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6-K ·Filed Aug 11, 2026

TSM

TAIWAN SEMICONDUCTOR MANUFACTURING CO LTD
BULLISH
Impact 5/10
Horizonmonths Processed2mo ago SEC0001046179-26-000539
Notable filing: 6-K
Actionable Insight ▲ Bullish

The definitive agreement removes uncertainty from the preliminary May 2026 announcement, but production is not until 2029. Monitor regulatory approvals and phased investment updates. Near-term stock movement is likely muted given the long time horizon and TSMC's massive scale.

DirectionBullish
Confidencehigh
Horizonmonths
Latest settled — T+20d ⚠ clustered
TSM ▲ +3.15% at T+20d
LONG call ✓ call won +3.15% · α vs SPY +4.21% · entry $422.06 → $435.36
Next anchor: T+60d in 8d
Latest observation: T+52 +12.53% FF3 residual α
Entry = T+0 close
Aug 11, 2026
via day close
T+1d
+1.68%
call +1.68% · α +1.43%
$429.15
settled 3mo ago
T+5d
-2.05%
call -2.05% · α -1.65%
$413.41
settled 2mo ago
T+20d
+3.15%
call +3.15% · α +4.21%
$435.36
settled 7w ago
T+60d
Pending
in 8d

Price Chart

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Executive Summary

TSMC and Sony Semiconductor Solutions signed a definitive agreement to form a joint venture (Advanced Vision Semiconductor Manufacturing Corporation) in Kumamoto, Japan, for next-generation image sensor production. TSMC will contribute approximately 282 billion yen, with Sony contributing ~465 billion yen; volume production is targeted for 2029, subject to regulatory approvals. The JV solidifies TSMC's strategic partnership with a key customer but has no near-term revenue impact.

Key Facts

  • TSMC to contribute approximately 282 billion yen to the JV via phased cash contributions.
  • Sony to contribute approximately 465 billion yen through cash and asset transfers.
  • JV named Advanced Vision Semiconductor Manufacturing Corporation, located in Koshi City, Kumamoto, Japan.
  • Volume production expected to commence in 2029.
  • Sony will be the sole controlling shareholder and the JV will be a consolidated subsidiary of Sony Group.
  • Transaction subject to regulatory approvals and customary closing conditions.

Financial Impact

TSMC's phased cash contribution of ~282 billion yen (approx. $1.9B at current rates) is moderate relative to TSMC's $2.17T market cap; no immediate revenue or earnings impact.

capital expenditurelong-term revenue growth potential

Risk Factors

  • Regulatory approval delays or denial in Japan or other jurisdictions.
  • Execution risk in ramping advanced image sensor manufacturing.
  • Demand risk for smartphone image sensors by 2029.

Market Snapshot

Exchange
OTC
Sector
Semiconductors & Related Devices
Analyst Consensus
95% bullish (43 analysts)

Investment Themes

Documents Analyzed

This report is based on 4 SEC documents filed with EDGAR.

DocumentAccession Number
6-K Filing (Primary)0001046179-26-000539
Document: 0001046179-26-000539-index-headers.html0001046179-26-000539
Document: 0001046179-26-000539-index.html0001046179-26-000539
Document: 0001046179-26-000539.txt0001046179-26-000539
42 reports for TSM
Performance horizon
82% Hit rate @ T+20 9 of 11 directional calls Went positive at some point 11 of 13 best @ T+60▲ +39.31%Mar 30, 2026
Filters
Rows
Reports for TSM — sortable, filterable
TypeNow
Oct 22, 2026
4d ago
Institutional Cluster
MIXED ★ 3/10
$418.51awaiting T+20—$436.90 (+4.40%)
Oct 22, 2026
5d ago
6-K
NEUTRAL ★ 2/10
$412.35awaiting T+20—$436.90 (+5.95%)
Oct 15, 2026
12d ago
6-K
BULLISH ★ 7/10
$422.25awaiting T+20—$436.90 (+3.47%)
Oct 12, 2026
15d ago
Institutional Cluster
MIXED ★ 4/10
$444.35awaiting T+20—$436.90 (−1.68%)
Oct 8, 2026
19d ago
6-K
BULLISH ★ 6/10
$457.99awaiting T+20—$436.90 (−4.60%)
Sep 24, 2026
4w ago
6-K
NEUTRAL ★ 4/10
$451.15 $412.35▼ −8.60%▼ −8.18%$436.90 (−3.16%)
Sep 10, 2026
6w ago
6-K
BULLISH ★ 6/10
$428.03 $457.99▲ +7.00%▲ +4.88%$436.90 (+2.07%)
Sep 9, 2026
6w ago
Insider Cluster
NEUTRAL ★ 3/10
$435.36 $472.20▲ +8.46%▲ +6.52%$436.90 (+0.35%)
Sep 4, 2026
7w ago
Insider Cluster
BULLISH ★ 4/10
$428.91 $485.80▲ +13.26%▲ +12.66%$436.90 (+1.86%)
Sep 1, 2026
8w ago
6-K
NEUTRAL ★ 1/10
$414.00 $456.19▲ +10.19%▲ +9.87%$436.90 (+5.53%)
Showing 10 of 42

US Market Status

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Report published Aug 11, 2026