Insider Cluster (3 insiders) ·Filed Aug 5, 2026

TSCO

TRACTOR SUPPLY CO /DE/
NEUTRAL
Impact 4/10
Horizonweeks Processed1mo ago
Insider cluster: 3 insiders, $0.6M total
Actionable Insight • Neutral

The CEO's open-market purchase is a modest positive signal, but the dollar amount is too small to drive stock movement. Monitor for any upcoming earnings or material events that may have prompted the buying. Given the poor historical calibration on TSCO, do not overweight this cluster.

DirectionNeutral
Confidencemedium
Horizonweeks
Latest settled — T+20d ⚠ clustered
TSCO ▲ +4.34% at T+20d
NEUTRAL call ✓ call won +4.34% · α vs SPY +4.94% · entry $33.41 → $34.86
Next anchor: T+60d in 26d
Latest observation: T+38 -5.08% FF3 residual α
Entry anchored
Aug 4, 07:54 PM ET
via 1-min bar
T+1d
+2.04%
call +2.04% · α +2.20%
$34.09
settled 8w ago
T+5d
+9.04%
call +9.04% · α +8.69%
$36.43
settled 7w ago
T+20d
+4.34%
call +4.34% · α +4.94%
$34.86
settled 4w ago
T+60d
—
call — · α —
—
in 26d

Price Chart

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Executive Summary

Three TSCO insiders, including President & CEO Harry Lawton III, made open-market purchases totaling $568K (0.003% of market cap) on August 3-4, 2026, at prices around $32. This is a cluster of buys, which per academic literature is a stronger signal than individual buys. However, the total dollar value is trivial relative to TSCO's $18.4B market cap, and the historical calibration for this filing type shows a net negative average alpha at T+20, suggesting limited predictive power for this stock. The cluster is notable for the CEO's participation but not material in size.

Key Financial Metrics

Direction
buying
Total Value
$568.0K
Insiders
3

Key Facts

  • President & CEO Harry Lawton III purchased 12,900 shares for $417K on August 4, 2026.
  • Two directors (Edna Morris and Andre J. Hawaux) also made open-market purchases totaling $151K.
  • Total insider buying of $568K represents 0.003% of TSCO's $18.4B market cap.
  • The cluster is amplified by the presence of both insider trades and a late-filing context per the cross-filing actuarial verdicts.
  • Historical performance on TSCO shows a 33% win rate at T+20 across 9 settled reports, with an average alpha of +0.25%.

Financial Impact

Insider purchases of $568K are immaterial relative to $18.4B market cap (0.003%).

insider ownership

Risk Factors

  • Insider buying is trivial relative to market cap and may not be predictive.
  • Historical performance on TSCO shows a 33% win rate at T+20, suggesting limited edge.

Market Snapshot

Exchange
Nasdaq
Sector
Retail-Building Materials, Hardware, Garden Supply
Analyst Consensus
54% bullish (37 analysts)

Investment Themes

Consumer & Retail

Documents Analyzed

This report is based on 1 SEC document filed with EDGAR.

DocumentAccession Number
CLUSTER Data (Synthetic)cluster-TSCO-1786526772778
16 reports for TSCO
Performance horizon
80% Hit rate 4 of 5 directional calls best @ T+60▲ +21.63%Apr 21, 2026
Filters
Rows
Reports for TSCO — sortable, filterable
TypeNow
Aug 27, 2026
5w ago
Court Ruling
BEARISH ★ 5/10
$34.70 $31.44▲ +9.39%▲ +8.89%$31.41 (+9.50%)
Aug 19, 2026
6w ago
424B5
NEUTRAL ★ 4/10
$35.44 $33.03▼ −6.80%▼ −5.28%$31.41 (−11.39%)
Aug 17, 2026
6w ago
S-3ASR
NEUTRAL ★ 3/10
$34.68 $33.83▼ −2.45%▼ −0.93%$31.41 (−9.44%)
Aug 6, 2026
8w ago
8-K
NEUTRAL ★ 2/10
$34.09 $34.60▲ +1.50%▲ +0.90%$31.41 (−7.88%)
Aug 5, 2026
8w ago
Insider Cluster
NEUTRAL ★ 4/10
$33.41 $34.86▲ +4.34%▲ +4.94%$31.41 (−6.00%)
Aug 5, 2026
8w ago
Insider Cluster
NEUTRAL ★ 3/10
$33.41 $34.86▲ +4.34%▲ +4.94%$31.41 (−6.00%)
Aug 5, 2026
8w ago
Insider Cluster
NEUTRAL ★ 2/10
$33.41 $34.86▲ +4.34%▲ +4.94%$31.41 (−6.00%)
Jul 23, 2026
10w ago
8-K
BEARISH ★ 7/10
$30.32 $35.05▼ −15.60%▼ −12.29%$31.41 (−3.58%)
Jul 2, 2026
13w ago
Court Ruling
NEUTRAL ★ 2/10
$31.76 $30.21▼ −4.88%▼ −4.47%$31.41 (−1.12%)
May 28, 2026
18w ago
8-K
BULLISH ★ 6/10
$31.37 $31.21▼ −0.51%▲ +2.63%$31.41 (+0.11%)
Showing 10 of 16

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Report published Aug 12, 2026