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6-K ·Filed Aug 10, 2026

TSM

TAIWAN SEMICONDUCTOR MANUFACTURING CO LTD
BULLISH
Impact 6/10
Horizonweeks Processed2mo ago SEC0001046179-26-000471
Notable filing: 6-K
Actionable Insight ▲ Bullish

This is the second consecutive monthly revenue acceleration — watch the Q3 2026 earnings release for formal guidance and margin data. The strong July print supports bullish sentiment into the quarter-end report.

DirectionBullish
Confidencehigh
Horizonweeks
Latest settled — T+20d ⚠ clustered
TSM ▲ +4.91% at T+20d
LONG call ✓ call won +4.91% · α vs SPY +5.82% · entry $418.47 → $439.00
Next anchor: T+60d in 6d
Latest observation: T+53 +14.45% FF3 residual α
Entry = T+0 close
Aug 10, 2026
via day close
T+1d
+0.86%
call +0.86% · α +1.18%
$422.06
settled 3mo ago
T+5d
+2.93%
call +2.93% · α +2.98%
$430.75
settled 2mo ago
T+20d
+4.91%
call +4.91% · α +5.82%
$439.00
settled 7w ago
T+60d
Pending
in 6d

Price Chart

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Executive Summary

TSMC reported July 2026 net revenue of NT$467.58 billion, up 44.7% year-over-year and 5.6% month-over-month. Year-to-date revenue through July reached NT$2,872.06 billion, a 37.0% increase versus the same period in 2025. The filing also disclosed routine updates on intercompany lending, guarantees, and derivative positions.

Key Facts

  • July 2026 net revenue: NT$467.58 billion, +44.7% YoY, +5.6% MoM
  • January-July 2026 net revenue: NT$2,872.06 billion, +37.0% YoY
  • YoY revenue growth accelerated to 44.7% in July from the 37.0% seven-month cumulative pace
  • Sequential revenue growth of 5.6% MoM suggests continued strong demand
  • Routine disclosures on funds lent to subsidiaries, guarantees, and derivative contracts with no material changes
  • Cumulative realized loss on TSMC's expired FX forward contracts was NT$7.2 billion

Financial Impact

Monthly revenue of NT$467.6B represents a 44.7% YoY increase, with YTD revenue up 37.0%

revenue

Risk Factors

  • Revenue outperformance may reflect one-time shipments (e.g., advanced-node ramp for a single large customer) rather than broad-based demand
  • Fx and derivative losses, if they persist, could modestly pressure net income in future quarters
  • Geopolitical risks to TSMC's global fab expansion and customer concentration remain unaddressed in this operational filing

Market Snapshot

Exchange
OTC
Sector
Semiconductors & Related Devices
Analyst Consensus
95% bullish (43 analysts)

Investment Themes

Documents Analyzed

This report is based on 4 SEC documents filed with EDGAR.

DocumentAccession Number
6-K Filing (Primary)0001046179-26-000471
Document: 0001046179-26-000471-index-headers.html0001046179-26-000471
Document: 0001046179-26-000471-index.html0001046179-26-000471
Document: 0001046179-26-000471.txt0001046179-26-000471
43 reports for TSM
Performance horizon
82% Hit rate @ T+20 9 of 11 directional calls Went positive at some point 11 of 13 best @ T+60▲ +39.31%Mar 30, 2026
Filters
Rows
Reports for TSM — sortable, filterable
TypeNow
Oct 27, 2026
today
SC 13G
NEUTRAL ★ 3/10
$436.20awaiting T+20—$436.87 (+0.15%)
Oct 22, 2026
5d ago
Institutional Cluster
MIXED ★ 3/10
$418.51awaiting T+20—$436.87 (+4.39%)
Oct 22, 2026
5d ago
6-K
NEUTRAL ★ 2/10
$412.35awaiting T+20—$436.87 (+5.95%)
Oct 15, 2026
12d ago
6-K
BULLISH ★ 7/10
$422.25awaiting T+20—$436.87 (+3.46%)
Oct 12, 2026
15d ago
Institutional Cluster
MIXED ★ 4/10
$444.35awaiting T+20—$436.87 (−1.68%)
Oct 8, 2026
19d ago
6-K
BULLISH ★ 6/10
$457.99awaiting T+20—$436.87 (−4.61%)
Sep 24, 2026
4w ago
6-K
NEUTRAL ★ 4/10
$451.15 $412.35▼ −8.60%▼ −8.18%$436.87 (−3.17%)
Sep 10, 2026
6w ago
6-K
BULLISH ★ 6/10
$428.03 $457.99▲ +7.00%▲ +4.88%$436.87 (+2.07%)
Sep 9, 2026
6w ago
Insider Cluster
NEUTRAL ★ 3/10
$435.36 $472.20▲ +8.46%▲ +6.52%$436.87 (+0.35%)
Sep 4, 2026
7w ago
Insider Cluster
BULLISH ★ 4/10
$428.91 $485.80▲ +13.26%▲ +12.66%$436.87 (+1.86%)
Showing 10 of 43

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Report published Aug 10, 2026