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8-K ·Filed Oct 22, 2026

TSCO

TRACTOR SUPPLY CO /DE/
MIXED
Impact 5/10
Horizonweeks Processed5d 20h ago SEC0000916365-26-000069
8-K Item 2.02: Earnings release
Actionable Insight ◆ Mixed

The sequential improvement in comps (from -1.5% to +0.4%) and reaffirmed guidance provide a floor for the stock, but gross margin compression and operating deleverage remain headwinds. Watch Q4 for holiday-season demand and any further Petsense restructuring charges.

DirectionMixed
Confidencehigh
Horizonweeks
Latest settled: T+1d
TSCO ▼ -3.77% at T+1d
NEUTRAL call -3.77% · α vs SPY -3.25% · entry $34.73 → $33.42
Next anchor: T+5d tomorrow
Entry = T+0 close
Oct 22, 2026
via day close
T+1d
-3.77%
call -3.77% · α -3.25%
$33.42
settled 5d ago
T+5d
Pending
tomorrow
T+20d
Pending
in 22d
T+60d
Pending
in 3mo

Price Chart

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Executive Summary

Tractor Supply reported Q3 2026 EPS of $0.43, beating consensus of $0.40 by 7.5%, on revenue of $3.91B (5.1% YoY growth, slightly below the $4.02B estimate). Comparable store sales turned positive at +0.4% after a -1.5% decline in Q2, signaling sequential improvement. However, operating income fell 10.2% YoY and gross margin contracted 100 bps to 36.4%, reflecting cost pressures and price investments. The company reaffirmed its full-year 2026 guidance, which was previously lowered in Q2.

Key Financial Metrics

EPS
$0.43
est $0.40 · +7.5%
Revenue
$3.9B
est $4.0B · -2.7% · +5.1% YoY
Rating
beat
Guidance
+2.5% to +3.5%
maintained
Free Cash Flow
$231.0M
Gross Margin
36.44%

Key Facts

  • Q3 2026 EPS of $0.43 beat consensus of $0.40 by 7.5%
  • Revenue of $3.91B grew 5.1% YoY but missed the $4.02B consensus estimate
  • Comparable store sales increased 0.4% (vs. -1.5% in Q2 2026 and +3.9% in Q3 2025)
  • Gross margin contracted to 36.4% from 37.4% a year ago due to higher transportation/fuel costs and price investments
  • Operating income fell 10.2% YoY to $307.7M; net income fell 13.3% to $224.7M
  • Full-year 2026 guidance reaffirmed: net sales +2.5% to +3.5%, EPS $1.78-$1.88, adjusted EPS $1.90-$2.00
  • Company repurchased 2.7M shares for $88.5M and paid $124.9M in dividends in Q3
  • Closed 74 Petsense stores in Q3 as part of previously announced restructuring

Financial Impact

EPS beat of $0.03 vs consensus (+7.5%) on a $3.91B revenue base; operating income decline of $35M YoY

revenueepsoperating incomegross margincomparable store sales

Risk Factors

  • Gross margin continued to contract (down 100 bps YoY) on cost pressures and price investments
  • Comparable store sales growth of 0.4% is well below the 3.9% comp in the prior-year quarter
  • Full-year guidance was already lowered in Q2 and remains unchanged — no upward revision despite Q3 beat
  • Petsense store closures (74 in Q3) and restructuring may continue to weigh on results

Investment Themes

Consumer & Retail

Documents Analyzed

This report is based on 6 SEC documents filed with EDGAR.

DocumentAccession Number
8-K Filing (Primary)0000916365-26-000069
Document: tsco-20261022.htm0000916365-26-000069
Document: 0000916365-26-000069-index-headers.html0000916365-26-000069
Document: 0000916365-26-000069-index.html0000916365-26-000069
Document: 0000916365-26-000069.txt0000916365-26-000069
8-K Data (Synthetic)0000916365-26-000069
18 reports for TSCO
Performance horizon
50% Hit rate @ T+60 2 of 4 directional calls Went positive at some point 4 of 5 best @ T+60▲ +21.63%Apr 21, 2026
Filters
Rows
Reports for TSCO, sortable and filterable
TypeNow
Oct 26, 2026
1d ago
Institutional Cluster
MIXED ★ 3/10
$32.53awaiting T+60awaiting T+60$32.24 (−0.89%)
Oct 22, 2026
5d ago
8-K
MIXED ★ 5/10
$34.73awaiting T+60awaiting T+60$32.24 (−7.17%)
Aug 27, 2026
8w ago
Court Ruling
BEARISH ★ 5/10
$34.72awaiting T+60awaiting T+60$32.24 (+7.14%)
Aug 19, 2026
9w ago
424B5
NEUTRAL ★ 4/10
$35.44awaiting T+60awaiting T+60$32.24 (−9.03%)
Aug 17, 2026
10w ago
S-3ASR
NEUTRAL ★ 3/10
$34.68awaiting T+60awaiting T+60$32.24 (−7.04%)
Aug 6, 2026
11w ago
8-K
NEUTRAL ★ 2/10
$34.09awaiting T+60awaiting T+60$32.24 (−5.43%)
Aug 5, 2026
11w ago
Insider Cluster
NEUTRAL ★ 4/10
$33.86awaiting T+60awaiting T+60$32.24 (−4.77%)
Aug 5, 2026
11w ago
Insider Cluster
NEUTRAL ★ 3/10
$33.86awaiting T+60awaiting T+60$32.24 (−4.77%)
Aug 5, 2026
11w ago
Insider Cluster
NEUTRAL ★ 2/10
$33.86awaiting T+60awaiting T+60$32.24 (−4.77%)
Jul 23, 2026
13w ago
8-K
BEARISH ★ 7/10
$30.32 $33.37▼ −10.06%▼ −5.51%$32.24 (−6.33%)
Showing 10 of 18

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Report published Oct 22, 2026