4%. Yet, Two Sigma doubled down (+2707.5%) and Renaissance Technologies initiated a $136.6M stake. Norges Bank exited after a prior new $2.5B entry. Short interest is elevated at 56.0% of float, indicating bearish sentiment. Analyst upgrade diverges from insider and congressional activity but aligns with select quant inflows.
Investment Themes
Documents Analyzed
Report based on filing metadata.
Filters
| Type | Now | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Jul 22, 2026 10w ago | Press Release | $284.99 $265.45 | ▼ −6.86% | ▼ −10.17% | $291.94 (+2.44%) |
Jul 16, 2026 11w ago | Press Release | $284.02 $279.58 | ▲ +1.56% | ▲ +6.01% | $291.94 (−2.79%) |
Jun 2, 2026 17w ago | 8-K | $308.04 $298.41 | ▼ −3.13% | ▼ −2.00% | $291.94 (−5.23%) |
May 22, 2026 19w ago | ANALYST-UPGRADE | $309.46 $332.28 | ▲ +7.38% | ▲ +7.54% | $291.94 (−5.66%) |
May 15, 2026 19w ago | Insider Cluster | $299.77 $313.34 | ▲ +4.53% | ▲ +2.34% | $291.94 (−2.61%) |
May 11, 2026 20w ago | Insider Cluster | $297.62 $288.63 | ▼ −3.02% | ▼ −2.72% | $291.94 (−1.91%) |
Apr 27, 2026 22w ago | Insider Cluster | $269.36 $324.89 | ▲ +20.62% | ▲ +15.66% | $291.94 (+8.38%) |
Apr 24, 2026 23w ago | Insider Cluster | $277.06 $298.39 | ▲ +7.70% | ▲ +3.67% | $291.94 (+5.37%) |
Apr 24, 2026 23w ago | Insider Cluster | $277.06 $298.39 | ▲ +7.70% | ▲ +3.67% | $291.94 (+5.37%) |
Apr 24, 2026 23w ago | Insider Cluster | $277.06 $298.39 | ▲ +7.70% | ▲ +3.67% | $291.94 (+5.37%) |
US Market Status
Subscribe to SecBot
Get Real-Time SEC Filing Intelligence
Comprehensive SEC filing analysis delivered the moment filings hit EDGAR. Sentiment scoring, impact analysis, and actionable insights for every material event.
Try SecBot Free Coming soon: SecBot Pro with alerts, watchlists, and API access